- Lead
- 2,764
- Total
- 23,751
- vs nation
- R+10.2
Massachusetts 17th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 280
- Total
- 23,049
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Lead
- 181
- Total
- 21,125
- vs nation
- R+1.2
- Lead
- 2,277
- Total
- 19,798
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Lead
- 2,882
- Total
- 19,971
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Lead
- 3,676
- Total
- 19,092
- vs nation
- D+21.7
- Lead
- 4,629
- Total
- 17,077
- vs nation
- D+26.6
- Lead
- 5,422
- Total
- 15,667
- vs nation
- D+26.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,8482024 5-year
- Population density
- 379 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 111 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 5th Bristol District, MA · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 17th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.5%
11,242 votes · D+51.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 62.6%
Republican
William McKinley1896
80.3%
1,992 votes · R+63.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 77.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
11,310votes
59.2% of the vote · D+19.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 11,242 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,034votes
54.9% of the vote · R+11.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,446 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+28.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +27.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+57.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +34.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 81.0%12,452 | 19.0%2,929 | 15,381 |
| 2020 | D | 55.8%10,468 | 44.2%8,290 | 18,758 |
The 8th Bristol District delivers presidential margins exceeding 39 points for Democrats, reflecting a dense, urban-skewing constituency in one of the commonwealth's more reliably one-sided corners of the state legislative map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 41,848, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,885 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 5th Bristol District and 9th Bristol District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 17th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.