akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 104·New York

New York 104th State House District delivered D+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A Hudson Valley district where Democrats regularly build double-digit margins

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
44,542
2024 ACS

New York 104th State House District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
44,5422024 5-year
Median household income
$93,7282024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.9%2024 5-year
Black
9.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
19.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+54 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 2 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+3.4%
10,91110,19421,278
D
+9.0%
11,2229,33520,901
D
+1.4%
8,8088,54718,344
D
+12.4%
9,4237,31417,067
D
+12.2%
10,3588,07118,678
R
−1.3%
8,6948,93317,984
D
+0.6%
7,5087,41315,907
D
+9.8%
7,0475,61514,686
R
−1.5%
6,1606,39915,923
R
−20.6%
5,4828,35013,952
R
−32.6%
4,6809,22613,956
R
−23.1%
4,1036,98112,455
R
−9.7%
5,5326,73712,377
R
−39.7%
3,7638,74312,535
R
−21.5%
3,9156,30611,134
D
+21.6%
6,6424,28110,936
R
−21.9%
4,2796,68310,973
R
−54.2%
2,3497,90410,252
R
−41.1%
2,8426,8239,694
R
−30.7%
2,7215,2548,257
R
−22.5%
3,2175,0958,334
R
−15.2%
3,7645,1188,902
R
−11.3%
3,6354,5848,382
R
−10.9%
3,2094,0047,323
R
−29.2%
2,5924,8217,637
R
−39.4%
1,5043,7805,773
R
−36.5%
1,5203,3935,125
R
−14.4%
1,4041,8883,362
D
+0.7%
1,4121,3883,393
R
−13.3%
1,4511,9173,492
R
−13.0%
1,5161,9863,605
R
−13.2%
1,5121,9833,565
R
−19.0%
1,3221,9633,371
R
−0.5%
1,5831,6013,373
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
15.1%
Italian
14.2%
German
11.1%
English
6.4%
American
5.6%
Polish
3.6%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.4%
2.3%
75–84
2.8%
4.9%
65–74
5.4%
6.8%
55–64
6.9%
6.4%
45–54
6.2%
6.4%
35–44
6.1%
6.2%
25–34
5.9%
4.9%
18–24
4.9%
8.4%
5–17
8.0%
2.9%
<5
2.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$93,728
Assembly District 104 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 104$93,728
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1815.4%
Working age (18–64)12.0%
Seniors (65+)11.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.8%
Other Indo-European8.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
24.7%
Non-Christian
6.1%
Other Christian
5.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Methodist
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Baptist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 104 covers a stretch of the Hudson Valley with a population of roughly 136,000, and its 19.5-point Democratic lean in 2024 reflects a constituency that has shifted steadily away from the competitive margins it once posted.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-two points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-four points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 44,542, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $93,728 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 104, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36104/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 104, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 104, New York voted Democratic by 3.4 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 21,278 votes cast, 10,911 went Democratic and 10,194 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 104, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 104, New York as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 104, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 104, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Assembly District 104, New York?
Assembly District 104, New York has a population of 44,542 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 104, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 104, New York is $93,728 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 104, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 104, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.