- Lead
- 4,597
- Total
- 16,135
- vs nation
- D+30.0
Massachusetts 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,545
- Total
- 17,938
- vs nation
- D+32.0
- Lead
- 7,908
- Total
- 18,555
- vs nation
- D+40.5
- Lead
- 9,381
- Total
- 18,026
- vs nation
- D+48.2
- Lead
- 9,340
- Total
- 17,978
- vs nation
- D+44.7
- Lead
- 8,529
- Total
- 16,972
- vs nation
- D+52.7
- Lead
- 7,627
- Total
- 15,579
- vs nation
- D+48.4
- Lead
- 8,794
- Total
- 15,972
- vs nation
- D+46.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,1582024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,943 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 21.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,3792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 50.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+13.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 10th Hampden District, MA · twin score 94.5
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
84.7%
14,768 votes · D+69.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 75.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
54.4%
2,749 votes · R+12.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 52.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
14,768votes
84.7% of the vote · D+69.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 13,602 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
6,108votes
40.0% of the vote · D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 5,745 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+58.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+35.2 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +55.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+7.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+13.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −1.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%11,090 | 0.0%0 | 11,090 |
| 2020 | D | 99.9%14,675 | 0.1%9 | 14,684 |
Anchored in Hampden County's urban core, this state house district recorded a 28.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the dense, majority-minority neighborhoods that define its electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 13.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.5 points.
A population of 42,158, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,379 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 10th Hampden District and 9th Hampden District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.