akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 98·New York

New York 98th State House District delivered R+9 in 2024.

One of Long Island's most reliably Republican legislative seats

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
246,348
2024 ACS

New York 98th State House District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+52 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
246,3482024 5-year
Median household income
$101,1522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
62.1%2024 5-year
Black
11.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
22.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+24 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+52 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.4%
48,26358,351107,125
D
+0.5%
52,44951,910105,720
R
−1.7%
44,04045,64493,730
D
+6.0%
45,34840,15586,634
D
+4.7%
48,28043,91193,065
R
−7.5%
40,84747,61089,799
D
+3.4%
39,86237,09280,300
D
+12.2%
37,10228,23672,963
R
−2.0%
31,89833,44678,444
R
−21.6%
26,73041,62268,916
R
−30.7%
23,64844,66668,524
R
−23.2%
20,43734,63761,292
R
−7.7%
27,75532,41260,603
R
−37.1%
18,77641,04059,936
R
−15.2%
20,01827,92652,124
D
+24.1%
30,48518,64649,179
R
−18.1%
19,22727,72647,006
R
−51.7%
10,09131,73341,824
R
−39.3%
11,97327,57839,665
R
−27.2%
11,54320,64033,484
R
−22.5%
13,05420,66133,803
R
−16.4%
14,87320,73535,750
R
−8.4%
15,04917,86433,606
R
−11.6%
12,58015,93928,989
R
−29.7%
10,14019,11130,155
R
−42.5%
5,34014,85322,368
R
−37.4%
5,54412,75519,289
R
−12.6%
5,2596,81512,307
D
+0.4%
4,8764,82412,057
R
−16.4%
5,0317,10612,619
R
−14.7%
5,0776,89712,388
R
−13.8%
5,1516,84012,202
R
−21.0%
4,4186,85211,586
R
−0.7%
5,1995,27811,088
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
12.2%
Italian
11.2%
German
7.7%
American
5.9%
English
4.0%
Polish
3.7%
French
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.4%
speak English only
Other Indo-European15.9%
Spanish15.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.3%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.5%
Non-Christian
13.1%
Other Christian
5.2%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Methodist
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Baptist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Assembly District 98 covers a suburban Long Island constituency that backed the 2024 Republican presidential ticket by nearly 23 points, a margin that has made it a consistent outlier in a state dominated by Democratic statewide performance.

The Democratic margin in New York 98th State House District has rarely exceeded twenty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $101,152 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 98, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36098/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 98, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 98, New York voted Republican by 9.4 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 107,125 votes cast, 48,263 went Democratic and 58,351 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 98, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 98, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 98, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 98, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Assembly District 98, New York?
Assembly District 98, New York has a population of 246,348 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 98, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 98, New York is $101,152 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 98, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 98, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.