- Lead
- 24,187
- Total
- 75,860
- vs nation
- D+33.4
New York 103rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,841
- Total
- 75,491
- vs nation
- D+28.4
- Lead
- 14,957
- Total
- 67,026
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Lead
- 21,119
- Total
- 63,692
- vs nation
- D+29.3
- Lead
- 24,193
- Total
- 70,668
- vs nation
- D+27.0
- Lead
- 15,208
- Total
- 68,018
- vs nation
- D+24.8
- Lead
- 10,760
- Total
- 60,678
- vs nation
- D+17.2
- Lead
- 13,314
- Total
- 58,095
- vs nation
- D+14.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+31.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 131,9452024 5-year
- Population density
- 252 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 523 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,1642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.2 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.7 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 106, NY · twin score 91.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 103rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.6%
30,877 votes · D+33.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 66.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
71.3%
27,935 votes · R+42.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 63.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
49,435votes
65.5% of the vote · D+32.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 46,767 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
31,317votes
57.9% of the vote · R+16.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 30,722 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+29.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.2 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +28.4 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
+27.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.7 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +25.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.8%36,576 | 39.2%23,622 | 60,198 |
| 2020 | D | 63.8%40,154 | 36.2%22,743 | 62,897 |
Assembly District 103 covers a swath of the mid-Hudson Valley where exurban growth and a shrinking Democratic edge among working-class voters have steadily redrawn the competitive map over the past two election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 42.7 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.9 points.
A population of 131,945, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,164 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 106 and 5th Essex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 103rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.