New York 19th Congressional District (NY) — Elections 1876–2024

New York 19th Congressional District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+53 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 804,2652024 5-year
Median household income: $71,7682024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.2%2024 5-year
Black: 4.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+25 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+53 in 1956MIT Election Lab

RILEY, JoshCongress 119 · Democratic

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: MOLINARO, Marcus (2023–2025), DELGADO, Antonio (2021–2023), RYAN, Patrick (2021–2023), DELGADO, Antonio (2019–2021)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

11 counties · 4 D · 7 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+2.7%	200,756	190,240	395,329
2020	D	+5.2%	202,724	182,197	393,023
2016	R	−1.1%	162,825	166,754	353,482
2012	D	+9.5%	178,830	147,076	334,188
2008	D	+11.3%	199,493	158,387	364,342
2004	D	+2.1%	184,207	176,387	369,071
2000	D	+3.5%	166,464	154,453	344,265
1996	D	+12.1%	162,039	121,849	331,290
1992	D	+5.2%	152,544	133,437	366,808
1988	R	−8.1%	153,483	180,870	337,032
1984	R	−26.8%	125,776	218,188	345,264
1980	R	−13.3%	116,965	159,089	315,991
1976	R	−14.5%	134,902	180,976	318,187
1972	R	−31.9%	109,291	211,861	321,916
1968	R	−19.6%	109,354	167,092	294,869
1964	D	+25.2%	187,855	112,090	300,230
1960	R	−27.8%	112,315	198,855	311,408
1956	R	−52.6%	70,836	228,304	299,140
1952	R	−47.0%	78,189	217,494	296,482
1948	R	−32.6%	79,481	160,703	248,839
1944	R	−27.3%	91,138	159,684	251,379
1940	R	−25.6%	99,342	168,142	268,346
1936	R	−22.5%	96,106	153,026	252,528
1932	R	−19.3%	89,397	132,992	226,146
1928	R	−40.8%	67,127	162,474	233,796
1924	R	−42.9%	46,209	125,382	184,680
1920	R	−40.3%	45,904	112,038	164,272
1916	R	−10.8%	45,858	57,452	107,230
1912	D	+1.0%	41,544	40,479	103,233
1908	R	−15.9%	44,251	61,841	110,965
1904	R	−18.0%	44,415	64,854	113,267
1900	R	−16.4%	45,754	64,490	113,972
1896	R	−22.2%	41,010	65,431	110,010
1892	R	−8.1%	45,744	54,463	107,925
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	56.2%	38.7%	8,381,397
2022	D	51.7%	37.7%	5,848,556
2018	D	62.0%	28.6%	6,055,151
2016	D	61.3%	22.1%	7,800,725
2012	D	62.1%	21.3%	7,116,628
2010	D	64.0%	26.0%	4,763,899
2006	D	57.4%	25.8%	4,700,632
2004	D	58.9%	21.8%	7,447,818
2000	D	51.2%	39.1%	6,959,662
1998	D	47.8%	33.7%	4,989,877
1994	D	47.5%	32.1%	5,328,486
1992	D	41.6%	37.5%	7,078,805
1988	D	64.7%	27.9%	6,040,980
1986	R	38.4%	45.3%	4,484,859
1982	D	62.2%	28.5%	4,967,729
1980	D	43.5%	37.8%	6,014,914
1976	D	48.6%	37.9%	6,666,875

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Irish

16.3%

German

14.4%

English

12.5%

Italian

11.6%

American

5.4%

Polish

4.3%

French

2.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 41.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.0%

85+

1.6%

2.8%

75–84

3.4%

5.9%

65–74

6.2%

7.1%

55–64

7.1%

5.7%

45–54

5.6%

5.8%

35–44

5.6%

5.9%

25–34

5.5%

6.6%

18–24

6.5%

6.9%

5–17

6.5%

2.3%

2.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$71,768

Congressional District 19 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 19$71,768

New York$85,974

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

15.0%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1816.5%

Working age (18–64)15.2%

Seniors (65+)9.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

89.3%

speak English only

Spanish4.2%

Other Indo-European4.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%

Other languages0.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

17.3%

Other Christian

5.5%

Methodist

4.5%

Mainline Protestant

3.1%

Non-Christian

2.8%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Baptist

0.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning rural Catskill communities and mid-Hudson Valley suburbs, NY-19 has swung between parties in consecutive cycles, making it one of the most closely watched bellwether districts in the Northeast.

The Democratic margin in New York 19th Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,768 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 19, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3619/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 19, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 19, New York voted Democratic by 2.7 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 395,329 votes cast, 200,756 went Democratic and 190,240 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 19, New York's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 19, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 19, New York last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 19, New York voted Republican was 2016.

How many people live in Congressional District 19, New York?

Congressional District 19, New York has a population of 804,265 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 19, New York?

Median household income in Congressional District 19, New York is $71,768 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of Congressional District 19, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 19, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New York 19th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions