- Lead
- 3,412
- Total
- 24,578
- vs nation
- D+15.4
Massachusetts 2nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,888
- Total
- 25,006
- vs nation
- D+15.1
- Lead
- 2,008
- Total
- 23,315
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Lead
- 593
- Total
- 22,444
- vs nation
- R+1.2
- Lead
- 2,015
- Total
- 22,320
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Lead
- 1,197
- Total
- 22,322
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Lead
- 1,168
- Total
- 20,525
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Lead
- 2,471
- Total
- 18,654
- vs nation
- D+4.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,9512024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,026 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 43.8 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,5512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 3rd Barnstable District, MA · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 2nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
58.9%
14,732 votes · D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 55.7%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
87.1%
1,309 votes · R+77.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 86.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
14,732votes
58.9% of the vote · D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 13,701 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
10,764votes
48.0% of the vote · D+2.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 10,454 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+15.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +15.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+73.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+79.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +67.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.8%17,160 | 39.2%11,043 | 28,203 |
| 2020 | D | 65.3%18,141 | 34.7%9,654 | 27,795 |
The 2nd Barnstable District stretches across the mid-Cape, where a large seasonal population and a relatively older year-round base produce a district that leaned Democratic by nearly 14 points in 2024 despite its historically competitive reputation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 79.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.9 points.
A population of 44,951, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,551 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 3rd Barnstable District and 1st Barnstable District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 2nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.