Akashic

county

Dutchess County, NY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Italian18.0%10.9%4.8%

Irish17.4%10.5%9.4%

German12.0%8.6%12.5%

English7.6%5.6%9.5%

American6.3%4.2%5.3%

Polish3.5%3.9%2.2%

French1.7%1.3%1.6%

Scottish1.4%—1.3%

Puerto Rican5.2%5.1%1.8%

Mexican2.8%2.5%11.3%

Dominican1.3%4.6%0.7%

Ecuadorian1.1%1.6%—

Colombian0.7%0.9%0.4%

Cuban0.5%—0.7%

Guatemalan0.5%0.5%0.5%

Peruvian0.5%——

African American†5.8%8.0%9.9%

Jamaican1.7%1.6%0.4%

African0.4%0.6%0.5%

Haitian0.3%0.9%0.3%

Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%

West Indian0.2%0.4%—

Guyanese0.2%0.7%—

Chinese1.2%3.6%1.3%

Asian Indian1.1%1.9%1.4%

Korean0.3%0.6%0.4%

Filipino0.2%0.6%0.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Dutchess County	New York	United States
Median age	42.5	39.9	39.1
Age 18–24	10.3%	9.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.3%	18.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Dutchess County	New York	United States
Median household income	$99,478	$85,974	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.4%	14.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	41.6%	40.0%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Dutchess County	New York	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	16.2%	30.9%	22.3%
Spanish	9.3%	14.8%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	2.3%	4.0%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Dutchess County	New York	United States
Catholic	33.5%	30.8%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	4.4%	5.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	51.4%	48.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	5.0%	3.8%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 67.1% of 230,507 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic52.4%79,994TrumpRepublican47.0%71,778OtherAll other candidates0.6%887

D+5.4

Lead: 8,216
Total: 152,659
vs nation: D+6.9
Turnout: 67.1%

BidenDemocratic54.0%81,443TrumpRepublican44.4%66,872JorgensenLibertarian0.8%1,247

D+9.7

Lead: 14,571
Total: 150,745
vs nation: D+5.2
Turnout: 67.6%

ClintonDemocratic47.5%62,285TrumpRepublican47.2%61,821JohnsonLibertarian2.7%3,602

D+0.4

Lead: 464
Total: 131,018
vs nation: R+1.7
Turnout: 58.8%

ObamaDemocratic52.8%65,312RomneyRepublican45.3%56,025JohnsonLbr1.8%2,210

D+7.5

Lead: 9,287
Total: 123,705
vs nation: D+3.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic53.7%71,060McCainRepublican45.1%59,628OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,614

D+8.6

Lead: 11,432
Total: 132,302
vs nation: D+1.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic47.0%58,232BushRepublican51.2%63,372OtherAll other candidates1.8%2,277

R+4.1

Lead: 5,140
Total: 123,881
vs nation: R+1.7
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic46.9%52,390BushRepublican47.1%52,669NaderGreen5.0%5,553

R+0.2

Lead: 279
Total: 111,771
vs nation: R+0.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic45.6%47,339DoleRepublican40.4%41,929PerotReform11.8%12,294

D+5.2

Lead: 5,410
Total: 103,821
vs nation: R+3.3
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+5.4MIT Election Lab
Population: 298,2202024 5-year
Median household income: $99,4782024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 66.1%2024 5-year
Black: 9.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 15.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+25.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+56.7 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Burlington County, NJ · twin score 94.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 67.1%154,677 participants ÷ 230,507 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 49.8%–54.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	131,140	223,171	58.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	115,563	223,789	51.6%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	151,842	224,741	67.6%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	115,150	229,002	50.3%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	154,677	230,507	67.1%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

171 precincts · 153,412 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Dutchess County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 1000001360271000001	901	629	9	1,539	58.5%	40.9%	D+17.7
Precinct 1700003360271700003	978	499	21	1,498	65.3%	33.3%	D+32.0
Precinct 0700004360270700004	764	709	16	1,489	51.3%	47.6%	D+3.7
Precinct 1200003360271200003	590	885	13	1,488	39.7%	59.5%	R+19.8
Precinct 1603003360271603003	792	672	9	1,473	53.8%	45.6%	D+8.1
Precinct 2000001360272000001	580	857	11	1,448	40.1%	59.2%	R+19.1
Precinct 0600003360270600003	583	854	8	1,445	40.3%	59.1%	R+18.8
Precinct 0900006360270900006	650	778	16	1,444	45.0%	53.9%	R+8.9
Precinct 0900003360270900003	665	765	11	1,441	46.1%	53.1%	R+6.9
Precinct 0600012360270600012	556	866	16	1,438	38.7%	60.2%	R+21.6
Precinct 1700005360271700005	880	538	17	1,435	61.3%	37.5%	D+23.8
Precinct 0900001360270900001	608	802	24	1,434	42.4%	55.9%	R+13.5
Precinct 0900005360270900005	603	806	20	1,429	42.2%	56.4%	R+14.2
Precinct 0700006360270700006	614	797	14	1,425	43.1%	55.9%	R+12.8
Precinct 0801001360270801001	773	637	13	1,423	54.3%	44.8%	D+9.6
Precinct 0600001360270600001	544	864	14	1,422	38.3%	60.8%	R+22.5
Precinct 2000002360272000002	514	885	15	1,414	36.4%	62.6%	R+26.2
Precinct 1200001360271200001	614	786	11	1,411	43.5%	55.7%	R+12.2
Precinct 0600004360270600004	531	856	22	1,409	37.7%	60.8%	R+23.1
Precinct 1300001360271300001	677	696	16	1,389	48.7%	50.1%	R+1.4
Precinct 0600010360270600010	557	820	7	1,384	40.2%	59.2%	R+19.0
Precinct 0600011360270600011	572	786	16	1,374	41.6%	57.2%	R+15.6
Precinct 0600006360270600006	544	814	15	1,373	39.6%	59.3%	R+19.7
Precinct 0802001360270802001	701	649	19	1,369	51.2%	47.4%	D+3.8
Precinct 0900004360270900004	682	661	20	1,363	50.0%	48.5%	D+1.5
Precinct 1700001360271700001	928	413	22	1,363	68.1%	30.3%	D+37.8
Precinct 1700004360271700004	860	478	21	1,359	63.3%	35.2%	D+28.1
Precinct 0700007360270700007	520	829	7	1,356	38.3%	61.1%	R+22.8
Precinct 0600005360270600005	453	885	17	1,355	33.4%	65.3%	R+31.9
Precinct 1504002360271504002	935	398	12	1,345	69.5%	29.6%	D+39.9
Precinct 0801002360270801002	743	587	13	1,343	55.3%	43.7%	D+11.6
Precinct 0400001360270400001	757	565	20	1,342	56.4%	42.1%	D+14.3
Precinct 0600008360270600008	495	824	10	1,329	37.2%	62.0%	R+24.8
Precinct 0700003360270700003	695	619	8	1,322	52.6%	46.8%	D+5.7
Precinct 0600007360270600007	531	763	15	1,309	40.6%	58.3%	R+17.7
Precinct 1606005360271606005	776	523	10	1,309	59.3%	40.0%	D+19.3
Precinct 0900007360270900007	552	732	18	1,302	42.4%	56.2%	R+13.8
Precinct 0600009360270600009	533	749	11	1,293	41.2%	57.9%	R+16.7
Precinct 0900002360270900002	551	720	15	1,286	42.8%	56.0%	R+13.1
Precinct 0600002360270600002	552	718	15	1,285	43.0%	55.9%	R+12.9
Precinct 1605003360271605003	676	590	8	1,274	53.1%	46.3%	D+6.8
Precinct 2103002360272103002	596	659	13	1,268	47.0%	52.0%	R+5.0
Precinct 0400002360270400002	704	546	9	1,259	55.9%	43.4%	D+12.5
Precinct 1604003360271604003	761	473	20	1,254	60.7%	37.7%	D+23.0
Precinct 0700002360270700002	745	489	10	1,244	59.9%	39.3%	D+20.6
Precinct 2104004360272104004	557	675	12	1,244	44.8%	54.3%	R+9.5
Precinct 1603002360271603002	639	579	16	1,234	51.8%	46.9%	D+4.9
Precinct 1605002360271605002	742	469	20	1,231	60.3%	38.1%	D+22.2
Precinct 2104003360272104003	449	731	12	1,192	37.7%	61.3%	R+23.7
Precinct 1508002360271508002	746	425	9	1,180	63.2%	36.0%	D+27.2
Precinct 0300001360270300001	404	757	10	1,171	34.5%	64.6%	R+30.1
Precinct 1508001360271508001	800	365	6	1,171	68.3%	31.2%	D+37.1
Precinct 0804003360270804003	525	622	11	1,158	45.3%	53.7%	R+8.4
Precinct 1604004360271604004	668	472	16	1,156	57.8%	40.8%	D+17.0
Precinct 2104002360272104002	519	624	9	1,152	45.1%	54.2%	R+9.1
Precinct 0700005360270700005	564	582	4	1,150	49.0%	50.6%	R+1.6
Precinct 0300004360270300004	523	593	11	1,127	46.4%	52.6%	R+6.2
Precinct 1900001360271900001	584	527	16	1,127	51.8%	46.8%	D+5.1
Precinct 0700008360270700008	592	498	14	1,104	53.6%	45.1%	D+8.5
Precinct 0802002360270802002	562	520	11	1,093	51.4%	47.6%	D+3.8
Precinct 1400001360271400001	438	640	15	1,093	40.1%	58.6%	R+18.5
Precinct 1200004360271200004	509	572	11	1,092	46.6%	52.4%	R+5.8
Precinct 1900002360271900002	521	560	9	1,090	47.8%	51.4%	R+3.6
Precinct 2102003360272102003	474	603	13	1,090	43.5%	55.3%	R+11.8
Precinct 0700009360270700009	560	525	4	1,089	51.4%	48.2%	D+3.2
Precinct 2102002360272102002	498	583	8	1,089	45.7%	53.5%	R+7.8
Precinct 2102001360272102001	598	474	13	1,085	55.1%	43.7%	D+11.4
Precinct 0804002360270804002	533	538	10	1,081	49.3%	49.8%	R+0.5
Precinct 2103003360272103003	489	571	16	1,076	45.4%	53.1%	R+7.6
Precinct 1601001360271601001	514	548	11	1,073	47.9%	51.1%	R+3.2
Precinct 1800001360271800001	708	344	17	1,069	66.2%	32.2%	D+34.1
Precinct 0803001360270803001	504	551	11	1,066	47.3%	51.7%	R+4.4
Precinct 1605001360271605001	631	419	16	1,066	59.2%	39.3%	D+19.9
Precinct 1601002360271601002	476	569	3	1,048	45.4%	54.3%	R+8.9
Precinct 1800004360271800004	781	230	14	1,025	76.2%	22.4%	D+53.8
Precinct 0700010360270700010	528	484	6	1,018	51.9%	47.5%	D+4.3
Precinct 0300002360270300002	406	598	6	1,010	40.2%	59.2%	R+19.0
Precinct 1602003360271602003	523	477	8	1,008	51.9%	47.3%	D+4.6
Precinct 0202001360270202001	802	183	22	1,007	79.6%	18.2%	D+61.5
Precinct 1400006360271400006	479	515	13	1,007	47.6%	51.1%	R+3.6
Precinct 0500002360270500002	376	622	7	1,005	37.4%	61.9%	R+24.5
Precinct 0201002360270201002	726	248	29	1,003	72.4%	24.7%	D+47.7
Precinct 2101004360272101004	464	533	2	999	46.4%	53.4%	R+6.9
Precinct 0204001360270204001	725	260	10	995	72.9%	26.1%	D+46.7
Precinct 1800005360271800005	660	319	6	985	67.0%	32.4%	D+34.6
Precinct 1602004360271602004	495	479	9	983	50.4%	48.7%	D+1.6
Precinct 0100002360270100002	446	520	8	974	45.8%	53.4%	R+7.6
Precinct 0300003360270300003	370	580	20	970	38.1%	59.8%	R+21.6
Precinct 0203002360270203002	666	282	19	967	68.9%	29.2%	D+39.7
Precinct 0803002360270803002	463	486	7	956	48.4%	50.8%	R+2.4
Precinct 0804001360270804001	404	546	6	956	42.3%	57.1%	R+14.9
Precinct 2101001360272101001	475	472	4	951	49.9%	49.6%	D+0.3
Precinct 0204002360270204002	706	219	20	945	74.7%	23.2%	D+51.5
Precinct 0600013360270600013	316	622	6	944	33.5%	65.9%	R+32.4
Precinct 0500003360270500003	371	560	11	942	39.4%	59.4%	R+20.1
Precinct 0100001360270100001	457	462	12	931	49.1%	49.6%	R+0.5
Precinct 1400002360271400002	460	453	12	925	49.7%	49.0%	D+0.8
Precinct 0500001360270500001	321	589	4	914	35.1%	64.4%	R+29.3
Precinct 1604002360271604002	502	403	2	907	55.3%	44.4%	D+10.9
Precinct 1505001360271505001	759	143	4	906	83.8%	15.8%	D+68.0
Precinct 2103005360272103005	399	499	7	905	44.1%	55.1%	R+11.0
Precinct 2200003360272200003	437	443	10	890	49.1%	49.8%	R+0.7
Precinct 0202002360270202002	678	198	13	889	76.3%	22.3%	D+54.0
Precinct 0500004360270500004	377	507	5	889	42.4%	57.0%	R+14.6
Precinct 1800003360271800003	665	203	5	873	76.2%	23.3%	D+52.9
Precinct 2103001360272103001	400	463	6	869	46.0%	53.3%	R+7.2
Precinct 1400004360271400004	445	413	7	865	51.4%	47.7%	D+3.7
Precinct 0201001360270201001	663	178	18	859	77.2%	20.7%	D+56.5
Precinct 0300005360270300005	331	521	4	856	38.7%	60.9%	R+22.2
Precinct 2200001360272200001	501	343	10	854	58.7%	40.2%	D+18.5
Precinct 1200002360271200002	453	384	6	843	53.7%	45.6%	D+8.2
Precinct 1602002360271602002	413	418	10	841	49.1%	49.7%	R+0.6
Precinct 1602001360271602001	520	302	18	840	61.9%	36.0%	D+26.0
Precinct 2200002360272200002	469	351	15	835	56.2%	42.0%	D+14.1
Precinct 1603001360271603001	529	288	10	827	64.0%	34.8%	D+29.1
Precinct 1400003360271400003	321	498	4	823	39.0%	60.5%	R+21.5
Precinct 1800002360271800002	626	184	13	823	76.1%	22.4%	D+53.7
Precinct 1606001360271606001	511	292	10	813	62.9%	35.9%	D+26.9
Precinct 1400005360271400005	330	445	3	778	42.4%	57.2%	R+14.8
Precinct 0203001360270203001	595	171	11	777	76.6%	22.0%	D+54.6
Precinct 0700001360270700001	497	264	10	771	64.5%	34.2%	D+30.2
Precinct 1503001360271503001	604	134	3	741	81.5%	18.1%	D+63.4
Precinct 1100002360271100002	436	292	7	735	59.3%	39.7%	D+19.6
Precinct 1502002360271502002	521	192	6	719	72.5%	26.7%	D+45.8
Precinct 1100001360271100001	417	286	9	712	58.6%	40.2%	D+18.4
Precinct 1601003360271601003	351	310	6	667	52.6%	46.5%	D+6.1
Precinct 0300008360270300008	239	421	5	665	35.9%	63.3%	R+27.4
Precinct 1603004360271603004	364	282	10	656	55.5%	43.0%	D+12.5
Precinct 1504001360271504001	436	148	4	588	74.1%	25.2%	D+49.0
Precinct 2101003360272101003	287	261	9	557	51.5%	46.9%	D+4.7
Precinct 1700002360271700002	524	8	20	552	94.9%	1.4%	D+93.5
Precinct 0300007360270300007	177	372	1	550	32.2%	67.6%	R+35.5
Precinct 1501001360271501001	382	157	6	545	70.1%	28.8%	D+41.3
Precinct 1501002360271501002	390	148	6	544	71.7%	27.2%	D+44.5
Precinct 1502001360271502001	434	85	19	538	80.7%	15.8%	D+64.9
Precinct 2101002360272101002	279	229	7	515	54.2%	44.5%	D+9.7
Precinct 1507003360271507003	366	116	5	487	75.2%	23.8%	D+51.3
Precinct 1606002360271606002	432	14	5	451	95.8%	3.1%	D+92.7
Precinct 1506002360271506002	331	100	3	434	76.3%	23.0%	D+53.2
Precinct 1506001360271506001	328	76	7	411	79.8%	18.5%	D+61.3
Precinct 1601004360271601004	213	193	2	408	52.2%	47.3%	D+4.9
Precinct 1507001360271507001	300	80	2	382	78.5%	20.9%	D+57.6
Precinct 2103004360272103004	176	189	3	368	47.8%	51.4%	R+3.5
Precinct 1606006360271606006	228	116	6	350	65.1%	33.1%	D+32.0
Precinct 0300011360270300011	106	224	1	331	32.0%	67.7%	R+35.6
Precinct 0300009360270300009	109	209	3	321	34.0%	65.1%	R+31.2
Precinct 1606004360271606004	184	121	10	315	58.4%	38.4%	D+20.0
Precinct 1606003360271606003	251	44	7	302	83.1%	14.6%	D+68.5
Precinct 1700006360271700006	146	99	6	251	58.2%	39.4%	D+18.7
Precinct 2103006360272103006	97	147	2	246	39.4%	59.8%	R+20.3
Precinct 2104001360272104001	84	147	1	232	36.2%	63.4%	R+27.2
Precinct 0300006360270300006	69	121	0	190	36.3%	63.7%	R+27.4
Precinct 1506003360271506003	132	39	3	174	75.9%	22.4%	D+53.4
Precinct 1604001360271604001	71	72	2	145	49.0%	49.7%	R+0.7
Precinct 1508003360271508003	80	34	2	116	69.0%	29.3%	D+39.7
Precinct 0803003360270803003	66	43	2	111	59.5%	38.7%	D+20.7
Precinct 1504003360271504003	80	23	1	104	76.9%	22.1%	D+54.8
Precinct 1507002360271507002	83	18	2	103	80.6%	17.5%	D+63.1
Precinct 1503002360271503002	43	38	1	82	52.4%	46.3%	D+6.1
Precinct 0300015360270300015	21	36	1	58	36.2%	62.1%	R+25.9
Precinct 1503003360271503003	30	12	0	42	71.4%	28.6%	D+42.9
Precinct 1504004360271504004	30	7	2	39	76.9%	17.9%	D+59.0
Precinct 0300013360270300013	10	20	0	30	33.3%	66.7%	R+33.3
Precinct 1507004360271507004	16	10	0	26	61.5%	38.5%	D+23.1
Precinct 0300010360270300010	12	11	1	24	50.0%	45.8%	D+4.2
Precinct 1506005360271506005	17	6	0	23	73.9%	26.1%	D+47.8
Precinct 0300014360270300014	11	9	0	20	55.0%	45.0%	D+10.0
Precinct 1506004360271506004	10	8	0	18	55.6%	44.4%	D+11.1
Precinct 1505002360271505002	13	3	0	16	81.3%	18.8%	D+62.5
Precinct 0300012360270300012	4	10	0	14	28.6%	71.4%	R+42.9
Precinct 0300016360270300016	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−2.0%
1896	−28.3%
1900	−21.1%
1904	−16.7%
1908	−10.5%
1912	−0.2%
1916	−10.7%
1920	−34.8%
1924	−38.8%
1928	−25.5%
1932	−11.5%
1936	−8.1%
1940	−11.6%
1944	−18.1%
1948	−31.4%
1952	−42.5%
1956	−56.7%
1960	−21.4%
1964	+25.9%
1968	−17.1%
1972	−39.8%
1976	−15.3%
1980	−26.9%
1984	−36.2%
1988	−22.8%
1992	−4.4%
1996	+5.2%
2000	−0.2%
2004	−4.1%
2008	+8.6%
2012	+7.5%
2016	+0.4%
2020	+9.7%
2024	+5.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	52.4%Harris79,994	47.0%Trump71,778	0.6%	D+5.4	R+4.3	D+6.9	152,659
2020	D	54.0%Biden81,443	44.4%Trump66,872	0.8%Jorgensen1,247	D+9.7	D+9.3	D+5.2	150,745
2016	D	47.5%Clinton62,285	47.2%Trump61,821	2.7%Johnson3,602	D+0.4	R+7.2	R+1.7	131,018
2012	D	52.8%Obama65,312	45.3%Romney56,025	1.8%Johnson2,210	D+7.5	R+1.1	D+3.7	123,705
2008	D	53.7%Obama71,060	45.1%McCain59,628	1.2%	D+8.6	D+12.8	D+1.4	132,302
2004	R	47.0%Kerry58,232	51.2%Bush63,372	1.8%	R+4.1	R+3.9	R+1.7	123,881
2000	R	46.9%Gore52,390	47.1%Bush52,669	5.0%Nader5,553	R+0.2	R+5.5	R+0.8	111,771
1996	D	45.6%Clinton47,339	40.4%Dole41,929	11.8%Perot12,294	D+5.2	D+9.6	R+3.3	103,821
1992	R	36.1%Clinton41,655	40.5%Bush46,709	22.8%Perot26,320	R+4.4	D+18.4	R+9.9	115,328
1988	R	38.2%Dukakis38,968	61.0%Bush62,165	0.8%	R+22.8	D+13.4	R+15.0	101,959
1984	R	31.7%Mondale32,867	67.9%Reagan70,324	0.4%	R+36.2	R+9.3	R+17.9	103,580
1980	R	30.8%Carter28,616	57.6%Reagan53,616	11.6%	R+26.9	R+11.6	R+17.1	93,007
1976	R	41.6%Carter37,531	56.9%Ford51,312	1.4%	R+15.3	D+24.5	R+17.4	90,111
1972	R	30.0%McGovern27,872	69.8%Nixon64,864	0.2%	R+39.8	R+22.8	R+16.7	92,903
1968	R	37.8%Humphrey31,025	54.9%Nixon45,032	7.3%	R+17.1	R+43.0	R+16.4	82,067
1964	D	62.9%Johnson50,179	37.0%Goldwater29,503	0.1%	D+25.9	D+47.3	D+3.4	79,725
1960	R	39.3%Kennedy29,842	60.7%Nixon46,109	0.1%	R+21.4	D+35.3	R+21.6	76,004
1956	R	21.6%Stevenson14,876	78.4%Eisenhower53,840	0.0%	R+56.7	R+14.2	R+41.3	68,716
1952	R	28.6%Stevenson18,644	71.1%Eisenhower46,381	0.3%	R+42.5	R+11.2	R+31.8	65,198
1948	R	32.9%Truman17,439	64.2%Dewey34,067	2.9%	R+31.4	R+13.2	R+35.8	53,039
1944	R	40.8%Roosevelt22,778	58.9%Dewey32,890	0.3%	R+18.1	R+6.5	R+25.6	55,826
1940	R	44.1%Roosevelt25,598	55.7%Willkie32,329	0.2%	R+11.6	R+3.5	R+21.5	58,049
1936	R	45.0%Roosevelt24,467	53.1%Landon28,868	1.9%	R+8.1	D+3.4	R+32.4	54,345
1932	R	43.5%Roosevelt20,374	55.0%Hoover25,757	1.6%	R+11.5	D+14.0	R+29.3	46,871
1928	R	35.8%Smith16,748	61.3%Hoover28,687	2.9%	R+25.5	D+13.3	R+8.0	46,801
1924	R	25.8%Davis8,864	64.6%Coolidge22,173	9.0%La Follette3,092	R+38.8	R+4.0	R+13.6	34,303
1920	R	30.8%Cox9,938	65.6%Harding21,152	3.6%	R+34.8	R+24.1	R+8.6	32,246
1916	R	43.9%Wilson8,906	54.6%Hughes11,082	1.5%	R+10.7	R+10.5	R+13.9	20,298
1912	R	43.4%Wilson8,871	43.7%Taft8,916	12.9%	R+0.2	D+10.2	R+19.8	20,425
1908	R	43.1%Bryan8,961	53.6%Taft11,132	3.3%	R+10.5	D+6.3	R+0.9	20,775
1904	R	40.3%Parker8,275	57.1%Roosevelt11,709	2.6%	R+16.7	D+4.4	D+2.9	20,521
1900	R	38.3%Bryan7,691	59.4%McKinley11,936	2.3%	R+21.1	D+7.2	R+13.6	20,098
1896	R	34.2%Bryan6,634	62.4%McKinley12,127	3.4%	R+28.3	R+26.2	R+22.2	19,422
1892	R	46.1%Cleveland8,978	48.1%Harrison9,376	5.9%	R+2.0	—	R+3.7	19,495
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	55.2%74,737	44.8%60,642	135,379
2018	D	52.8%25,529	47.2%22,800	48,329

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MEDSL County Senate Returns 2022-2024; MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0 / CC BY 4.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	55.5%Kirsten E Gillibrand82,986	44.0%Mike Sapraicone65,871	149,599
2022	D	50.1%57,306	49.3%56,351	114,276
2018Class I	D	57.4%Kirsten Gillibrand63,675	42.6%Chele Chiavacci Farley47,268	110,991
2016Class III	D	58.3%Chuck Schumer72,659	39.3%Wendy Long48,934	124,639
2012Class I	D	65.8%Kirsten Gillibrand77,809	32.6%Wendy Long38,607	118,256
2010Class III	D	54.8%Chuck Schumer46,121	43.7%Jay Townsend36,801	84,185
2006Class I	D	56.0%Hillary Clinton45,536	41.6%John Spencer33,790	81,269
2004Class III	D	59.4%Chuck Schumer66,100	34.3%Howard Mills38,170	111,267
2000Class I	R	41.3%Hillary Clinton45,658	56.5%Rick Lazio62,393	110,501
1998Class III	R	41.8%Chuck Schumer31,431	56.8%Al D'Amato42,735	75,254
1994Class I	R	43.2%Daniel P. Moynihan35,741	53.0%Bernadette Castro43,908	82,827
1992Class III	R	40.0%Robert Abrams43,477	56.5%Al D'Amato61,406	108,648
1988Class I	D	54.5%Daniel P. Moynihan51,928	43.3%Robert R. McMillan41,231	95,257
1986Class III	R	31.6%Mark Green19,485	65.5%Al D'Amato40,359	61,656
1982Class I	D	50.7%Daniel P. Moynihan38,114	48.5%Florence M. Sullivan36,526	75,245
1980Class III	R	37.3%Elizabeth Holtman33,725	51.6%Al D'Amato46,618	90,360
1976Class I	R	40.8%Daniel P. Moynihan35,760	58.4%James L. Buckley51,226	87,701
1974Class III	R	32.5%Ramsey Clark23,070	43.9%Jacob Javits31,193	71,044
1970Class I	D	25.7%Richard L. Ottinger18,745	22.4%Charles Goodell16,332	72,876
1968Class III	R	28.9%Paul O'Dwyer23,109	50.5%Jacob Javits40,447	80,071
1964Class I	R	48.0%Robert Kennedy38,084	49.3%Kenneth Keating39,134	79,324
1962Class III	R	31.9%James B. Donovan18,716	65.0%Jacob Javits38,199	58,727
1958Class I	R	36.3%Frank S. Hogan20,231	63.5%Kenneth Keating35,401	55,782
1952Class I	R	26.9%John Cashmore17,245	71.2%Irving M. Ives45,721	64,182
1950Class III	R	38.9%Herbert H. Lehman18,807	59.5%Joe R. Hanley28,747	48,309
1932Class III	R	43.4%Robert F. Wagner19,896	53.7%George Z. Medalie24,628	45,858
1926Class III	R	34.1%Robert F. Wagner10,342	52.3%James Wadsworth Jr.15,866	30,355
1920Class III	R	31.7%Harry C. Walker9,646	58.4%James Wadsworth Jr.17,785	30,452

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2010Special · Class I	D	54.7%Kirsten Gillibrand45,740	43.6%Joseph DioGuardi36,457	83,563
1949Special · Class III	R	37.7%Herbert H. Lehman18,043	62.3%John F. Dulles29,861	47,904

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	48.0%Kathy C Hochul55,519	51.4%Lee Zeldin59,486	115,726
2018	R	44.8%Andrew M Cuomo51,188	51.8%Marc Molinaro59,137	114,199
2014	R	44.1%Andrew Cuomo33,306	50.1%Rob Astorino37,832	75,535
2010	D	55.8%Andrew Cuomo48,165	40.4%Carl Paladino34,874	86,342
2006	D	62.2%Eliot Spitzer50,682	35.7%John Faso29,095	81,447
2002	R	24.5%Carl McCall18,606	58.3%George Pataki44,289	76,025
1998	R	19.8%Peter Vallone Sr.15,121	69.9%George Pataki53,442	76,406
1994	R	28.1%Mario Cuomo24,892	66.7%George Pataki59,053	88,560
1990	D	36.8%Mario Cuomo24,878	29.6%Pierre Rinfret19,985	67,518
1986	D	51.0%Mario Cuomo31,668	45.8%Andrew O'Rourke28,474	62,118
1982	R	35.9%Mario Cuomo27,814	62.4%Lewis Lehrman48,277	77,420
1978	R	40.1%Hugh Carey27,743	55.4%Perry Duryea38,285	69,111

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+9.7

Presidential vote · 2024D+5.4

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.3 points more Democratic.

219,940 registered voters · 2026

Democratic36.7%Republican27.0%Unaffiliated29.8%Other6.5%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+775 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −8,284 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $96,973 in average income, against $106,280 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+20.2 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Dutchess County, NY itself (D+5.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Westchester County, NY957D+26.1
Ulster County, NY504D+18.5
Orange County, NY500R+8.4
Bronx County, NY437D+45.1
Putnam County, NY411R+13.6
Kings County, NY377D+43.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Ulster County, NY629
Orange County, NY501
Westchester County, NY422
New York County, NY308
Kings County, NY218
Putnam County, NY211

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Dutchess County, NY in Dutchess County, NY: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−725
2012	−2,005
2013	−1,540
2014	−1,864
2015	−1,931
2016	−1,673
2017	+158
2018	+177
2019	+247
2021	+1,430
2022	−624
2023	−765
2024	+56
2025	+775

Dutchess sits in the mid-Hudson Valley, where an influx of New York City exurbanites has gradually narrowed and reversed a once-reliable Republican margin, leaving it competitive in most statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.7 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.4 points.

A population of 298,220, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,478 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Burlington County and Monroe County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Burlington County

New Jersey

94.9twin score

2020–2024 trajectorycollege sharemedian income

Monroe County

New York

93.8twin score

2020–2024 trajectorycollege shareItalian ancestry≠ median income

Westchester County

New York

93.5twin score

2020–2024 trajectory% CatholicItalian ancestry≠ 2016 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Dutchess County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Frequently asked questions

How did Dutchess County, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dutchess County, New York voted Democratic by 5.4 points (D+5.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 152,659 votes cast, 79,994 went Democratic and 71,778 went Republican.

When did Dutchess County, New York last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Dutchess County, New York voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Dutchess County, New York?

Dutchess County, New York has a population of 298,220 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dutchess County, New York?

Median household income in Dutchess County, New York is $99,478 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of Dutchess County, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dutchess County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Measure

Dutchess County

New York

United States

Median age

42.5

39.9

39.1

Age 18–24

10.3%

9.0%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.3%

18.0%

17.2%

Measure

Dutchess County

New York

United States

Median household income

$99,478

$85,974

$84,427

Poverty rate

8.4%

14.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

41.6%

40.0%

35.6%

Measure

Dutchess County

New York

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

16.2%

30.9%

22.3%

Spanish

9.3%

14.8%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

2.3%

4.0%

2.0%

Measure

Dutchess County

New York

United States

Catholic

33.5%

30.8%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

4.4%

5.1%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

51.4%

48.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

5.0%

3.8%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+5.4MIT Election Lab

Population

298,2202024 5-year

Median household income

$99,4782024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

66.1%2024 5-year

Black

9.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

15.4%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+25.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+56.7 in 1956MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Burlington County, NJ · twin score 94.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

131,140

223,171

58.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

115,563

223,789

51.6%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

151,842

224,741

67.6%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

115,150

229,002

50.3%

C/A

2024 · Presidential

154,677

230,507

67.1%

A/A

Dutchess County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct 1000001360271000001

901

629

1,539

58.5%

40.9%

D+17.7

Precinct 1700003360271700003

978

499

1,498

65.3%

33.3%

D+32.0

Precinct 0700004360270700004

764

709

1,489

51.3%

47.6%

D+3.7

Precinct 1200003360271200003

590

885

1,488

39.7%

59.5%

R+19.8

Precinct 1603003360271603003

792

672

1,473

53.8%

45.6%

D+8.1

Precinct 2000001360272000001

580

857

1,448

40.1%

59.2%

R+19.1

Precinct 0600003360270600003

583

854

1,445

40.3%

59.1%

R+18.8

Precinct 0900006360270900006

650

778

1,444

45.0%

53.9%

R+8.9

Precinct 0900003360270900003

665

765

1,441

46.1%

53.1%

R+6.9

Precinct 0600012360270600012

556

866

1,438

38.7%

60.2%

R+21.6

Precinct 1700005360271700005

880

538

1,435

61.3%

37.5%

D+23.8

Precinct 0900001360270900001

608

802

1,434

42.4%

55.9%

R+13.5

Precinct 0900005360270900005

603

806

1,429

42.2%

56.4%

R+14.2

Precinct 0700006360270700006

614

797

1,425

43.1%

55.9%

R+12.8

Precinct 0801001360270801001

773

637

1,423

54.3%

44.8%

D+9.6

Precinct 0600001360270600001

544

864

1,422

38.3%

60.8%

R+22.5

Precinct 2000002360272000002

514

885

1,414

36.4%

62.6%

R+26.2

Precinct 1200001360271200001

614

786

1,411

43.5%

55.7%

R+12.2

Precinct 0600004360270600004

531

856

1,409

37.7%

60.8%

R+23.1

Precinct 1300001360271300001

677

696

1,389

48.7%

50.1%

R+1.4

Precinct 0600010360270600010

557

820

1,384

40.2%

59.2%

R+19.0

Precinct 0600011360270600011

572

786

1,374

41.6%

57.2%

R+15.6

Precinct 0600006360270600006

544

814

1,373

39.6%

59.3%

R+19.7

Precinct 0802001360270802001

701

649

1,369

51.2%

47.4%

D+3.8

Precinct 0900004360270900004

682

661

1,363

50.0%

48.5%

D+1.5

Precinct 1700001360271700001

928

413

1,363

68.1%

30.3%

D+37.8

Precinct 1700004360271700004

860

478

1,359

63.3%

35.2%

D+28.1

Precinct 0700007360270700007

520

829

1,356

38.3%

61.1%

R+22.8

Precinct 0600005360270600005

453

885

1,355

33.4%

65.3%

R+31.9

Precinct 1504002360271504002

935

398

1,345

69.5%

29.6%

D+39.9

Precinct 0801002360270801002

743

587

1,343

55.3%

43.7%

D+11.6

Precinct 0400001360270400001

757

565

1,342

56.4%

42.1%

D+14.3

Precinct 0600008360270600008

495

824

1,329

37.2%

62.0%

R+24.8

Precinct 0700003360270700003

695

619

1,322

52.6%

46.8%

D+5.7

Precinct 0600007360270600007

531

763

1,309

40.6%

58.3%

R+17.7

Precinct 1606005360271606005

776

523

1,309

59.3%

40.0%

D+19.3

Precinct 0900007360270900007

552

732

1,302

42.4%

56.2%

R+13.8

Precinct 0600009360270600009

533

749

1,293

41.2%

57.9%

R+16.7

Precinct 0900002360270900002

551

720

1,286

42.8%

56.0%

R+13.1

Precinct 0600002360270600002

552

718

1,285

43.0%

55.9%

R+12.9

Precinct 1605003360271605003

676

590

1,274

53.1%

46.3%

D+6.8

Precinct 2103002360272103002

596

659

1,268

47.0%

52.0%

R+5.0

Precinct 0400002360270400002

704

546

1,259

55.9%

43.4%

D+12.5

Precinct 1604003360271604003

761

473

1,254

60.7%

37.7%

D+23.0

Precinct 0700002360270700002

745

489

1,244

59.9%

39.3%

D+20.6

Precinct 2104004360272104004

557

675

1,244

44.8%

54.3%

R+9.5

Precinct 1603002360271603002

639

579

1,234

51.8%

46.9%

D+4.9

Precinct 1605002360271605002

742

469

1,231

60.3%

38.1%

D+22.2

Precinct 2104003360272104003

449

731

1,192

37.7%

61.3%

R+23.7

Precinct 1508002360271508002

746

425

1,180

63.2%

36.0%

D+27.2

Precinct 0300001360270300001

404

757

1,171

34.5%

64.6%

R+30.1

Precinct 1508001360271508001

800

365

1,171

68.3%

31.2%

D+37.1

Precinct 0804003360270804003

525

622

1,158

45.3%

53.7%

R+8.4

Precinct 1604004360271604004

668

472

1,156

57.8%

40.8%

D+17.0

Precinct 2104002360272104002

519

624

1,152

45.1%

54.2%

R+9.1

Precinct 0700005360270700005

564

582

1,150

49.0%

50.6%

R+1.6

Precinct 0300004360270300004

523

593

1,127

46.4%

52.6%

R+6.2

Precinct 1900001360271900001

584

527

1,127

51.8%

46.8%

D+5.1

Precinct 0700008360270700008

592

498

1,104

53.6%

45.1%

D+8.5

Precinct 0802002360270802002

562

520

1,093

51.4%

47.6%

D+3.8

Precinct 1400001360271400001

438

640

1,093

40.1%

58.6%

R+18.5

Precinct 1200004360271200004

509

572

1,092

46.6%

52.4%

R+5.8

Precinct 1900002360271900002

521

560

1,090

47.8%

51.4%

R+3.6

Precinct 2102003360272102003

474

603

1,090

43.5%

55.3%

R+11.8

Precinct 0700009360270700009

560

525

1,089

51.4%

48.2%

D+3.2

Precinct 2102002360272102002

498

583

1,089

45.7%

53.5%

R+7.8

Precinct 2102001360272102001

598

474

1,085

55.1%

43.7%

D+11.4

Precinct 0804002360270804002

533

538

1,081

49.3%

49.8%

R+0.5

Precinct 2103003360272103003

489

571

1,076

45.4%

53.1%

R+7.6

Precinct 1601001360271601001

514

548

1,073

47.9%

51.1%

R+3.2

Precinct 1800001360271800001

708

344

1,069

66.2%

32.2%

D+34.1

Precinct 0803001360270803001

504

551

1,066

47.3%

51.7%

R+4.4

Precinct 1605001360271605001

631

419

1,066

59.2%

39.3%

D+19.9

Precinct 1601002360271601002

476

569

1,048

45.4%

54.3%

R+8.9

Precinct 1800004360271800004

781

230

1,025

76.2%

22.4%

D+53.8

Precinct 0700010360270700010

528

484

1,018

51.9%

47.5%

D+4.3

Precinct 0300002360270300002

406

598

1,010

40.2%

59.2%

R+19.0

Precinct 1602003360271602003

523

477

1,008

51.9%

47.3%

D+4.6

Precinct 0202001360270202001

802

183

1,007

79.6%

18.2%

D+61.5

Precinct 1400006360271400006

479

515

1,007

47.6%

51.1%

R+3.6

Precinct 0500002360270500002

376

622

1,005

37.4%

61.9%

R+24.5

Precinct 0201002360270201002

726

248

1,003

72.4%

24.7%

D+47.7

Precinct 2101004360272101004

464

533

999

46.4%

53.4%

R+6.9

Precinct 0204001360270204001

725

260

995

72.9%

26.1%

D+46.7

Precinct 1800005360271800005

660

319

985

67.0%

32.4%

D+34.6

Precinct 1602004360271602004

495

479

983

50.4%

48.7%

D+1.6

Precinct 0100002360270100002

446

520

974

45.8%

53.4%

R+7.6

Precinct 0300003360270300003

370

580

970

38.1%

59.8%

R+21.6

Precinct 0203002360270203002

666

282

967

68.9%

29.2%

D+39.7

Precinct 0803002360270803002

463

486

956

48.4%

50.8%

R+2.4

Precinct 0804001360270804001

404

546

956

42.3%

57.1%

R+14.9

Precinct 2101001360272101001

475

472

951

49.9%

49.6%

D+0.3

Precinct 0204002360270204002

706

219

945

74.7%

23.2%

D+51.5

Precinct 0600013360270600013

316

622

944

33.5%

65.9%

R+32.4

Precinct 0500003360270500003

371

560

942

39.4%

59.4%

R+20.1

Precinct 0100001360270100001

457

462

931

49.1%

49.6%

R+0.5

Precinct 1400002360271400002

460

453

925

49.7%

49.0%

D+0.8

Precinct 0500001360270500001

321

589

914

35.1%

64.4%

R+29.3

Precinct 1604002360271604002

502

403

907

55.3%

44.4%

D+10.9

Precinct 1505001360271505001

759

143

906

83.8%

15.8%

D+68.0

Precinct 2103005360272103005

399

499

905

44.1%

55.1%

R+11.0

Precinct 2200003360272200003

437

443

890

49.1%

49.8%

R+0.7

Precinct 0202002360270202002

678

198

889

76.3%

22.3%

D+54.0

Precinct 0500004360270500004

377

507

889

42.4%

57.0%

R+14.6

Precinct 1800003360271800003

665

203

873

76.2%

23.3%

D+52.9

Precinct 2103001360272103001

400

463

869

46.0%

53.3%

R+7.2

Precinct 1400004360271400004

445

413

865

51.4%

47.7%

D+3.7

Precinct 0201001360270201001

663

178

859

77.2%

20.7%

D+56.5

Precinct 0300005360270300005

331

521

856

38.7%

60.9%

R+22.2

Precinct 2200001360272200001

501

343

854

58.7%

40.2%

D+18.5

Precinct 1200002360271200002

453

384

843

53.7%

45.6%

D+8.2

Precinct 1602002360271602002

413

418

841

49.1%

49.7%

R+0.6

Precinct 1602001360271602001

520

302

840

61.9%

36.0%

D+26.0

Precinct 2200002360272200002

469

351

835

56.2%

42.0%

D+14.1

Precinct 1603001360271603001

529

288

827

64.0%

34.8%

D+29.1

Precinct 1400003360271400003

321

498

823

39.0%

60.5%

R+21.5

Precinct 1800002360271800002

626

184

823

76.1%

22.4%

D+53.7

Precinct 1606001360271606001

511

292

813

62.9%

35.9%

D+26.9

Precinct 1400005360271400005

330

445

778

42.4%

57.2%

R+14.8

Precinct 0203001360270203001

595

171

777

76.6%

22.0%

D+54.6

Precinct 0700001360270700001

497

264

771

64.5%

34.2%

D+30.2

Precinct 1503001360271503001

604

134

741

81.5%

18.1%

D+63.4

Precinct 1100002360271100002

436

292

735

59.3%

39.7%

D+19.6

Precinct 1502002360271502002

521

192

719

72.5%

26.7%

D+45.8

Precinct 1100001360271100001

417

286

712

58.6%

40.2%

D+18.4

Precinct 1601003360271601003

351

310

667

52.6%

46.5%

D+6.1

Precinct 0300008360270300008

239

421

665

35.9%

63.3%

R+27.4

Precinct 1603004360271603004

364

282

656

55.5%

43.0%

D+12.5

Precinct 1504001360271504001

436

148

588

74.1%

25.2%

D+49.0

Precinct 2101003360272101003

287

261

557

51.5%

46.9%

D+4.7

Precinct 1700002360271700002

524

552

94.9%

1.4%

D+93.5

Precinct 0300007360270300007

177

372

550

32.2%

67.6%

R+35.5

Precinct 1501001360271501001

382

157

545

70.1%

28.8%

D+41.3

Precinct 1501002360271501002

390

148

544

71.7%

27.2%

D+44.5

Precinct 1502001360271502001

434

538

80.7%

15.8%

D+64.9

Precinct 2101002360272101002

279

229

515

54.2%

44.5%

D+9.7

Precinct 1507003360271507003

366

116

487

75.2%

23.8%

D+51.3

Precinct 1606002360271606002

432

451

95.8%

3.1%

D+92.7

Precinct 1506002360271506002

331

100

434

76.3%

23.0%

D+53.2

Precinct 1506001360271506001

328

411

79.8%

18.5%

D+61.3

Precinct 1601004360271601004

213

193

408

52.2%

47.3%

D+4.9

Precinct 1507001360271507001

300

382

78.5%

20.9%

D+57.6

Precinct 2103004360272103004

176

189

368

47.8%

51.4%

R+3.5

Precinct 1606006360271606006

228

116

350

65.1%

33.1%

D+32.0

Precinct 0300011360270300011

106

224

331

32.0%

67.7%

R+35.6

Precinct 0300009360270300009

109

209

321

34.0%

65.1%

R+31.2

Precinct 1606004360271606004

184

121

315

58.4%

38.4%

D+20.0

Precinct 1606003360271606003

251

302

83.1%

14.6%

D+68.5

Precinct 1700006360271700006

146

251

58.2%

39.4%

D+18.7

Precinct 2103006360272103006

147

246

39.4%

59.8%

R+20.3

Precinct 2104001360272104001

147

232

36.2%

63.4%

R+27.2

Precinct 0300006360270300006

121

190

36.3%

63.7%

R+27.4

Precinct 1506003360271506003

132

174

75.9%

22.4%

D+53.4

Precinct 1604001360271604001

145

49.0%

49.7%

R+0.7

Precinct 1508003360271508003

116

69.0%

29.3%

D+39.7

Precinct 0803003360270803003

111

59.5%

38.7%

D+20.7

Precinct 1504003360271504003

104

76.9%

22.1%

D+54.8

Precinct 1507002360271507002

103

80.6%

17.5%

D+63.1

Precinct 1503002360271503002

52.4%

46.3%

D+6.1

Precinct 0300015360270300015

36.2%

62.1%

R+25.9

Precinct 1503003360271503003

71.4%

28.6%

D+42.9

Precinct 1504004360271504004

76.9%

17.9%

D+59.0

Precinct 0300013360270300013

33.3%

66.7%

R+33.3

Precinct 1507004360271507004

61.5%

38.5%

D+23.1

Precinct 0300010360270300010

50.0%

45.8%

D+4.2

Precinct 1506005360271506005

73.9%

26.1%

D+47.8

Precinct 0300014360270300014

55.0%

45.0%

D+10.0

Precinct 1506004360271506004

55.6%

44.4%

D+11.1

Precinct 1505002360271505002

81.3%

18.8%

D+62.5

Precinct 0300012360270300012

28.6%

71.4%

R+42.9

Precinct 0300016360270300016

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−2.0%
1896	−28.3%
1900	−21.1%
1904	−16.7%
1908	−10.5%
1912	−0.2%
1916	−10.7%
1920	−34.8%
1924	−38.8%
1928	−25.5%
1932	−11.5%
1936	−8.1%
1940	−11.6%
1944	−18.1%
1948	−31.4%
1952	−42.5%
1956	−56.7%
1960	−21.4%
1964	+25.9%
1968	−17.1%
1972	−39.8%
1976	−15.3%
1980	−26.9%
1984	−36.2%
1988	−22.8%
1992	−4.4%
1996	+5.2%
2000	−0.2%
2004	−4.1%
2008	+8.6%
2012	+7.5%
2016	+0.4%
2020	+9.7%
2024	+5.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

52.4%Harris79,994

47.0%Trump71,778

0.6%

D+5.4

R+4.3

D+6.9

152,659

2020

54.0%Biden81,443

44.4%Trump66,872

0.8%Jorgensen1,247

D+9.7

D+9.3

D+5.2

150,745

2016

47.5%Clinton62,285

47.2%Trump61,821

2.7%Johnson3,602

D+0.4

R+7.2

R+1.7

131,018

2012

52.8%Obama65,312

45.3%Romney56,025

1.8%Johnson2,210

D+7.5

R+1.1

D+3.7

123,705

2008

53.7%Obama71,060

45.1%McCain59,628

1.2%

D+8.6

D+12.8

D+1.4

132,302

2004

47.0%Kerry58,232

51.2%Bush63,372

1.8%

R+4.1

R+3.9

R+1.7

123,881

2000

46.9%Gore52,390

47.1%Bush52,669

5.0%Nader5,553

R+0.2

R+5.5

R+0.8

111,771

1996

45.6%Clinton47,339

40.4%Dole41,929

11.8%Perot12,294

D+5.2

D+9.6

R+3.3

103,821

1992

36.1%Clinton41,655

40.5%Bush46,709

22.8%Perot26,320

R+4.4

D+18.4

R+9.9

115,328

1988

38.2%Dukakis38,968

61.0%Bush62,165

0.8%

R+22.8

D+13.4

R+15.0

101,959

1984

31.7%Mondale32,867

67.9%Reagan70,324

0.4%

R+36.2

R+9.3

R+17.9

103,580

1980

30.8%Carter28,616

57.6%Reagan53,616

11.6%

R+26.9

R+11.6

R+17.1

93,007

1976

41.6%Carter37,531

56.9%Ford51,312

1.4%

R+15.3

D+24.5

R+17.4

90,111

1972

30.0%McGovern27,872

69.8%Nixon64,864

0.2%

R+39.8

R+22.8

R+16.7

92,903

1968

37.8%Humphrey31,025

54.9%Nixon45,032

7.3%

R+17.1

R+43.0

R+16.4

82,067

1964

62.9%Johnson50,179

37.0%Goldwater29,503

0.1%

D+25.9

D+47.3

D+3.4

79,725

1960

39.3%Kennedy29,842

60.7%Nixon46,109

0.1%

R+21.4

D+35.3

R+21.6

76,004

1956

21.6%Stevenson14,876

78.4%Eisenhower53,840

0.0%

R+56.7

R+14.2

R+41.3

68,716

1952

28.6%Stevenson18,644

71.1%Eisenhower46,381

0.3%

R+42.5

R+11.2

R+31.8

65,198

1948

32.9%Truman17,439

64.2%Dewey34,067

2.9%

R+31.4

R+13.2

R+35.8

53,039

1944

40.8%Roosevelt22,778

58.9%Dewey32,890

0.3%

R+18.1

R+6.5

R+25.6

55,826

1940

44.1%Roosevelt25,598

55.7%Willkie32,329

0.2%

R+11.6

R+3.5

R+21.5

58,049

1936

45.0%Roosevelt24,467

53.1%Landon28,868

1.9%

R+8.1

D+3.4

R+32.4

54,345

1932

43.5%Roosevelt20,374

55.0%Hoover25,757

1.6%

R+11.5

D+14.0

R+29.3

46,871

1928

35.8%Smith16,748

61.3%Hoover28,687

2.9%

R+25.5

D+13.3

R+8.0

46,801

1924

25.8%Davis8,864

64.6%Coolidge22,173

9.0%La Follette3,092

R+38.8

R+4.0

R+13.6

34,303

1920

30.8%Cox9,938

65.6%Harding21,152

3.6%

R+34.8

R+24.1

R+8.6

32,246

1916

43.9%Wilson8,906

54.6%Hughes11,082

1.5%

R+10.7

R+10.5

R+13.9

20,298

1912

43.4%Wilson8,871

43.7%Taft8,916

12.9%

R+0.2

D+10.2

R+19.8

20,425

1908

43.1%Bryan8,961

53.6%Taft11,132

3.3%

R+10.5

D+6.3

R+0.9

20,775

1904

40.3%Parker8,275

57.1%Roosevelt11,709

2.6%

R+16.7

D+4.4

D+2.9

20,521

1900

38.3%Bryan7,691

59.4%McKinley11,936

2.3%

R+21.1

D+7.2

R+13.6

20,098

1896

34.2%Bryan6,634

62.4%McKinley12,127

3.4%

R+28.3

R+26.2

R+22.2

19,422

1892

46.1%Cleveland8,978

48.1%Harrison9,376

5.9%

R+2.0

—

R+3.7

19,495

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

55.2%74,737

44.8%60,642

135,379

2018

52.8%25,529

47.2%22,800

48,329

Sources · MEDSL County Senate Returns 2022-2024; MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0 / CC BY 4.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

55.5%Kirsten E Gillibrand82,986

44.0%Mike Sapraicone65,871

149,599

2022

50.1%57,306

49.3%56,351

114,276

2018Class I

57.4%Kirsten Gillibrand63,675

42.6%Chele Chiavacci Farley47,268

110,991

2016Class III

58.3%Chuck Schumer72,659

39.3%Wendy Long48,934

124,639

2012Class I

65.8%Kirsten Gillibrand77,809

32.6%Wendy Long38,607

118,256

2010Class III

54.8%Chuck Schumer46,121

43.7%Jay Townsend36,801

84,185

2006Class I

56.0%Hillary Clinton45,536

41.6%John Spencer33,790

81,269

2004Class III

59.4%Chuck Schumer66,100

34.3%Howard Mills38,170

111,267

2000Class I

41.3%Hillary Clinton45,658

56.5%Rick Lazio62,393

110,501

1998Class III

41.8%Chuck Schumer31,431

56.8%Al D'Amato42,735

75,254

1994Class I

43.2%Daniel P. Moynihan35,741

53.0%Bernadette Castro43,908

82,827

1992Class III

40.0%Robert Abrams43,477

56.5%Al D'Amato61,406

108,648

1988Class I

54.5%Daniel P. Moynihan51,928

43.3%Robert R. McMillan41,231

95,257

1986Class III

31.6%Mark Green19,485

65.5%Al D'Amato40,359

61,656

1982Class I

50.7%Daniel P. Moynihan38,114

48.5%Florence M. Sullivan36,526

75,245

1980Class III

37.3%Elizabeth Holtman33,725

51.6%Al D'Amato46,618

90,360

1976Class I

40.8%Daniel P. Moynihan35,760

58.4%James L. Buckley51,226

87,701

1974Class III

32.5%Ramsey Clark23,070

43.9%Jacob Javits31,193

71,044

1970Class I

25.7%Richard L. Ottinger18,745

22.4%Charles Goodell16,332

72,876

1968Class III

28.9%Paul O'Dwyer23,109

50.5%Jacob Javits40,447

80,071

1964Class I

48.0%Robert Kennedy38,084

49.3%Kenneth Keating39,134

79,324

1962Class III

31.9%James B. Donovan18,716

65.0%Jacob Javits38,199

58,727

1958Class I

36.3%Frank S. Hogan20,231

63.5%Kenneth Keating35,401

55,782

1952Class I

26.9%John Cashmore17,245

71.2%Irving M. Ives45,721

64,182

1950Class III

38.9%Herbert H. Lehman18,807

59.5%Joe R. Hanley28,747

48,309

1932Class III

43.4%Robert F. Wagner19,896

53.7%George Z. Medalie24,628

45,858

1926Class III

34.1%Robert F. Wagner10,342

52.3%James Wadsworth Jr.15,866

30,355

1920Class III

31.7%Harry C. Walker9,646

58.4%James Wadsworth Jr.17,785

30,452

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2010Special · Class I

54.7%Kirsten Gillibrand45,740

43.6%Joseph DioGuardi36,457

83,563

1949Special · Class III

37.7%Herbert H. Lehman18,043

62.3%John F. Dulles29,861

47,904

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

48.0%Kathy C Hochul55,519

51.4%Lee Zeldin59,486

115,726

2018

44.8%Andrew M Cuomo51,188

51.8%Marc Molinaro59,137

114,199

2014

44.1%Andrew Cuomo33,306

50.1%Rob Astorino37,832

75,535

2010

55.8%Andrew Cuomo48,165

40.4%Carl Paladino34,874

86,342

2006

62.2%Eliot Spitzer50,682

35.7%John Faso29,095

81,447

2002

24.5%Carl McCall18,606

58.3%George Pataki44,289

76,025

1998

19.8%Peter Vallone Sr.15,121

69.9%George Pataki53,442

76,406

1994

28.1%Mario Cuomo24,892

66.7%George Pataki59,053

88,560

1990

36.8%Mario Cuomo24,878

29.6%Pierre Rinfret19,985

67,518

1986

51.0%Mario Cuomo31,668

45.8%Andrew O'Rourke28,474

62,118

1982

35.9%Mario Cuomo27,814

62.4%Lewis Lehrman48,277

77,420

1978

40.1%Hugh Carey27,743

55.4%Perry Duryea38,285

69,111

Frequently asked questions

How did Dutchess County, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, Dutchess County, New York voted Democratic by 5.4 points (D+5.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 152,659 votes cast, 79,994 went Democratic and 71,778 went Republican.

When did Dutchess County, New York last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Dutchess County, New York voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Dutchess County, New York?

Dutchess County, New York has a population of 298,220 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Dutchess County, New York?

Median household income in Dutchess County, New York is $99,478 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of Dutchess County, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dutchess County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.