- Lead
- 14,683
- Total
- 175,660
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- 63.1%
Orange County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.1% of 280,058 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 113
- Total
- 172,539
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Turnout
- 64.9%
- Lead
- 8,367
- Total
- 152,021
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Turnout
- 59.7%
- Lead
- 7,948
- Total
- 140,628
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,284
- Total
- 151,982
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 15,695
- Total
- 144,673
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,682
- Total
- 126,557
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,039
- Total
- 114,538
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 406,6162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,1782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Northampton County, PA · twin score 90.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.1%176,644 participants ÷ 280,058 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.9%–47.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 156,666 | 262,351 | 59.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 127,817 | 266,215 | 48.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 173,642 | 267,427 | 64.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 125,512 | 280,300 | 44.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 176,644 | 280,058 | 63.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
328 precincts · 175,660 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1500016360711500016 | 499 | 713 | 1 | 1,213 | 41.1% | 58.8% | R+17.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1500019360711500019 | 622 | 405 | 0 | 1,027 | 60.6% | 39.4% | D+21.1 |
| Precinct 2103007360712103007 | 688 | 302 | 5 | 995 | 69.1% | 30.4% | D+38.8 |
| Precinct 0600004360710600004 | 475 | 492 | 0 | 967 | 49.1% | 50.9% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct 1500015360711500015 | 478 | 485 | 1 | 964 | 49.6% | 50.3% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct 1300018360711300018 | 355 | 554 | 3 | 912 | 38.9% | 60.7% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct 1800017360711800017 | 15 | 892 | 0 | 907 | 1.7% | 98.3% | R+96.7 |
| Precinct 2103006360712103006 | 518 | 378 | 4 | 900 | 57.6% | 42.0% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct 1700023360711700023 | 638 | 255 | 4 | 897 | 71.1% | 28.4% | D+42.7 |
| Precinct 1500005360711500005 | 357 | 528 | 0 | 885 | 40.3% | 59.7% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct 0105003360710105003 | 373 | 508 | 2 | 883 | 42.2% | 57.5% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct 1700015360711700015 | 506 | 370 | 6 | 882 | 57.4% | 42.0% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct 1004006360711004006 | 620 | 257 | 3 | 880 | 70.5% | 29.2% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct 1300002360711300002 | 413 | 463 | 2 | 878 | 47.0% | 52.7% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct 1700021360711700021 | 314 | 550 | 0 | 864 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct 2103003360712103003 | 588 | 267 | 0 | 855 | 68.8% | 31.2% | D+37.5 |
| Precinct 1700017360711700017 | 364 | 470 | 2 | 836 | 43.5% | 56.2% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct 1700019360711700019 | 373 | 457 | 0 | 830 | 44.9% | 55.1% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct 2400003360712400003 | 291 | 533 | 0 | 824 | 35.3% | 64.7% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct 0600007360710600007 | 310 | 511 | 1 | 822 | 37.7% | 62.2% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct 0800002360710800002 | 266 | 556 | 0 | 822 | 32.4% | 67.6% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct 1400002360711400002 | 259 | 554 | 2 | 815 | 31.8% | 68.0% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct 1400004360711400004 | 260 | 550 | 2 | 812 | 32.0% | 67.7% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct 1800002360711800002 | 6 | 806 | 0 | 812 | 0.7% | 99.3% | R+98.5 |
| Precinct 1700025360711700025 | 459 | 346 | 6 | 811 | 56.6% | 42.7% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct 0700002360710700002 | 270 | 536 | 1 | 807 | 33.5% | 66.4% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 2200004360712200004 | 393 | 409 | 1 | 803 | 48.9% | 50.9% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct 2300006360712300006 | 296 | 500 | 1 | 797 | 37.1% | 62.7% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct 2400010360712400010 | 436 | 352 | 3 | 791 | 55.1% | 44.5% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct 1200015360711200015 | 378 | 409 | 2 | 789 | 47.9% | 51.8% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct 1300003360711300003 | 391 | 394 | 1 | 786 | 49.7% | 50.1% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct 1400003360711400003 | 287 | 493 | 2 | 782 | 36.7% | 63.0% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct 0103002360710103002 | 380 | 391 | 3 | 774 | 49.1% | 50.5% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct 1500018360711500018 | 444 | 329 | 0 | 773 | 57.4% | 42.6% | D+14.9 |
| Precinct 1700013360711700013 | 422 | 350 | 1 | 773 | 54.6% | 45.3% | D+9.3 |
| Precinct 0400003360710400003 | 250 | 518 | 3 | 771 | 32.4% | 67.2% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct 1100002360711100002 | 249 | 516 | 1 | 766 | 32.5% | 67.4% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct 1500010360711500010 | 445 | 313 | 4 | 762 | 58.4% | 41.1% | D+17.3 |
| Precinct 0600009360710600009 | 330 | 427 | 1 | 758 | 43.5% | 56.3% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct 2200021360712200021 | 405 | 352 | 0 | 757 | 53.5% | 46.5% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct 1700004360711700004 | 409 | 344 | 1 | 754 | 54.2% | 45.6% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct 1700018360711700018 | 324 | 427 | 2 | 753 | 43.0% | 56.7% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct 2101002360712101002 | 324 | 424 | 1 | 749 | 43.3% | 56.6% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct 2200020360712200020 | 351 | 397 | 0 | 748 | 46.9% | 53.1% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct 0101002360710101002 | 373 | 369 | 0 | 742 | 50.3% | 49.7% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct 2104004360712104004 | 304 | 426 | 5 | 735 | 41.4% | 58.0% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct 0400006360710400006 | 267 | 464 | 0 | 731 | 36.5% | 63.5% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct 2300001360712300001 | 238 | 489 | 1 | 728 | 32.7% | 67.2% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct 0200001360710200001 | 367 | 349 | 2 | 718 | 51.1% | 48.6% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct 2300003360712300003 | 276 | 440 | 2 | 718 | 38.4% | 61.3% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct 1800005360711800005 | 10 | 707 | 0 | 717 | 1.4% | 98.6% | R+97.2 |
| Precinct 2000004360712000004 | 309 | 402 | 5 | 716 | 43.2% | 56.1% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct 2200024360712200024 | 289 | 424 | 2 | 715 | 40.4% | 59.3% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct 1300013360711300013 | 248 | 465 | 0 | 713 | 34.8% | 65.2% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct 2200008360712200008 | 359 | 352 | 1 | 712 | 50.4% | 49.4% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct 0600010360710600010 | 296 | 412 | 0 | 708 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct 1300016360711300016 | 318 | 386 | 0 | 704 | 45.2% | 54.8% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct 2200026360712200026 | 317 | 382 | 2 | 701 | 45.2% | 54.5% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 1300001360711300001 | 252 | 447 | 1 | 700 | 36.0% | 63.9% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct 1300015360711300015 | 315 | 382 | 2 | 699 | 45.1% | 54.6% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct 1300017360711300017 | 332 | 365 | 0 | 697 | 47.6% | 52.4% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct 1700016360711700016 | 299 | 396 | 2 | 697 | 42.9% | 56.8% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct 0200004360710200004 | 377 | 308 | 7 | 692 | 54.5% | 44.5% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct 2200016360712200016 | 281 | 404 | 1 | 686 | 41.0% | 58.9% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct 0600005360710600005 | 327 | 353 | 4 | 684 | 47.8% | 51.6% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct 1300005360711300005 | 325 | 359 | 0 | 684 | 47.5% | 52.5% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct 2200027360712200027 | 308 | 375 | 1 | 684 | 45.0% | 54.8% | R+9.8 |
| Precinct 0800001360710800001 | 262 | 411 | 10 | 683 | 38.4% | 60.2% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct 1100001360711100001 | 221 | 461 | 1 | 683 | 32.4% | 67.5% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct 1700003360711700003 | 354 | 326 | 3 | 683 | 51.8% | 47.7% | D+4.1 |
| Precinct 2200019360712200019 | 262 | 419 | 1 | 682 | 38.4% | 61.4% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct 2200023360712200023 | 304 | 372 | 4 | 680 | 44.7% | 54.7% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct 0200007360710200007 | 308 | 368 | 3 | 679 | 45.4% | 54.2% | R+8.8 |
| Precinct 1700022360711700022 | 343 | 333 | 0 | 676 | 50.7% | 49.3% | D+1.5 |
| Precinct 1800018360711800018 | 12 | 664 | 0 | 676 | 1.8% | 98.2% | R+96.4 |
| Precinct 2200002360712200002 | 252 | 418 | 0 | 670 | 37.6% | 62.4% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct 2300002360712300002 | 337 | 330 | 1 | 668 | 50.4% | 49.4% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct 0300008360710300008 | 384 | 283 | 0 | 667 | 57.6% | 42.4% | D+15.1 |
| Precinct 0200003360710200003 | 265 | 395 | 4 | 664 | 39.9% | 59.5% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct 1700014360711700014 | 341 | 319 | 4 | 664 | 51.4% | 48.0% | D+3.3 |
| Precinct 1500013360711500013 | 380 | 282 | 1 | 663 | 57.3% | 42.5% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct 0300011360710300011 | 308 | 351 | 0 | 659 | 46.7% | 53.3% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct 2104001360712104001 | 271 | 388 | 0 | 659 | 41.1% | 58.9% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct 1004004360711004004 | 460 | 198 | 0 | 658 | 69.9% | 30.1% | D+39.8 |
| Precinct 1200007360711200007 | 305 | 350 | 3 | 658 | 46.4% | 53.2% | R+6.8 |
| Precinct 2200028360712200028 | 274 | 382 | 0 | 656 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct 2400005360712400005 | 289 | 364 | 0 | 653 | 44.3% | 55.7% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct 0106003360710106003 | 286 | 365 | 1 | 652 | 43.9% | 56.0% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct 1300007360711300007 | 291 | 360 | 1 | 652 | 44.6% | 55.2% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct 0300004360710300004 | 348 | 301 | 2 | 651 | 53.5% | 46.2% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct 2400006360712400006 | 207 | 442 | 2 | 651 | 31.8% | 67.9% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct 0800003360710800003 | 253 | 394 | 3 | 650 | 38.9% | 60.6% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct 1200001360711200001 | 302 | 340 | 3 | 645 | 46.8% | 52.7% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct 1603002360711603002 | 434 | 206 | 5 | 645 | 67.3% | 31.9% | D+35.3 |
| Precinct 2104005360712104005 | 252 | 392 | 0 | 644 | 39.1% | 60.9% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct 1500014360711500014 | 347 | 293 | 2 | 642 | 54.0% | 45.6% | D+8.4 |
| Precinct 0700004360710700004 | 212 | 428 | 0 | 640 | 33.1% | 66.9% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct 2103001360712103001 | 378 | 259 | 3 | 640 | 59.1% | 40.5% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct 0102002360710102002 | 241 | 397 | 1 | 639 | 37.7% | 62.1% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct 0200012360710200012 | 263 | 375 | 1 | 639 | 41.2% | 58.7% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct 1100004360711100004 | 237 | 399 | 3 | 639 | 37.1% | 62.4% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct 1004007360711004007 | 473 | 158 | 0 | 631 | 75.0% | 25.0% | D+49.9 |
| Precinct 1500011360711500011 | 332 | 299 | 0 | 631 | 52.6% | 47.4% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct 0800005360710800005 | 223 | 405 | 1 | 629 | 35.5% | 64.4% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 0900003360710900003 | 395 | 230 | 2 | 627 | 63.0% | 36.7% | D+26.3 |
| Precinct 0700001360710700001 | 145 | 479 | 2 | 626 | 23.2% | 76.5% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct 2200013360712200013 | 324 | 296 | 6 | 626 | 51.8% | 47.3% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct 2200009360712200009 | 285 | 338 | 2 | 625 | 45.6% | 54.1% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct 0400004360710400004 | 218 | 404 | 2 | 624 | 34.9% | 64.7% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct 1200004360711200004 | 285 | 335 | 3 | 623 | 45.7% | 53.8% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct 1700012360711700012 | 305 | 317 | 0 | 622 | 49.0% | 51.0% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct 2200012360712200012 | 277 | 341 | 0 | 618 | 44.8% | 55.2% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct 1700008360711700008 | 272 | 345 | 0 | 617 | 44.1% | 55.9% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct 1200010360711200010 | 273 | 339 | 3 | 615 | 44.4% | 55.1% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct 0600008360710600008 | 250 | 362 | 2 | 614 | 40.7% | 59.0% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct 1700005360711700005 | 275 | 333 | 2 | 610 | 45.1% | 54.6% | R+9.5 |
| Precinct 0200005360710200005 | 225 | 384 | 0 | 609 | 36.9% | 63.1% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct 2300005360712300005 | 245 | 361 | 0 | 606 | 40.4% | 59.6% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct 1700024360711700024 | 288 | 315 | 2 | 605 | 47.6% | 52.1% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct 1901001360711901001 | 249 | 353 | 1 | 603 | 41.3% | 58.5% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct 2101006360712101006 | 397 | 204 | 2 | 603 | 65.8% | 33.8% | D+32.0 |
| Precinct 2103004360712103004 | 406 | 195 | 0 | 601 | 67.6% | 32.4% | D+35.1 |
| Precinct 2400008360712400008 | 258 | 339 | 0 | 597 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct 2200011360712200011 | 264 | 330 | 2 | 596 | 44.3% | 55.4% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct 0400001360710400001 | 216 | 374 | 4 | 594 | 36.4% | 63.0% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct 1200012360711200012 | 265 | 326 | 3 | 594 | 44.6% | 54.9% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct 0500005360710500005 | 136 | 454 | 3 | 593 | 22.9% | 76.6% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct 2200010360712200010 | 218 | 373 | 1 | 592 | 36.8% | 63.0% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct 2300004360712300004 | 219 | 369 | 1 | 589 | 37.2% | 62.6% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct 1500008360711500008 | 292 | 292 | 3 | 587 | 49.7% | 49.7% | Exact tie |
| Precinct 2000002360712000002 | 293 | 284 | 10 | 587 | 49.9% | 48.4% | D+1.5 |
| Precinct 1300012360711300012 | 291 | 295 | 0 | 586 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct 1700011360711700011 | 280 | 303 | 2 | 585 | 47.9% | 51.8% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct 1200002360711200002 | 245 | 334 | 5 | 584 | 42.0% | 57.2% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct 0400005360710400005 | 202 | 376 | 2 | 580 | 34.8% | 64.8% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct 0400007360710400007 | 233 | 343 | 2 | 578 | 40.3% | 59.3% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 1300004360711300004 | 211 | 362 | 5 | 578 | 36.5% | 62.6% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct 1603003360711603003 | 456 | 120 | 1 | 577 | 79.0% | 20.8% | D+58.2 |
| Precinct 1700009360711700009 | 310 | 263 | 2 | 575 | 53.9% | 45.7% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct 0200008360710200008 | 347 | 225 | 1 | 573 | 60.6% | 39.3% | D+21.3 |
| Precinct 2200001360712200001 | 213 | 354 | 3 | 570 | 37.4% | 62.1% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct 1800013360711800013 | 12 | 555 | 0 | 567 | 2.1% | 97.9% | R+95.8 |
| Precinct 0500004360710500004 | 171 | 395 | 0 | 566 | 30.2% | 69.8% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct 0600003360710600003 | 271 | 293 | 0 | 564 | 48.0% | 52.0% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct 0500003360710500003 | 161 | 401 | 0 | 562 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct 0106002360710106002 | 216 | 342 | 3 | 561 | 38.5% | 61.0% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct 0101003360710101003 | 254 | 305 | 0 | 559 | 45.4% | 54.6% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct 1500004360711500004 | 297 | 261 | 1 | 559 | 53.1% | 46.7% | D+6.4 |
| Precinct 1300008360711300008 | 282 | 269 | 7 | 558 | 50.5% | 48.2% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct 2200025360712200025 | 285 | 273 | 0 | 558 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct 1300010360711300010 | 195 | 362 | 0 | 557 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct 0600011360710600011 | 293 | 260 | 1 | 554 | 52.9% | 46.9% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct 1004001360711004001 | 358 | 196 | 0 | 554 | 64.6% | 35.4% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct 0103001360710103001 | 229 | 320 | 3 | 552 | 41.5% | 58.0% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct 0500007360710500007 | 141 | 410 | 1 | 552 | 25.5% | 74.3% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 0900004360710900004 | 233 | 315 | 2 | 550 | 42.4% | 57.3% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct 1400001360711400001 | 185 | 364 | 1 | 550 | 33.6% | 66.2% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 0300001360710300001 | 330 | 218 | 1 | 549 | 60.1% | 39.7% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct 0300006360710300006 | 253 | 294 | 2 | 549 | 46.1% | 53.6% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct 1800015360711800015 | 5 | 543 | 0 | 548 | 0.9% | 99.1% | R+98.2 |
| Precinct 2103002360712103002 | 295 | 248 | 3 | 546 | 54.0% | 45.4% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct 0300003360710300003 | 312 | 229 | 3 | 544 | 57.4% | 42.1% | D+15.3 |
| Precinct 0600001360710600001 | 291 | 248 | 2 | 541 | 53.8% | 45.8% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct 0700003360710700003 | 182 | 357 | 2 | 541 | 33.6% | 66.0% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct 1200005360711200005 | 263 | 275 | 3 | 541 | 48.6% | 50.8% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct 1300006360711300006 | 271 | 269 | 1 | 541 | 50.1% | 49.7% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct 0400002360710400002 | 218 | 319 | 3 | 540 | 40.4% | 59.1% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct 1500020360711500020 | 195 | 344 | 0 | 539 | 36.2% | 63.8% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct 2200005360712200005 | 294 | 245 | 0 | 539 | 54.5% | 45.5% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct 1602001360711602001 | 437 | 91 | 10 | 538 | 81.2% | 16.9% | D+64.3 |
| Precinct 1602002360711602002 | 435 | 101 | 2 | 538 | 80.9% | 18.8% | D+62.1 |
| Precinct 0900001360710900001 | 290 | 243 | 4 | 537 | 54.0% | 45.3% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct 2400002360712400002 | 250 | 286 | 0 | 536 | 46.6% | 53.4% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct 2200003360712200003 | 268 | 262 | 2 | 532 | 50.4% | 49.2% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct 2103005360712103005 | 309 | 220 | 2 | 531 | 58.2% | 41.4% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct 1603001360711603001 | 315 | 209 | 3 | 527 | 59.8% | 39.7% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct 0300014360710300014 | 279 | 246 | 1 | 526 | 53.0% | 46.8% | D+6.3 |
| Precinct 1300011360711300011 | 176 | 348 | 0 | 524 | 33.6% | 66.4% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct 1800008360711800008 | 8 | 516 | 0 | 524 | 1.5% | 98.5% | R+96.9 |
| Precinct 1903002360711903002 | 222 | 302 | 0 | 524 | 42.4% | 57.6% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct 1500021360711500021 | 208 | 315 | 0 | 523 | 39.8% | 60.2% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct 2200022360712200022 | 339 | 184 | 0 | 523 | 64.8% | 35.2% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct 0102003360710102003 | 228 | 293 | 0 | 521 | 43.8% | 56.2% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct 0800004360710800004 | 215 | 302 | 3 | 520 | 41.3% | 58.1% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct 1004005360711004005 | 343 | 172 | 2 | 517 | 66.3% | 33.3% | D+33.1 |
| Precinct 0300009360710300009 | 265 | 249 | 2 | 516 | 51.4% | 48.3% | D+3.1 |
| Precinct 1300009360711300009 | 184 | 329 | 2 | 515 | 35.7% | 63.9% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct 1200017360711200017 | 217 | 291 | 2 | 510 | 42.5% | 57.1% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 0500002360710500002 | 140 | 363 | 1 | 504 | 27.8% | 72.0% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct 2200018360712200018 | 210 | 290 | 4 | 504 | 41.7% | 57.5% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct 2200029360712200029 | 356 | 145 | 2 | 503 | 70.8% | 28.8% | D+41.9 |
| Precinct 2200014360712200014 | 200 | 300 | 1 | 501 | 39.9% | 59.9% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct 2200017360712200017 | 204 | 292 | 1 | 497 | 41.0% | 58.8% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 1601002360711601002 | 405 | 84 | 7 | 496 | 81.7% | 16.9% | D+64.7 |
| Precinct 1200013360711200013 | 263 | 230 | 0 | 493 | 53.3% | 46.7% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct 1800016360711800016 | 10 | 483 | 0 | 493 | 2.0% | 98.0% | R+95.9 |
| Precinct 1500006360711500006 | 272 | 220 | 0 | 492 | 55.3% | 44.7% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct 0300012360710300012 | 286 | 204 | 0 | 490 | 58.4% | 41.6% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct 2000003360712000003 | 285 | 203 | 2 | 490 | 58.2% | 41.4% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct 2400007360712400007 | 251 | 233 | 3 | 487 | 51.5% | 47.8% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct 2102002360712102002 | 253 | 232 | 1 | 486 | 52.1% | 47.7% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct 1300014360711300014 | 155 | 326 | 1 | 482 | 32.2% | 67.6% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct 2101001360712101001 | 196 | 284 | 1 | 481 | 40.7% | 59.0% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct 0300013360710300013 | 251 | 226 | 0 | 477 | 52.6% | 47.4% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct 2200006360712200006 | 198 | 279 | 0 | 477 | 41.5% | 58.5% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct 1200014360711200014 | 219 | 256 | 0 | 475 | 46.1% | 53.9% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct 2102004360712102004 | 322 | 147 | 5 | 474 | 67.9% | 31.0% | D+36.9 |
| Precinct 2400001360712400001 | 238 | 230 | 4 | 472 | 50.4% | 48.7% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct 0400008360710400008 | 193 | 276 | 1 | 470 | 41.1% | 58.7% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 0600006360710600006 | 185 | 285 | 0 | 470 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct 0900006360710900006 | 219 | 250 | 1 | 470 | 46.6% | 53.2% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct 0105001360710105001 | 215 | 254 | 0 | 469 | 45.8% | 54.2% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct 1100003360711100003 | 143 | 325 | 1 | 469 | 30.5% | 69.3% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct 1903001360711903001 | 176 | 293 | 0 | 469 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct 1601004360711601004 | 335 | 130 | 3 | 468 | 71.6% | 27.8% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct 2200015360712200015 | 190 | 274 | 0 | 464 | 40.9% | 59.1% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct 1003001360711003001 | 274 | 187 | 1 | 462 | 59.3% | 40.5% | D+18.8 |
| Precinct 1604003360711604003 | 311 | 148 | 1 | 460 | 67.6% | 32.2% | D+35.4 |
| Precinct 1003004360711003004 | 278 | 177 | 4 | 459 | 60.6% | 38.6% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct 0200010360710200010 | 217 | 239 | 0 | 456 | 47.6% | 52.4% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct 1700007360711700007 | 195 | 261 | 0 | 456 | 42.8% | 57.2% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 2000001360712000001 | 194 | 260 | 1 | 455 | 42.6% | 57.1% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 2400004360712400004 | 213 | 239 | 0 | 452 | 47.1% | 52.9% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct 2101004360712101004 | 208 | 239 | 0 | 447 | 46.5% | 53.5% | R+6.9 |
| Precinct 1004002360711004002 | 309 | 137 | 0 | 446 | 69.3% | 30.7% | D+38.6 |
| Precinct 1200008360711200008 | 248 | 197 | 0 | 445 | 55.7% | 44.3% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct 2102005360712102005 | 286 | 155 | 4 | 445 | 64.3% | 34.8% | D+29.4 |
| Precinct 1800007360711800007 | 11 | 430 | 0 | 441 | 2.5% | 97.5% | R+95.0 |
| Precinct 1700002360711700002 | 231 | 208 | 1 | 440 | 52.5% | 47.3% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct 0300005360710300005 | 209 | 230 | 0 | 439 | 47.6% | 52.4% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct 1604004360711604004 | 315 | 121 | 3 | 439 | 71.8% | 27.6% | D+44.2 |
| Precinct 0300002360710300002 | 229 | 209 | 0 | 438 | 52.3% | 47.7% | D+4.6 |
| Precinct 2101003360712101003 | 288 | 149 | 1 | 438 | 65.8% | 34.0% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct 1500002360711500002 | 216 | 219 | 2 | 437 | 49.4% | 50.1% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct 0300010360710300010 | 169 | 266 | 1 | 436 | 38.8% | 61.0% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct 0200002360710200002 | 189 | 245 | 0 | 434 | 43.5% | 56.5% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct 2200007360712200007 | 182 | 248 | 1 | 431 | 42.2% | 57.5% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct 1002004360711002004 | 291 | 137 | 1 | 429 | 67.8% | 31.9% | D+35.9 |
| Precinct 0500006360710500006 | 127 | 301 | 0 | 428 | 29.7% | 70.3% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct 0500001360710500001 | 131 | 295 | 1 | 427 | 30.7% | 69.1% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct 0104002360710104002 | 153 | 273 | 0 | 426 | 35.9% | 64.1% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct 0101001360710101001 | 236 | 188 | 0 | 424 | 55.7% | 44.3% | D+11.3 |
| Precinct 1200011360711200011 | 173 | 246 | 1 | 420 | 41.2% | 58.6% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct 1902001360711902001 | 162 | 256 | 0 | 418 | 38.8% | 61.2% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct 2102001360712102001 | 222 | 195 | 0 | 417 | 53.2% | 46.8% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct 1800014360711800014 | 10 | 400 | 0 | 410 | 2.4% | 97.6% | R+95.1 |
| Precinct 1500012360711500012 | 254 | 155 | 0 | 409 | 62.1% | 37.9% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct 1200006360711200006 | 189 | 215 | 4 | 408 | 46.3% | 52.7% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct 0200006360710200006 | 200 | 202 | 2 | 404 | 49.5% | 50.0% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct 1800012360711800012 | 9 | 395 | 0 | 404 | 2.2% | 97.8% | R+95.5 |
| Precinct 1800010360711800010 | 7 | 396 | 0 | 403 | 1.7% | 98.3% | R+96.5 |
| Precinct 0200011360710200011 | 172 | 229 | 0 | 401 | 42.9% | 57.1% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct 1700001360711700001 | 230 | 167 | 1 | 398 | 57.8% | 42.0% | D+15.8 |
| Precinct 1700010360711700010 | 193 | 200 | 4 | 397 | 48.6% | 50.4% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct 1904001360711904001 | 193 | 203 | 0 | 396 | 48.7% | 51.3% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct 2104003360712104003 | 228 | 167 | 0 | 395 | 57.7% | 42.3% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct 1902002360711902002 | 175 | 218 | 0 | 393 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct 0300007360710300007 | 191 | 200 | 1 | 392 | 48.7% | 51.0% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct 1904002360711904002 | 181 | 210 | 1 | 392 | 46.2% | 53.6% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct 0600012360710600012 | 155 | 232 | 1 | 388 | 39.9% | 59.8% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct 1200003360711200003 | 189 | 198 | 1 | 388 | 48.7% | 51.0% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct 1200016360711200016 | 172 | 214 | 0 | 386 | 44.6% | 55.4% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct 1800004360711800004 | 10 | 375 | 0 | 385 | 2.6% | 97.4% | R+94.8 |
| Precinct 0106001360710106001 | 161 | 218 | 3 | 382 | 42.1% | 57.1% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct 1500003360711500003 | 177 | 204 | 0 | 381 | 46.5% | 53.5% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct 1001001360711001001 | 230 | 148 | 1 | 379 | 60.7% | 39.1% | D+21.6 |
| Precinct 1001005360711001005 | 233 | 140 | 2 | 375 | 62.1% | 37.3% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct 1200019360711200019 | 208 | 163 | 0 | 371 | 56.1% | 43.9% | D+12.1 |
| Precinct 1500007360711500007 | 191 | 180 | 0 | 371 | 51.5% | 48.5% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct 1603004360711603004 | 208 | 156 | 7 | 371 | 56.1% | 42.0% | D+14.0 |
| Precinct 2200031360712200031 | 172 | 198 | 1 | 371 | 46.4% | 53.4% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct 1200009360711200009 | 185 | 178 | 0 | 363 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+1.9 |
| Precinct 1500009360711500009 | 193 | 169 | 1 | 363 | 53.2% | 46.6% | D+6.6 |
| Precinct 2200030360712200030 | 142 | 220 | 1 | 363 | 39.1% | 60.6% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct 1500001360711500001 | 184 | 172 | 5 | 361 | 51.0% | 47.6% | D+3.3 |
| Precinct 1700026360711700026 | 137 | 220 | 0 | 357 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct 0104001360710104001 | 30 | 326 | 0 | 356 | 8.4% | 91.6% | R+83.1 |
| Precinct 2101007360712101007 | 144 | 203 | 6 | 353 | 40.8% | 57.5% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct 1003002360711003002 | 219 | 127 | 2 | 348 | 62.9% | 36.5% | D+26.4 |
| Precinct 1003005360711003005 | 236 | 111 | 1 | 348 | 67.8% | 31.9% | D+35.9 |
| Precinct 1700006360711700006 | 216 | 130 | 1 | 347 | 62.2% | 37.5% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct 2102006360712102006 | 173 | 154 | 3 | 330 | 52.4% | 46.7% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct 1604002360711604002 | 260 | 67 | 2 | 329 | 79.0% | 20.4% | D+58.7 |
| Precinct 1601001360711601001 | 268 | 54 | 4 | 326 | 82.2% | 16.6% | D+65.6 |
| Precinct 0900005360710900005 | 159 | 163 | 1 | 323 | 49.2% | 50.5% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct 0900002360710900002 | 209 | 102 | 1 | 312 | 67.0% | 32.7% | D+34.3 |
| Precinct 1800009360711800009 | 5 | 306 | 0 | 311 | 1.6% | 98.4% | R+96.8 |
| Precinct 0104003360710104003 | 69 | 240 | 0 | 309 | 22.3% | 77.7% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct 1800011360711800011 | 3 | 306 | 0 | 309 | 1.0% | 99.0% | R+98.1 |
| Precinct 1002003360711002003 | 187 | 114 | 0 | 301 | 62.1% | 37.9% | D+24.3 |
| Precinct 1001003360711001003 | 197 | 101 | 2 | 300 | 65.7% | 33.7% | D+32.0 |
| Precinct 1800001360711800001 | 3 | 295 | 0 | 298 | 1.0% | 99.0% | R+98.0 |
| Precinct 1601003360711601003 | 247 | 45 | 2 | 294 | 84.0% | 15.3% | D+68.7 |
| Precinct 1002001360711002001 | 180 | 109 | 1 | 290 | 62.1% | 37.6% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct 2102003360712102003 | 168 | 122 | 0 | 290 | 57.9% | 42.1% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct 2102007360712102007 | 172 | 118 | 0 | 290 | 59.3% | 40.7% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct 1700020360711700020 | 150 | 135 | 0 | 285 | 52.6% | 47.4% | D+5.3 |
| Precinct 1700027360711700027 | 221 | 61 | 3 | 285 | 77.5% | 21.4% | D+56.1 |
| Precinct 1500017360711500017 | 156 | 122 | 2 | 280 | 55.7% | 43.6% | D+12.1 |
| Precinct 1002002360711002002 | 177 | 97 | 0 | 274 | 64.6% | 35.4% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct 2104002360712104002 | 143 | 131 | 0 | 274 | 52.2% | 47.8% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct 1001006360711001006 | 180 | 93 | 0 | 273 | 65.9% | 34.1% | D+31.9 |
| Precinct 0200009360710200009 | 149 | 119 | 2 | 270 | 55.2% | 44.1% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct 1002006360711002006 | 185 | 75 | 1 | 261 | 70.9% | 28.7% | D+42.1 |
| Precinct 2400009360712400009 | 162 | 96 | 2 | 260 | 62.3% | 36.9% | D+25.4 |
| Precinct 1500022360711500022 | 110 | 149 | 0 | 259 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.1 |
| Precinct 0600002360710600002 | 140 | 110 | 0 | 250 | 56.0% | 44.0% | D+12.0 |
| Precinct 1002005360711002005 | 159 | 90 | 1 | 250 | 63.6% | 36.0% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct 0102001360710102001 | 93 | 156 | 0 | 249 | 37.3% | 62.7% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 1604005360711604005 | 166 | 51 | 4 | 221 | 75.1% | 23.1% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct 1800003360711800003 | 3 | 217 | 0 | 220 | 1.4% | 98.6% | R+97.3 |
| Precinct 1003003360711003003 | 142 | 63 | 2 | 207 | 68.6% | 30.4% | D+38.2 |
| Precinct 1004003360711004003 | 134 | 71 | 0 | 205 | 65.4% | 34.6% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct 2101005360712101005 | 83 | 122 | 0 | 205 | 40.5% | 59.5% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 1800006360711800006 | 0 | 179 | 0 | 179 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct 1002007360711002007 | 97 | 79 | 1 | 177 | 54.8% | 44.6% | D+10.2 |
| Precinct 1001002360711001002 | 112 | 64 | 0 | 176 | 63.6% | 36.4% | D+27.3 |
| Precinct 1200018360711200018 | 21 | 124 | 2 | 147 | 14.3% | 84.4% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct 1901002360711901002 | 57 | 67 | 0 | 124 | 46.0% | 54.0% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct 0101004360710101004 | 32 | 58 | 0 | 90 | 35.6% | 64.4% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 1604001360711604001 | 46 | 41 | 0 | 87 | 52.9% | 47.1% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct 1001004360711001004 | 51 | 31 | 0 | 82 | 62.2% | 37.8% | D+24.4 |
| Precinct 0105002360710105002 | 28 | 48 | 1 | 77 | 36.4% | 62.3% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct 0105004360710105004 | 28 | 33 | 0 | 61 | 45.9% | 54.1% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct 1004008360711004008 | 43 | 15 | 0 | 58 | 74.1% | 25.9% | D+48.3 |
| Precinct 0600013360710600013 | 27 | 24 | 0 | 51 | 52.9% | 47.1% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct 0103003360710103003 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 75.0% | 25.0% | D+50.0 |
| Precinct 1800019360711800019 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 22 | 4.5% | 95.5% | R+90.9 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −2.9% |
| 1896 | −21.6% |
| 1900 | −16.0% |
| 1904 | −17.4% |
| 1908 | −17.7% |
| 1912 | −4.0% |
| 1916 | −14.1% |
| 1920 | −37.7% |
| 1924 | −45.1% |
| 1928 | −31.4% |
| 1932 | −14.2% |
| 1936 | −10.9% |
| 1940 | −16.9% |
| 1944 | −23.7% |
| 1948 | −29.0% |
| 1952 | −42.6% |
| 1956 | −55.1% |
| 1960 | −21.4% |
| 1964 | +22.3% |
| 1968 | −21.0% |
| 1972 | −42.2% |
| 1976 | −10.3% |
| 1980 | −23.5% |
| 1984 | −35.9% |
| 1988 | −25.7% |
| 1992 | −6.2% |
| 1996 | +7.9% |
| 2000 | −3.7% |
| 2004 | −10.8% |
| 2008 | +4.1% |
| 2012 | +5.7% |
| 2016 | −5.5% |
| 2020 | −0.1% |
| 2024 | −8.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Orange County, NY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 14-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
269,719 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,410 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −18,338 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $73,278 in average income, against $100,116 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.2 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Orange County, NY itself (R+8.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bronx County, NY844D+45.1
- Rockland County, NY655R+11.8
- Kings County, NY620D+43.3
- Ulster County, NY563D+18.5
- Westchester County, NY538D+26.1
- Queens County, NY536D+24.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ulster County, NY680
- Dutchess County, NY500
- Sullivan County, NY455
- Rockland County, NY397
- Westchester County, NY332
- Kings County, NY257
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −2,090 |
| 2012 | −3,455 |
| 2013 | −1,830 |
| 2014 | −2,066 |
| 2015 | −1,703 |
| 2016 | −659 |
| 2017 | −597 |
| 2018 | −127 |
| 2019 | +530 |
| 2021 | +1,472 |
| 2022 | −1,857 |
| 2023 | −2,722 |
| 2024 | −1,824 |
| 2025 | −1,410 |
Once a marginal swing county, Orange has moved consistently toward Republican presidential candidates since 2004, driven partly by an influx of transplants from New York City's suburbs and a large Orthodox Jewish community concentrated around Kiryas Joel.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.4 points.
A population of 406,616, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,178 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Northampton County and Berks County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Orange County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36071/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.