State Senate District 51 State Senate District (NY) — Elections 1876–2024

New York 51st State Senate District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 441,6252024 5-year
Median household income: $71,1492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 80.5%2024 5-year
Black: 5.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+50 in 1956MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

7 counties · 2 D · 5 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−4.6%	102,156	112,055	216,509
2020	R	−1.2%	103,818	106,501	214,659
2016	R	−7.4%	82,555	96,676	191,632
2012	D	+6.3%	93,990	82,522	180,652
2008	D	+8.4%	105,629	88,998	198,169
2004	R	−0.6%	97,347	98,585	200,524
2000	D	+1.8%	89,186	85,749	186,543
1996	D	+12.7%	88,762	65,683	181,016
1992	D	+3.5%	81,485	74,394	200,922
1988	R	−10.0%	82,125	100,620	184,261
1984	R	−28.3%	67,561	121,199	189,527
1980	R	−14.2%	64,722	89,809	176,158
1976	R	−12.4%	77,894	100,201	179,348
1972	R	−32.4%	61,176	120,095	181,716
1968	R	−18.6%	62,446	93,370	166,276
1964	D	+26.2%	107,444	62,800	170,432
1960	R	−26.2%	65,448	112,092	177,721
1956	R	−49.7%	43,258	128,644	171,902
1952	R	−45.2%	46,648	123,926	171,148
1948	R	−30.5%	47,790	92,130	145,476
1944	R	−25.7%	54,432	92,205	146,962
1940	R	−24.4%	58,577	96,557	155,536
1936	R	−21.1%	56,985	87,984	146,930
1932	R	−16.6%	54,047	76,023	132,154
1928	R	−39.6%	39,656	93,318	135,606
1924	R	−40.6%	27,225	69,796	104,952
1920	R	−36.5%	29,531	65,599	98,893
1916	R	−7.5%	28,840	33,680	64,770
1912	D	+2.0%	26,679	25,424	63,695
1908	R	−12.4%	28,260	36,646	67,643
1904	R	−15.1%	27,990	38,326	68,642
1900	R	−13.2%	29,146	38,307	69,423
1896	R	−18.2%	26,627	38,897	67,545
1892	R	−4.1%	29,643	32,333	66,377
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Irish

16.5%

German

14.9%

Italian

12.4%

English

11.6%

American

5.4%

Polish

4.4%

French

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

1.0%

85+

1.6%

2.9%

75–84

3.5%

6.1%

65–74

6.3%

7.3%

55–64

7.3%

5.9%

45–54

5.6%

5.8%

35–44

5.6%

5.9%

25–34

5.4%

5.9%

18–24

5.9%

6.9%

5–17

6.5%

2.4%

2.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$71,149

State Senate District 51 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State Senate District 51$71,149

New York$85,974

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

15.2%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1818.0%

Working age (18–64)14.9%

Seniors (65+)10.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

88.9%

speak English only

Spanish5.2%

Other Indo-European4.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%

Other languages0.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

17.7%

Other Christian

5.1%

Methodist

4.3%

Mainline Protestant

3.1%

Non-Christian

3.0%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.7%

Baptist

0.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

District 51 delivered a 21-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it an outlier in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide. Its conservative lean reflects a largely rural and small-city electorate outside the major metro corridors.

The Democratic margin in New York 51st State Senate District has rarely exceeded twenty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 81% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,149 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State Senate District 51, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 51, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, State Senate District 51, New York voted Republican by 4.6 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 216,509 votes cast, 102,156 went Democratic and 112,055 went Republican.

What is State Senate District 51, New York's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State Senate District 51, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.

When did State Senate District 51, New York last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 51, New York voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in State Senate District 51, New York?

State Senate District 51, New York has a population of 441,625 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State Senate District 51, New York?

Median household income in State Senate District 51, New York is $71,149 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of State Senate District 51, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 51, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New York 51st State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

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Frequently asked questions