HarrisDemocratic45.8%13,031TrumpRepublican53.7%15,256SteinIndependent0.3%83
R+7.8- Lead
- 2,225
- Total
- 28,436
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- 57.3%
Akashiccounty
Otsego County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.3% of 50,130 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.3%12,975TrumpRepublican51.3%14,382JorgensenLibertarian1.5%409
R+5.0- Lead
- 1,407
- Total
- 28,010
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Turnout
- 57.5%
ClintonDemocratic40.7%10,451TrumpRepublican51.8%13,308JohnsonLibertarian4.2%1,066
R+11.1- Lead
- 2,857
- Total
- 25,668
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- 51.9%
ObamaDemocratic50.2%12,117RomneyRepublican47.5%11,461SteinGreen1.0%238
D+2.7- Lead
- 656
- Total
- 24,139
- vs nation
- R+1.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic52.0%13,570McCainRepublican46.0%12,026OtherAll other candidates2.0%525
D+5.9- Lead
- 1,544
- Total
- 26,121
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.7%12,723BushRepublican50.1%13,342OtherAll other candidates2.2%587
R+2.3- Lead
- 619
- Total
- 26,652
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.2%11,460BushRepublican48.2%12,219NaderGreen5.6%1,419
R+3.0- Lead
- 759
- Total
- 25,358
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.5%11,470DoleRepublican36.4%8,774PerotReform13.3%3,217
D+11.2- Lead
- 2,696
- Total
- 24,126
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 60,1082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cortland County, NY · twin score 90.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.3%28,745 participants ÷ 50,130 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.4%–47.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,937 | 49,960 | 51.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 22,608 | 49,596 | 45.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 28,341 | 49,312 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,102 | 49,586 | 44.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,745 | 50,130 | 57.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 28,588 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1700001360771700001 | 735 | 228 | 20 | 983 | 74.8% | 23.2% | D+51.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1100002360771100002 | 428 | 495 | 7 | 930 | 46.0% | 53.2% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct 2300002360772300002 | 310 | 557 | 6 | 873 | 35.5% | 63.8% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct 1200001360771200001 | 346 | 511 | 11 | 868 | 39.9% | 58.9% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 0500001360770500001 | 277 | 574 | 5 | 856 | 32.4% | 67.1% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct 1700003360771700003 | 412 | 378 | 8 | 798 | 51.6% | 47.4% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct 1401001360771401001 | 519 | 259 | 10 | 788 | 65.9% | 32.9% | D+33.0 |
| Precinct 1500002360771500002 | 447 | 331 | 9 | 787 | 56.8% | 42.1% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct 1500001360771500001 | 411 | 365 | 7 | 783 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct 1600002360771600002 | 310 | 470 | 0 | 780 | 39.7% | 60.3% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct 0700001360770700001 | 324 | 420 | 10 | 754 | 43.0% | 55.7% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct 0300001360770300001 | 341 | 359 | 5 | 705 | 48.4% | 50.9% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct 1600001360771600001 | 224 | 476 | 5 | 705 | 31.8% | 67.5% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct 1000002360771000002 | 307 | 358 | 13 | 678 | 45.3% | 52.8% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct 0800002360770800002 | 255 | 420 | 2 | 677 | 37.7% | 62.0% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct 2200001360772200001 | 249 | 415 | 0 | 664 | 37.5% | 62.5% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 1300001360771300001 | 230 | 404 | 7 | 641 | 35.9% | 63.0% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct 1406001360771406001 | 360 | 269 | 5 | 634 | 56.8% | 42.4% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct 0100001360770100001 | 151 | 459 | 5 | 615 | 24.6% | 74.6% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct 2000002360772000002 | 177 | 431 | 5 | 613 | 28.9% | 70.3% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct 0200002360770200002 | 245 | 350 | 9 | 604 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct 0900002360770900002 | 169 | 414 | 2 | 585 | 28.9% | 70.8% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct 1405001360771405001 | 368 | 205 | 7 | 580 | 63.4% | 35.3% | D+28.1 |
| Precinct 1100001360771100001 | 263 | 313 | 0 | 576 | 45.7% | 54.3% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct 2300001360772300001 | 175 | 386 | 5 | 566 | 30.9% | 68.2% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct 1500003360771500003 | 319 | 232 | 6 | 557 | 57.3% | 41.7% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct 1402001360771402001 | 414 | 121 | 6 | 541 | 76.5% | 22.4% | D+54.2 |
| Precinct 2000001360772000001 | 194 | 327 | 7 | 528 | 36.7% | 61.9% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct 0800001360770800001 | 224 | 291 | 8 | 523 | 42.8% | 55.6% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct 2300003360772300003 | 282 | 230 | 8 | 520 | 54.2% | 44.2% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct 1800001360771800001 | 158 | 355 | 6 | 519 | 30.4% | 68.4% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct 1000001360771000001 | 345 | 144 | 7 | 496 | 69.6% | 29.0% | D+40.5 |
| Precinct 1408001360771408001 | 325 | 154 | 5 | 484 | 67.1% | 31.8% | D+35.3 |
| Precinct 1700002360771700002 | 278 | 182 | 12 | 472 | 58.9% | 38.6% | D+20.3 |
| Precinct 1500004360771500004 | 233 | 223 | 4 | 460 | 50.7% | 48.5% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct 2400001360772400001 | 145 | 310 | 5 | 460 | 31.5% | 67.4% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct 1900001360771900001 | 100 | 353 | 4 | 457 | 21.9% | 77.2% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct 0600001360770600001 | 127 | 315 | 5 | 447 | 28.4% | 70.5% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct 2500001360772500001 | 138 | 299 | 9 | 446 | 30.9% | 67.0% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct 2100001360772100001 | 180 | 227 | 2 | 409 | 44.0% | 55.5% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct 2500003360772500003 | 147 | 247 | 7 | 401 | 36.7% | 61.6% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct 1407001360771407001 | 272 | 122 | 6 | 400 | 68.0% | 30.5% | D+37.5 |
| Precinct 0900001360770900001 | 126 | 265 | 2 | 393 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct 1404001360771404001 | 266 | 101 | 5 | 372 | 71.5% | 27.2% | D+44.4 |
| Precinct 0700002360770700002 | 165 | 193 | 3 | 361 | 45.7% | 53.5% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct 1403001360771403001 | 273 | 69 | 13 | 355 | 76.9% | 19.4% | D+57.5 |
| Precinct 0200001360770200001 | 130 | 214 | 3 | 347 | 37.5% | 61.7% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct 2500002360772500002 | 75 | 231 | 0 | 306 | 24.5% | 75.5% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct 0400001360770400001 | 67 | 139 | 5 | 211 | 31.8% | 65.9% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct 1800002360771800002 | 15 | 65 | 0 | 80 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.8% |
| 1896 | −16.2% |
| 1900 | −12.2% |
| 1904 | −14.6% |
| 1908 | −10.6% |
| 1912 | +1.6% |
| 1916 | +0.4% |
| 1920 | −30.8% |
| 1924 | −37.4% |
| 1928 | −49.9% |
| 1932 | −29.2% |
| 1936 | −35.8% |
| 1940 | −36.4% |
| 1944 | −32.5% |
| 1948 | −35.6% |
| 1952 | −53.6% |
| 1956 | −55.1% |
| 1960 | −37.6% |
| 1964 | +27.4% |
| 1968 | −24.5% |
| 1972 | −37.4% |
| 1976 | −20.2% |
| 1980 | −12.6% |
| 1984 | −27.1% |
| 1988 | −8.0% |
| 1992 | +1.2% |
| 1996 | +11.2% |
| 2000 | −3.0% |
| 2004 | −2.3% |
| 2008 | +5.9% |
| 2012 | +2.7% |
| 2016 | −11.1% |
| 2020 | −5.0% |
| 2024 | −7.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 56.3%13,975 | 43.7%10,861 | 24,836 |
| 2018 | D | 50.3%10,686 | 49.7%10,577 | 21,263 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+8.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+7.8
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.5 points.
39,305 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+42 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +889 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,044 in average income, against $73,354 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.1 on average — 8.3 points more Republican-leaning than Otsego County, NY itself (R+7.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Delaware County, NY197R+19.7
- Chenango County, NY108R+27.1
- Herkimer County, NY61R+36.4
- Schoharie County, NY53R+30.4
- Oneida County, NY43R+21.2
- Suffolk County, NY43R+9.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Delaware County, NY159
- Chenango County, NY123
- Herkimer County, NY72
- Albany County, NY43
- Schoharie County, NY41
- Oneida County, NY40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −227 |
| 2012 | −157 |
| 2013 | −121 |
| 2014 | −655 |
| 2015 | −411 |
| 2016 | −387 |
| 2017 | −107 |
| 2018 | +46 |
| 2019 | −174 |
| 2021 | +2,737 |
| 2022 | −42 |
| 2023 | +220 |
| 2024 | +125 |
| 2025 | +42 |
Otsego County, home to Cooperstown and a patchwork of small farms and college towns, delivered an R+7.8 margin in 2024—a notable shift for a county that was competitive as recently as the early 2000s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.8 points.
A population of 60,108, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,885 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cortland County and Chemung County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cortland County
New York
90.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Chemung County
New York
89.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectoryItalian ancestry% Evangelical
Windham County
Vermont
88.6twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliatedItalian ancestry≠ 2016 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Otsego County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Otsego County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Otsego County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Otsego County, New York voted Republican by 7.8 points (R+7.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,436 votes cast, 13,031 went Democratic and 15,256 went Republican.
When did Otsego County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Otsego County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Otsego County, New York?
Otsego County, New York has a population of 60,108 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Otsego County, New York?
Median household income in Otsego County, New York is $68,885 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Otsego County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Otsego County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.