akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 39·New York

New York 39th State Senate District delivered R+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of New York's redder legislative districts, tilting R+16.9 in 2024

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
200,628
2024 ACS

New York 39th State Senate District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
200,6282024 5-year
Median household income
$103,9202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.2%2024 5-year
Black
9.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
18.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+23 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1956MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.6%
49,37650,969101,219
D
+3.9%
50,88547,02799,432
R
−4.3%
39,42943,21286,967
D
+3.4%
41,25238,50381,179
D
+4.3%
44,85241,09686,945
R
−7.8%
37,37243,84582,595
R
−2.6%
34,11236,06774,238
D
+3.9%
30,90528,23368,168
R
−6.3%
26,82431,53974,598
R
−25.5%
24,16340,84365,528
R
−38.1%
20,10745,04765,380
R
−28.2%
17,87134,36958,579
R
−15.6%
23,77532,66157,080
R
−41.7%
16,70640,71257,533
R
−18.3%
18,46827,69550,287
D
+23.4%
29,80018,48248,316
R
−21.1%
18,25428,04146,334
R
−54.7%
9,49432,45541,949
R
−41.8%
11,51628,11239,741
R
−31.0%
10,68620,78232,546
R
−20.2%
13,22419,95633,272
R
−13.9%
14,94019,78634,805
R
−9.0%
14,45517,38532,458
R
−12.0%
11,97815,31427,724
R
−27.7%
9,56517,20327,579
R
−40.7%
5,12613,44920,450
R
−36.2%
5,60612,36018,674
R
−11.9%
5,1256,53411,844
R
−1.0%
5,0265,14011,929
R
−13.8%
5,1446,86412,420
R
−17.8%
4,8877,07512,296
R
−20.2%
4,6837,11412,054
R
−27.8%
4,0117,23611,612
R
−3.0%
5,2795,62411,572
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
17.4%
Irish
16.4%
German
10.8%
English
6.6%
American
6.4%
Polish
3.4%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.5%
Other Indo-European6.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
33.3%
Other Christian
4.5%
Non-Christian
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Methodist
1.6%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching across a largely suburban and rural corridor, this district delivered one of the wider Republican presidential margins in the state, signaling a constituency that has moved steadily away from statewide Democratic trends over the past decade.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-three points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 200,628, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $103,920 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 39, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 39, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 39, New York voted Republican by 1.6 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 101,219 votes cast, 49,376 went Democratic and 50,969 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 39, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 39, New York as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 29 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 39, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 39, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 39, New York?
State Senate District 39, New York has a population of 200,628 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 39, New York?
Median household income in State Senate District 39, New York is $103,920 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of State Senate District 39, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 39, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.