- Lead
- 1,853
- Total
- 24,998
- vs nation
- R+5.9
Massachusetts 14th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 779
- Total
- 24,745
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Lead
- 127
- Total
- 22,367
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Lead
- 2,349
- Total
- 20,816
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Lead
- 2,948
- Total
- 20,997
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 3,836
- Total
- 20,022
- vs nation
- D+21.6
- Lead
- 4,802
- Total
- 18,024
- vs nation
- D+26.1
- Lead
- 5,639
- Total
- 16,748
- vs nation
- D+25.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,7022024 5-year
- Population density
- 991 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 45.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $107,2442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 8th Bristol District, MA · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 14th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.4%
11,755 votes · D+51.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 62.4%
Republican
William McKinley1896
79.8%
2,112 votes · R+63.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 77.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,518votes
50.6% of the vote · D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 11,842 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,147votes
52.6% of the vote · R+7.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,739 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+28.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +26.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+57.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +33.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 81.0%13,301 | 19.0%3,129 | 16,430 |
| 2020 | D | 55.8%11,182 | 44.2%8,855 | 20,037 |
Anchored in Bristol County's working-class communities, the 5th Bristol District has drifted rightward in presidential contests even as Massachusetts remains broadly Democratic, reflecting a regional shift among non-college voters near the Rhode Island border.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.4 points.
A population of 44,702, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,244 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 8th Bristol District and 9th Bristol District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 14th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25014/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.