- Lead
- 1,416
- Total
- 22,063
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- 59.8%
Cortland County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.8% of 37,330 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 419
- Total
- 21,679
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- 57.3%
- Lead
- 1,129
- Total
- 20,244
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Turnout
- 52.6%
- Lead
- 1,787
- Total
- 19,624
- vs nation
- D+5.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,183
- Total
- 21,920
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 943
- Total
- 22,760
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 166
- Total
- 20,726
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,524
- Total
- 19,449
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 46,2462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,4182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Otsego County, NY · twin score 90.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.8%22,330 participants ÷ 37,330 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.7%–48.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 20,435 | 38,813 | 52.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,022 | 38,374 | 44.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,885 | 38,163 | 57.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,267 | 37,610 | 43.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,330 | 37,330 | 59.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
51 precincts · 22,063 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0700002360230700002 | 391 | 560 | 4 | 955 | 40.9% | 58.6% | R+17.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0700005360230700005 | 546 | 369 | 2 | 917 | 59.5% | 40.2% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct 1500002360231500002 | 385 | 520 | 1 | 906 | 42.5% | 57.4% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct 0300003360230300003 | 363 | 528 | 4 | 895 | 40.6% | 59.0% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct 0300001360230300001 | 469 | 384 | 3 | 856 | 54.8% | 44.9% | D+9.9 |
| Precinct 0300006360230300006 | 486 | 365 | 2 | 853 | 57.0% | 42.8% | D+14.2 |
| Precinct 0206001360230206001 | 448 | 353 | 2 | 803 | 55.8% | 44.0% | D+11.8 |
| Precinct 0300002360230300002 | 413 | 382 | 2 | 797 | 51.8% | 47.9% | D+3.9 |
| Precinct 1000001360231000001 | 322 | 452 | 2 | 776 | 41.5% | 58.2% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct 0207001360230207001 | 411 | 307 | 0 | 718 | 57.2% | 42.8% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct 0201001360230201001 | 433 | 249 | 4 | 686 | 63.1% | 36.3% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct 0700003360230700003 | 352 | 314 | 4 | 670 | 52.5% | 46.9% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct 0700004360230700004 | 342 | 305 | 3 | 650 | 52.6% | 46.9% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct 0208001360230208001 | 359 | 244 | 0 | 603 | 59.5% | 40.5% | D+19.1 |
| Precinct 1400001360231400001 | 210 | 385 | 1 | 596 | 35.2% | 64.6% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct 0900001360230900001 | 170 | 416 | 2 | 588 | 28.9% | 70.7% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct 1100001360231100001 | 208 | 355 | 2 | 565 | 36.8% | 62.8% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct 1200001360231200001 | 178 | 382 | 1 | 561 | 31.7% | 68.1% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct 0201003360230201003 | 303 | 234 | 1 | 538 | 56.3% | 43.5% | D+12.8 |
| Precinct 0204001360230204001 | 279 | 239 | 1 | 519 | 53.8% | 46.1% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct 0100001360230100001 | 128 | 385 | 3 | 516 | 24.8% | 74.6% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct 0202001360230202001 | 303 | 207 | 3 | 513 | 59.1% | 40.4% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct 1500001360231500001 | 239 | 260 | 1 | 500 | 47.8% | 52.0% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct 0900002360230900002 | 179 | 271 | 1 | 451 | 39.7% | 60.1% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct 1600001360231600001 | 100 | 340 | 2 | 442 | 22.6% | 76.9% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct 0300004360230300004 | 153 | 271 | 3 | 427 | 35.8% | 63.5% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct 0400001360230400001 | 103 | 316 | 0 | 419 | 24.6% | 75.4% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct 0600001360230600001 | 125 | 284 | 1 | 410 | 30.5% | 69.3% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct 0205002360230205002 | 179 | 228 | 0 | 407 | 44.0% | 56.0% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct 0800001360230800001 | 107 | 255 | 0 | 362 | 29.6% | 70.4% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct 0205004360230205004 | 203 | 139 | 1 | 343 | 59.2% | 40.5% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct 0500001360230500001 | 116 | 211 | 2 | 329 | 35.3% | 64.1% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 0300005360230300005 | 153 | 167 | 1 | 321 | 47.7% | 52.0% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct 1300001360231300001 | 64 | 200 | 1 | 265 | 24.2% | 75.5% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct 0700001360230700001 | 119 | 118 | 2 | 239 | 49.8% | 49.4% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct 0203005360230203005 | 121 | 103 | 1 | 225 | 53.8% | 45.8% | D+8.0 |
| Precinct 0203001360230203001 | 158 | 60 | 0 | 218 | 72.5% | 27.5% | D+45.0 |
| Precinct 0202002360230202002 | 101 | 67 | 0 | 168 | 60.1% | 39.9% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct 0203003360230203003 | 99 | 65 | 0 | 164 | 60.4% | 39.6% | D+20.7 |
| Precinct 0208002360230208002 | 83 | 69 | 1 | 153 | 54.2% | 45.1% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct 0204002360230204002 | 65 | 84 | 0 | 149 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct 0203002360230203002 | 82 | 65 | 1 | 148 | 55.4% | 43.9% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct 0203004360230203004 | 52 | 60 | 1 | 113 | 46.0% | 53.1% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct 0202003360230202003 | 60 | 34 | 1 | 95 | 63.2% | 35.8% | D+27.4 |
| Precinct 0206002360230206002 | 54 | 24 | 0 | 78 | 69.2% | 30.8% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct 0207002360230207002 | 29 | 30 | 0 | 59 | 49.2% | 50.8% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct 0205001360230205001 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 27 | 48.1% | 51.9% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct 0205003360230205003 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 25 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct 0201002360230201002 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 68.8% | 31.3% | D+37.5 |
| Precinct 0204003360230204003 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct 0207003360230207003 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 38.5% | 61.5% | R+23.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −15.9% |
| 1896 | −30.4% |
| 1900 | −26.4% |
| 1904 | −31.2% |
| 1908 | −30.3% |
| 1912 | −9.1% |
| 1916 | −23.9% |
| 1920 | −56.4% |
| 1924 | −60.3% |
| 1928 | −52.3% |
| 1932 | −37.3% |
| 1936 | −42.7% |
| 1940 | −40.7% |
| 1944 | −35.5% |
| 1948 | −38.1% |
| 1952 | −54.8% |
| 1956 | −59.2% |
| 1960 | −35.0% |
| 1964 | +28.7% |
| 1968 | −26.3% |
| 1972 | −42.1% |
| 1976 | −23.4% |
| 1980 | −20.6% |
| 1984 | −35.9% |
| 1988 | −17.4% |
| 1992 | +0.2% |
| 1996 | +7.8% |
| 2000 | −0.8% |
| 2004 | −4.1% |
| 2008 | +10.0% |
| 2012 | +9.1% |
| 2016 | −5.6% |
| 2020 | −1.9% |
| 2024 | −6.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 46.7%9,068 | 53.3%10,344 | 19,412 |
| 2020 | D | 53.7%11,082 | 46.3%9,552 | 20,634 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.1 points.
31,074 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−194 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,886 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,536 in average income, against $71,009 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.5 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Cortland County, NY itself (R+6.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tompkins County, NY198D+50.0
- Onondaga County, NY125D+17.2
- Broome County, NY72D+0.4
- Cayuga County, NY57R+13.0
- Chenango County, NY41R+27.1
- Tioga County, NY27R+22.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tompkins County, NY173
- Onondaga County, NY142
- Broome County, NY85
- Cayuga County, NY43
- Chenango County, NY34
- Tioga County, NY33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +39 |
| 2012 | −375 |
| 2013 | −91 |
| 2014 | −280 |
| 2015 | −523 |
| 2016 | −426 |
| 2017 | −193 |
| 2018 | −136 |
| 2019 | −210 |
| 2021 | −191 |
| 2022 | −227 |
| 2023 | −119 |
| 2024 | +40 |
| 2025 | −194 |
Home to SUNY Cortland, the county blends a student-influenced urban core with surrounding agricultural townships, a tension that has compressed its presidential margins over successive cycles before landing at R+6.4 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 46,246, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,418 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Otsego County and Chemung County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cortland County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.