HarrisDemocratic74.4%34,631TrumpRepublican24.4%11,354OtherAll other candidates1.2%547
D+50.0- Lead
- 23,277
- Total
- 46,532
- vs nation
- D+51.5
- Turnout
- 58.4%
Akashiccounty
Tompkins County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.4% of 81,362 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic73.5%33,619TrumpRepublican24.3%11,096JorgensenLibertarian1.0%474
D+49.2- Lead
- 22,523
- Total
- 45,735
- vs nation
- D+44.8
- Turnout
- 58.7%
ClintonDemocratic67.7%28,890TrumpRepublican24.3%10,371JohnsonLibertarian3.3%1,393
D+43.4- Lead
- 18,519
- Total
- 42,678
- vs nation
- D+41.3
- Turnout
- 53.9%
ObamaDemocratic68.5%27,244RomneyRepublican27.9%11,107OtherAll other candidates3.6%1,430
D+40.6- Lead
- 16,137
- Total
- 39,781
- vs nation
- D+36.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic70.1%29,826McCainRepublican28.0%11,927OtherAll other candidates1.9%799
D+42.1- Lead
- 17,899
- Total
- 42,552
- vs nation
- D+34.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic64.2%27,229BushRepublican33.0%13,994OtherAll other candidates2.8%1,198
D+31.2- Lead
- 13,235
- Total
- 42,421
- vs nation
- D+33.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic54.4%21,807BushRepublican33.3%13,351NaderGreen11.4%4,548
D+21.1- Lead
- 8,456
- Total
- 40,060
- vs nation
- D+20.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.0%20,772DoleRepublican31.1%11,532PerotReform7.1%2,623
D+24.9- Lead
- 9,240
- Total
- 37,124
- vs nation
- D+16.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+50.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 104,5372024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.6 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washtenaw County, MI · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.4%47,483 participants ÷ 81,362 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.2%–48.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 43,039 | 79,908 | 53.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 38,449 | 79,633 | 48.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 47,033 | 80,103 | 58.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 35,613 | 79,878 | 44.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 47,483 | 81,362 | 58.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 46,902 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0300004361090300004 | 1,139 | 211 | 39 | 1,389 | 82.0% | 15.2% | D+66.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0602001361090602001 | 1,258 | 60 | 31 | 1,349 | 93.3% | 4.4% | D+88.8 |
| Precinct 0603002361090603002 | 1,079 | 79 | 40 | 1,198 | 90.1% | 6.6% | D+83.5 |
| Precinct 0800005361090800005 | 859 | 223 | 28 | 1,110 | 77.4% | 20.1% | D+57.3 |
| Precinct 1000001361091000001 | 913 | 174 | 15 | 1,102 | 82.8% | 15.8% | D+67.1 |
| Precinct 0800003361090800003 | 729 | 336 | 35 | 1,100 | 66.3% | 30.5% | D+35.7 |
| Precinct 0605001361090605001 | 911 | 106 | 37 | 1,054 | 86.4% | 10.1% | D+76.4 |
| Precinct 0500002361090500002 | 539 | 459 | 20 | 1,018 | 52.9% | 45.1% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct 0800007361090800007 | 812 | 177 | 22 | 1,011 | 80.3% | 17.5% | D+62.8 |
| Precinct 0500001361090500001 | 397 | 603 | 10 | 1,010 | 39.3% | 59.7% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct 0300006361090300006 | 635 | 355 | 18 | 1,008 | 63.0% | 35.2% | D+27.8 |
| Precinct 0200003361090200003 | 731 | 236 | 20 | 987 | 74.1% | 23.9% | D+50.2 |
| Precinct 0200001361090200001 | 741 | 214 | 18 | 973 | 76.2% | 22.0% | D+54.2 |
| Precinct 0800001361090800001 | 623 | 313 | 13 | 949 | 65.6% | 33.0% | D+32.7 |
| Precinct 0300002361090300002 | 616 | 302 | 16 | 934 | 66.0% | 32.3% | D+33.6 |
| Precinct 0601001361090601001 | 787 | 104 | 22 | 913 | 86.2% | 11.4% | D+74.8 |
| Precinct 0700004361090700004 | 773 | 112 | 15 | 900 | 85.9% | 12.4% | D+73.4 |
| Precinct 0700003361090700003 | 774 | 102 | 13 | 889 | 87.1% | 11.5% | D+75.6 |
| Precinct 0700011361090700011 | 755 | 106 | 14 | 875 | 86.3% | 12.1% | D+74.2 |
| Precinct 0100002361090100002 | 600 | 244 | 16 | 860 | 69.8% | 28.4% | D+41.4 |
| Precinct 0300008361090300008 | 719 | 111 | 17 | 847 | 84.9% | 13.1% | D+71.8 |
| Precinct 1000004361091000004 | 662 | 175 | 7 | 844 | 78.4% | 20.7% | D+57.7 |
| Precinct 0700006361090700006 | 728 | 89 | 24 | 841 | 86.6% | 10.6% | D+76.0 |
| Precinct 0900001361090900001 | 462 | 360 | 8 | 830 | 55.7% | 43.4% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct 0900002361090900002 | 407 | 417 | 5 | 829 | 49.1% | 50.3% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct 0604001361090604001 | 695 | 105 | 17 | 817 | 85.1% | 12.9% | D+72.2 |
| Precinct 0602002361090602002 | 716 | 68 | 27 | 811 | 88.3% | 8.4% | D+79.9 |
| Precinct 0300001361090300001 | 479 | 320 | 8 | 807 | 59.4% | 39.7% | D+19.7 |
| Precinct 0900003361090900003 | 457 | 335 | 14 | 806 | 56.7% | 41.6% | D+15.1 |
| Precinct 0300009361090300009 | 476 | 314 | 14 | 804 | 59.2% | 39.1% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct 0500003361090500003 | 335 | 457 | 9 | 801 | 41.8% | 57.1% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct 0300005361090300005 | 513 | 262 | 16 | 791 | 64.9% | 33.1% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct 0603001361090603001 | 691 | 61 | 26 | 778 | 88.8% | 7.8% | D+81.0 |
| Precinct 0100003361090100003 | 559 | 203 | 8 | 770 | 72.6% | 26.4% | D+46.2 |
| Precinct 0602003361090602003 | 670 | 58 | 37 | 765 | 87.6% | 7.6% | D+80.0 |
| Precinct 1000002361091000002 | 511 | 233 | 8 | 752 | 68.0% | 31.0% | D+37.0 |
| Precinct 0700010361090700010 | 624 | 104 | 11 | 739 | 84.4% | 14.1% | D+70.4 |
| Precinct 0800004361090800004 | 392 | 321 | 8 | 721 | 54.4% | 44.5% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct 0700008361090700008 | 657 | 48 | 12 | 717 | 91.6% | 6.7% | D+84.9 |
| Precinct 0700005361090700005 | 613 | 80 | 21 | 714 | 85.9% | 11.2% | D+74.6 |
| Precinct 0601002361090601002 | 591 | 98 | 10 | 699 | 84.5% | 14.0% | D+70.5 |
| Precinct 0700001361090700001 | 507 | 130 | 15 | 652 | 77.8% | 19.9% | D+57.8 |
| Precinct 0601003361090601003 | 589 | 47 | 14 | 650 | 90.6% | 7.2% | D+83.4 |
| Precinct 0700007361090700007 | 567 | 57 | 7 | 631 | 89.9% | 9.0% | D+80.8 |
| Precinct 0400002361090400002 | 408 | 212 | 8 | 628 | 65.0% | 33.8% | D+31.2 |
| Precinct 0800006361090800006 | 525 | 86 | 13 | 624 | 84.1% | 13.8% | D+70.4 |
| Precinct 0400003361090400003 | 356 | 256 | 3 | 615 | 57.9% | 41.6% | D+16.3 |
| Precinct 0800002361090800002 | 323 | 261 | 8 | 592 | 54.6% | 44.1% | D+10.5 |
| Precinct 0700009361090700009 | 509 | 66 | 11 | 586 | 86.9% | 11.3% | D+75.6 |
| Precinct 0300007361090300007 | 290 | 275 | 6 | 571 | 50.8% | 48.2% | D+2.6 |
| Precinct 0400001361090400001 | 286 | 276 | 9 | 571 | 50.1% | 48.3% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct 0601004361090601004 | 444 | 58 | 25 | 527 | 84.3% | 11.0% | D+73.2 |
| Precinct 0700002361090700002 | 376 | 83 | 13 | 472 | 79.7% | 17.6% | D+62.1 |
| Precinct 1000003361091000003 | 332 | 121 | 7 | 460 | 72.2% | 26.3% | D+45.9 |
| Precinct 0605002361090605002 | 394 | 43 | 7 | 444 | 88.7% | 9.7% | D+79.1 |
| Precinct 0100001361090100001 | 221 | 200 | 5 | 426 | 51.9% | 46.9% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct 0700012361090700012 | 319 | 57 | 4 | 380 | 83.9% | 15.0% | D+68.9 |
| Precinct 0300003361090300003 | 129 | 141 | 2 | 272 | 47.4% | 51.8% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct 0800008361090800008 | 122 | 126 | 1 | 249 | 49.0% | 50.6% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct 0200002361090200002 | 131 | 102 | 6 | 239 | 54.8% | 42.7% | D+12.1 |
| Precinct 0700013361090700013 | 127 | 15 | 0 | 142 | 89.4% | 10.6% | D+78.9 |
| Precinct 0604002361090604002 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 59 | 81.4% | 11.9% | D+69.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −14.9% |
| 1896 | −20.0% |
| 1900 | −16.1% |
| 1904 | −17.0% |
| 1908 | −14.7% |
| 1912 | +12.8% |
| 1916 | −14.8% |
| 1920 | −44.4% |
| 1924 | −50.0% |
| 1928 | −47.1% |
| 1932 | −31.7% |
| 1936 | −30.5% |
| 1940 | −33.2% |
| 1944 | −28.1% |
| 1948 | −39.1% |
| 1952 | −49.5% |
| 1956 | −56.6% |
| 1960 | −32.7% |
| 1964 | +27.9% |
| 1968 | −12.3% |
| 1972 | −17.5% |
| 1976 | −9.3% |
| 1980 | −1.6% |
| 1984 | +2.9% |
| 1988 | +17.8% |
| 1992 | +28.0% |
| 1996 | +24.9% |
| 2000 | +21.1% |
| 2004 | +31.2% |
| 2008 | +42.1% |
| 2012 | +40.6% |
| 2016 | +43.4% |
| 2020 | +49.2% |
| 2024 | +50.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 73.7%29,076 | 26.3%10,375 | 39,451 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+37.3
Presidential vote · 2024D+50.0
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Republican.
67,088 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−996 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −11,569 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,139 in average income, against $92,412 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+14.9 on average — 35 points more Republican-leaning than Tompkins County, NY itself (D+50.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cortland County, NY173R+6.4
- New York County, NY88D+64.2
- Tioga County, NY88R+22.8
- Kings County, NY79D+43.3
- Onondaga County, NY77D+17.2
- Cayuga County, NY68R+13.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- New York County, NY205
- Cortland County, NY198
- Tioga County, NY102
- Kings County, NY98
- Middlesex County, MA95
- Onondaga County, NY92
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −898 |
| 2012 | −216 |
| 2013 | −133 |
| 2014 | −1,198 |
| 2015 | −1,381 |
| 2016 | −1,072 |
| 2017 | −1,028 |
| 2018 | −794 |
| 2019 | −797 |
| 2021 | −2,823 |
| 2022 | +1,046 |
| 2023 | −401 |
| 2024 | −878 |
| 2025 | −996 |
Tompkins County's electorate is heavily shaped by Cornell University and Ithaca College, producing Democratic presidential margins that routinely exceed 50 points — among the widest of any county in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.0 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.0 points.
A population of 104,537, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,024 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washtenaw County and Benton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washtenaw County
Michigan
96.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Benton County
Oregon
96.0twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Johnson County
Iowa
95.7twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Asian
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tompkins County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36109/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Tompkins County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Tompkins County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tompkins County, New York voted Democratic by 50.0 points (D+50.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 46,532 votes cast, 34,631 went Democratic and 11,354 went Republican.
When did Tompkins County, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tompkins County, New York voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in Tompkins County, New York?
Tompkins County, New York has a population of 104,537 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tompkins County, New York?
Median household income in Tompkins County, New York is $74,024 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Tompkins County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tompkins County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.