akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 18·New York

New York 18th Congressional District delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A Hudson Valley swing seat decided by fewer than 2 points in 2024

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
742,193
2024 ACS

New York 18th Congressional District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Republican peak: R+55 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
TiedMIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
742,1932024 5-year
Median household income
$96,8162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
65.7%2024 5-year
Black
10.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
19.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+23 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1956MIT Election Lab
D
RYAN, PatrickCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: MALONEY, Sean Patrick (2021–2023), MALONEY, Sean Patrick (2019–2021), MALONEY, Sean Patrick (2017–2019), MALONEY, Sean Patrick (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

3 counties · 2 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+0.1%
174,161173,891350,564
D
+6.2%
180,108158,871344,390
R
−1.3%
141,160145,085301,649
D
+8.4%
150,165126,453281,516
D
+8.3%
162,960137,758304,382
R
−5.5%
134,083149,979289,200
R
−1.1%
119,754122,639256,569
D
+7.6%
111,23193,374235,813
R
−4.0%
96,009106,326256,713
R
−23.0%
85,291136,748223,926
R
−34.9%
72,380150,418223,593
R
−24.6%
64,236113,284199,362
R
−11.9%
85,710109,131196,823
R
−40.5%
59,004139,648199,055
R
−19.7%
63,85598,753176,884
D
+23.4%
106,77266,266173,184
R
−21.6%
67,103104,069171,312
R
−55.3%
35,281122,675157,956
R
−42.1%
43,430106,754150,571
R
−30.4%
41,88780,177126,129
R
−21.4%
50,98678,886130,221
R
−14.6%
58,48178,484137,261
R
−10.1%
56,84869,936129,325
R
−12.2%
48,32361,930111,926
R
−28.8%
39,59773,004116,102
R
−41.1%
21,43856,92886,284
R
−36.3%
22,90550,97277,250
R
−13.1%
21,23627,79449,961
R
−1.1%
20,71621,27250,041
R
−13.9%
21,34928,52051,684
R
−15.6%
21,11429,20551,877
R
−16.6%
20,83729,31251,179
R
−22.7%
18,19629,31948,898
R
−1.8%
22,38523,23348,352
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D56.2%38.7%8,381,397
2022D51.7%37.7%5,848,556
2018D62.0%28.6%6,055,151
2016D61.3%22.1%7,800,725
2012D62.1%21.3%7,116,628
2010D64.0%26.0%4,763,899
2006D57.4%25.8%4,700,632
2004D58.9%21.8%7,447,818
2000D51.2%39.1%6,959,662
1998D47.8%33.7%4,989,877
1994D47.5%32.1%5,328,486
1992D41.6%37.5%7,078,805
1988D64.7%27.9%6,040,980
1986R38.4%45.3%4,484,859
1982D62.2%28.5%4,967,729
1980D43.5%37.8%6,014,914
1976D48.6%37.9%6,666,875

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
15.1%
Italian
14.7%
German
10.6%
English
6.2%
American
5.6%
Polish
3.5%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
76.6%
speak English only
Spanish12.2%
Other Indo-European8.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.6%
Non-Christian
6.0%
Other Christian
5.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Methodist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching across the mid-Hudson Valley, NY-18 blends small cities, river towns, and rural exurbs into one of New York's most competitive federal districts, where presidential margins have shifted repeatedly over the past three cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-three points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 742,193, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $96,816 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 18, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3618/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 18, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 18, New York voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 350,564 votes cast, 174,161 went Democratic and 173,891 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 18, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 18, New York as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 28 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 18, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 18, New York voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Congressional District 18, New York?
Congressional District 18, New York has a population of 742,193 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 18, New York?
Median household income in Congressional District 18, New York is $96,816 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Congressional District 18, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 18, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.