- Lead
- 1,327
- Total
- 27,660
- vs nation
- D+6.3
Massachusetts 5th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,804
- Total
- 28,268
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Lead
- 317
- Total
- 25,938
- vs nation
- R+3.3
- Lead
- 2,045
- Total
- 25,090
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 24,927
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Lead
- 1,377
- Total
- 24,986
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 22,763
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Lead
- 679
- Total
- 20,652
- vs nation
- R+5.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,1032024 5-year
- Population density
- 490 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 87.9 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $112,1872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 1st Plymouth District, MA · twin score 93.9
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 5th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
53.9%
15,242 votes · D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 51.2%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
88.4%
1,677 votes · R+80.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 88.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
15,242votes
53.9% of the vote · D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 14,155 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
13,422votes
53.5% of the vote · R+8.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 13,058 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+6.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +5.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+75.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+81.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +75.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.8%16,455 | 39.2%10,589 | 27,044 |
| 2020 | D | 65.3%17,395 | 34.7%9,257 | 26,652 |
Covering a slice of Barnstable County on Cape Cod, this district has shifted toward competitive territory at the presidential level, with a 1.3-point Democratic margin in 2024 reflecting the area's mix of year-round working residents and seasonal-economy households.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 81.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.8 points.
A population of 43,103, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $112,187 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 1st Plymouth District and 3rd Barnstable District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 5th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.