akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 100·New York

New York 100th State House District delivered R+14 in 2024.

A suburban swing seat decided by single-digit margins

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
94,055
2024 ACS

New York 100th State House District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+36 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
94,0552024 5-year
Median household income
$81,0732024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.1%2024 5-year
Black
10.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
20.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+36 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.8%
17,65523,31841,109
R
−6.0%
18,75721,20040,538
R
−9.2%
15,16618,42235,279
D
+7.9%
17,64415,03533,175
D
+7.6%
19,26216,49236,217
R
−4.2%
16,66018,15135,458
D
+2.7%
15,71114,83032,121
D
+16.6%
15,99310,86830,929
D
+3.4%
14,23613,06934,175
R
−17.9%
12,03417,34729,622
R
−29.0%
10,67519,44930,211
R
−21.2%
9,75415,71928,191
R
−1.3%
14,14514,53328,881
R
−30.7%
9,63618,20627,900
R
−7.9%
10,60212,57725,041
D
+32.0%
16,7308,61725,383
R
−12.1%
11,35314,47625,872
R
−34.4%
8,20416,82325,027
R
−31.2%
8,12215,59023,937
R
−19.8%
7,53811,73221,156
R
−14.9%
8,72111,79220,583
R
−11.4%
9,73812,25622,064
R
−2.2%
9,82410,26820,442
D
+2.3%
9,2628,84318,602
R
−26.3%
6,30110,94317,642
R
−31.6%
3,9018,29313,917
R
−35.9%
3,6338,14412,557
R
−9.7%
3,6314,4308,239
D
+6.8%
3,7233,1698,149
R
−10.1%
3,8034,6888,751
R
−12.3%
3,5464,5658,301
R
−11.0%
3,6034,5128,250
R
−19.8%
3,0824,6587,945
R
−1.7%
3,5783,7067,660
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
13.7%
German
11.9%
Italian
11.1%
English
6.1%
American
5.1%
Polish
3.8%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.1%
speak English only
Spanish13.7%
Other Indo-European8.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.8%
Non-Christian
9.3%
Other Christian
2.7%
Methodist
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 100 sits at New York's competitive edge, where a 2024 presidential margin of R+1.0 reflects a district closely contested between urban-adjacent suburban voters and shifting demographic coalitions.

The Democratic margin in New York 100th State House District has rarely exceeded thirty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-six points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by fourteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $81,073 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 100, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 100, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 100, New York voted Republican by 13.8 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 41,109 votes cast, 17,655 went Democratic and 23,318 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 100, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 100, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 100, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 100, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Assembly District 100, New York?
Assembly District 100, New York has a population of 94,055 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 100, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 100, New York is $81,073 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 100, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 100, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.