- Lead
- 4,011
- Total
- 14,273
- vs nation
- D+29.6
Massachusetts 52nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,647
- Total
- 14,992
- vs nation
- D+39.9
- Lead
- 7,540
- Total
- 14,964
- vs nation
- D+48.3
- Lead
- 8,734
- Total
- 14,867
- vs nation
- D+54.9
- Lead
- 8,647
- Total
- 15,002
- vs nation
- D+50.4
- Lead
- 7,937
- Total
- 13,868
- vs nation
- D+59.7
- Lead
- 7,116
- Total
- 12,714
- vs nation
- D+55.5
- Lead
- 8,050
- Total
- 12,999
- vs nation
- D+53.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+28.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,8092024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,266 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 9.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,4582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 51.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+4.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 11th Hampden District, MA · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 52nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
87.3%
12,691 votes · D+74.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 79.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
49.9%
1,902 votes · R+1.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 49.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
12,691votes
87.3% of the vote · D+74.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 11,699 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,918votes
34.5% of the vote · D+28.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 4,254 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+67.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.1 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +62.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−1.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+4.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −8.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%10,999 | 0.0%0 | 10,999 |
| 2020 | D | 99.9%14,554 | 0.1%9 | 14,563 |
Anchored in Hampden County's urban core, this district has posted presidential margins above D+25 in recent cycles, reflecting a dense, majority-minority electorate that tilts heavily toward Democratic candidates at every level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 4.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 16.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.1 points.
A population of 41,809, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,458 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 11th Hampden District and State House District 56.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 52nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25052/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.