akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·New Jersey

New Jersey 2nd Congressional District delivered R+14 in 2024.

Shore-to-suburb corridor where Republicans hold a steady double-digit edge

18762024·38 elections
NJ
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,000,246
2024 ACS

New Jersey 2nd Congressional District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
1,000,2462024 5-year
Median household income
$85,2832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.4%2024 5-year
Black
10.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+31 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
R
VAN DREW, JeffersonCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: VAN DREW, Jefferson (2019–2021), LoBIONDO, Frank A. (2017–2019), LoBIONDO, Frank A. (2015–2017), LoBIONDO, Frank A. (2013–2015)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−14.2%
205,145274,293487,859
R
−6.7%
237,198271,361512,438
R
−8.4%
188,670225,022431,521
D
+5.0%
214,876193,958414,239
D
+4.2%
225,228206,662437,431
R
−3.8%
192,752208,190405,017
D
+10.1%
188,463152,720353,349
D
+13.3%
165,231121,084331,457
R
−0.2%
140,521141,262356,634
R
−20.5%
124,366189,096316,317
R
−27.4%
113,633200,298316,076
R
−16.7%
107,380155,371288,187
D
+2.3%
142,736136,318284,620
R
−29.4%
88,663164,610258,602
R
−2.8%
103,300110,050244,763
D
+30.6%
153,42181,094236,367
R
−6.3%
105,922120,410228,220
R
−29.5%
68,825127,174197,896
R
−16.1%
80,939111,979193,350
R
−11.9%
67,01685,392154,981
D
+2.8%
74,61470,491145,527
D
+6.7%
90,73479,244170,360
D
+16.8%
96,21068,384165,706
R
−11.2%
65,45982,304150,730
R
−46.7%
37,899104,586142,786
R
−51.2%
20,82171,67499,367
R
−46.4%
19,44055,64578,015
R
−17.8%
18,35226,63046,562
D
+13.7%
16,18010,40642,236
R
−22.3%
16,50526,44344,641
R
−33.0%
12,60225,90940,340
R
−25.4%
12,80122,21337,009
R
−27.9%
11,90921,76735,367
R
−5.1%
14,83816,53733,201
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D53.6%44.0%4,031,795
2020D57.2%40.9%4,440,440
2018D54.0%42.8%3,169,310
2014D55.8%42.3%1,869,535
2012D58.9%39.4%3,376,649
2008D56.0%42.0%3,482,445
2006D53.4%44.3%2,250,070
2002D53.9%43.9%2,112,604
2000D50.1%47.1%3,015,662
1996D52.7%42.6%2,883,466
1994D50.3%47.0%2,054,887
1990D50.4%47.4%1,938,454
1988D53.6%45.2%2,987,634
1984D64.2%34.9%3,096,456
1982D50.9%47.8%2,193,945
1978D55.3%43.1%1,957,515
1976D60.7%38.0%2,771,390

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
17.5%
Italian
17.3%
German
13.1%
English
7.9%
Polish
4.7%
American
4.1%
Scottish
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.8%
speak English only
Spanish11.3%
Other Indo-European4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
29.7%
Other Christian
7.6%
Non-Christian
4.9%
Methodist
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Baptist
1.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Atlantic City's casino economy and stretching across South Jersey's coastal and rural townships, NJ-02 has trended consistently toward Republican presidential candidates, posting double-digit margins in 2024.

The Democratic margin in New Jersey 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by fourteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,283 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3402/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, New Jersey voted Republican by 14.2 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 487,859 votes cast, 205,145 went Democratic and 274,293 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, New Jersey as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 2, New Jersey last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, New Jersey?
Congressional District 2, New Jersey has a population of 1,000,246 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, New Jersey?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, New Jersey is $85,283 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.