- Lead
- 6,145
- Total
- 13,691
- vs nation
- D+46.4
Massachusetts 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,388
- Total
- 14,403
- vs nation
- D+53.8
- Lead
- 8,976
- Total
- 14,737
- vs nation
- D+58.8
- Lead
- 10,170
- Total
- 14,883
- vs nation
- D+64.5
- Lead
- 10,087
- Total
- 14,866
- vs nation
- D+60.6
- Lead
- 9,345
- Total
- 13,808
- vs nation
- D+70.1
- Lead
- 8,311
- Total
- 12,619
- vs nation
- D+65.3
- Lead
- 9,121
- Total
- 13,025
- vs nation
- D+61.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,9312024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,780 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,3642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 9th Hampden District, MA · twin score 96.6
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
90.5%
13,485 votes · D+81.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 84.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
42.1%
1,466 votes · D+14.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 40.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
13,485votes
90.5% of the vote · D+81.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 12,436 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,579votes
26.1% of the vote · D+44.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 3,237 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+79.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.5 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +74.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−19.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+13.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −19.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%11,557 | 0.0%0 | 11,557 |
| 2020 | D | 99.9%15,293 | 0.1%9 | 15,302 |
Centered in Springfield, this Hampden County district recorded a 44.9-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a dense, majority-minority urban electorate with some of the state's highest poverty rates.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.1 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 13.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.9 points.
A population of 43,931, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,364 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 9th Hampden District and Assembly District 85.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.