- Lead
- 9,709
- Total
- 28,981
- vs nation
- D+35.0
Massachusetts 28th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,650
- Total
- 29,765
- vs nation
- D+34.7
- Lead
- 8,013
- Total
- 27,791
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Lead
- 6,155
- Total
- 25,105
- vs nation
- D+20.7
- Lead
- 6,995
- Total
- 24,581
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Lead
- 6,000
- Total
- 23,103
- vs nation
- D+28.4
- Lead
- 6,380
- Total
- 21,895
- vs nation
- D+28.6
- Lead
- 7,135
- Total
- 20,861
- vs nation
- D+25.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,6502024 5-year
- Population density
- 809 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 56.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,5302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 1st Essex District, MA · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 28th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
77.4%
15,551 votes · D+55.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 68.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
67.6%
5,904 votes · R+41.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 64.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
20,361votes
68.4% of the vote · D+39.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 18,978 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
10,268votes
55.6% of the vote · R+11.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 10,046 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+38.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +35.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+32.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +15.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 73.6%16,000 | 26.4%5,737 | 21,737 |
The 5th Essex District returns Democratic presidential margins well above the state average, reflecting a densely settled, majority-renter urban core where college-educated voters and immigrant communities make up a substantial share of the electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 41.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.5 points.
A population of 45,650, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,530 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 1st Essex District and 8th Essex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 28th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.