- Lead
- 2,602
- Total
- 26,039
- vs nation
- R+8.5
Massachusetts 146th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 773
- Total
- 25,859
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Lead
- 2,787
- Total
- 23,896
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Lead
- 3,186
- Total
- 22,088
- vs nation
- R+18.3
- Lead
- 2,230
- Total
- 21,616
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Lead
- 2,066
- Total
- 20,402
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Lead
- 767
- Total
- 18,546
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Lead
- 1,181
- Total
- 16,910
- vs nation
- R+1.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,7432024 5-year
- Population density
- 163 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 275 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,0982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 1st Hampden District, MA · twin score 95.1
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 146th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.2%
9,439 votes · D+32.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 50.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
83.4%
2,762 votes · R+72.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 78.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
12,182votes
47.1% of the vote · R+3.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 11,422 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,024votes
53.9% of the vote · R+10.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,955 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+10.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +6.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+66.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+72.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +50.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 70.3%14,389 | 29.7%6,073 | 20,462 |
Covering small towns in north-central Massachusetts, the 5th Worcester District delivers Republican presidential margins well above the state norm, reflecting a working-class, small-town electorate that has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 72.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.0 points.
A population of 44,743, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,098 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 1st Hampden District and 18th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 146th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25146/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.