- Lead
- 110
- Total
- 25,415
- vs nation
- D+1.0
Massachusetts 148th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,653
- Total
- 25,743
- vs nation
- D+2.0
- Lead
- 617
- Total
- 23,416
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Lead
- 1,105
- Total
- 21,616
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 37
- Total
- 21,441
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Lead
- 3
- Total
- 20,111
- vs nation
- D+2.4
- Lead
- 1,097
- Total
- 18,142
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Lead
- 2,763
- Total
- 16,750
- vs nation
- D+8.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,3582024 5-year
- Population density
- 719 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 60.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $113,3092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 18th Worcester District, MA · twin score 96.0
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 148th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.7%
10,797 votes · D+43.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 56.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
78.6%
2,455 votes · R+63.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
13,351votes
51.9% of the vote · D+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,357 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,467votes
49.1% of the vote · R+0.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,698 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+21.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +17.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+57.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +42.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 68.9%13,619 | 31.1%6,143 | 19,762 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of just R+0.4, the 7th Worcester District ranks among Massachusetts's most evenly divided state house seats, making it a reliable bellwether for shifts in working-class suburban sentiment across central New England.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.8 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.4 points.
A population of 43,358, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,309 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 18th Worcester District and 5th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 148th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25148/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.