HarrisDemocratic34.6%5,547TrumpRepublican65.0%10,423OtherAll other candidates0.4%72
R+30.4- Lead
- 4,876
- Total
- 16,042
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- 65.9%
Akashiccounty
Schoharie County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.9% of 24,626 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic34.1%5,345TrumpRepublican63.1%9,903JorgensenLibertarian1.8%282
R+29.1- Lead
- 4,558
- Total
- 15,685
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- 63.1%
ClintonDemocratic30.2%4,240TrumpRepublican62.9%8,831JohnsonLibertarian3.8%531
R+32.7- Lead
- 4,591
- Total
- 14,050
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 56.1%
ObamaDemocratic41.1%5,427RomneyRepublican56.5%7,467JohnsonLibertarian1.0%129
R+15.4- Lead
- 2,040
- Total
- 13,207
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.7%6,009McCainRepublican56.0%8,071OtherAll other candidates2.2%322
R+14.3- Lead
- 2,062
- Total
- 14,402
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.7%5,630BushRepublican59.0%8,591OtherAll other candidates2.3%338
R+20.3- Lead
- 2,961
- Total
- 14,559
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.8%5,390BushRepublican55.0%7,459NaderGreen4.1%551
R+15.3- Lead
- 2,069
- Total
- 13,554
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.5%5,902DoleRepublican40.4%5,353PerotReform13.5%1,796
D+4.1- Lead
- 549
- Total
- 13,261
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,0492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,1332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.6 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fulton County, NY · twin score 90.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.9%16,229 participants ÷ 24,626 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -11.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.3%–57.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,258 | 25,423 | 56.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,585 | 25,436 | 49.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,029 | 25,384 | 63.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,860 | 24,491 | 52.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,229 | 24,626 | 65.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 16,112 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0400002360950400002 | 784 | 830 | 23 | 1,637 | 47.9% | 50.7% | R+2.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1200001360951200001 | 382 | 798 | 10 | 1,190 | 32.1% | 67.1% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct 1000001360951000001 | 296 | 781 | 14 | 1,091 | 27.1% | 71.6% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct 0400001360950400001 | 380 | 634 | 8 | 1,022 | 37.2% | 62.0% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct 0300001360950300001 | 283 | 687 | 11 | 981 | 28.8% | 70.0% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct 1300001360951300001 | 306 | 616 | 2 | 924 | 33.1% | 66.7% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct 1600001360951600001 | 337 | 554 | 6 | 897 | 37.6% | 61.8% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct 1100001360951100001 | 269 | 586 | 7 | 862 | 31.2% | 68.0% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct 0600001360950600001 | 242 | 548 | 9 | 799 | 30.3% | 68.6% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct 0900001360950900001 | 270 | 523 | 2 | 795 | 34.0% | 65.8% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct 1000002360951000002 | 272 | 462 | 10 | 744 | 36.6% | 62.1% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct 0700001360950700001 | 225 | 450 | 10 | 685 | 32.8% | 65.7% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct 0800001360950800001 | 233 | 435 | 5 | 673 | 34.6% | 64.6% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct 1400001360951400001 | 188 | 478 | 5 | 671 | 28.0% | 71.2% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 1500001360951500001 | 193 | 471 | 5 | 669 | 28.8% | 70.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct 0200001360950200001 | 146 | 365 | 3 | 514 | 28.4% | 71.0% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct 1200002360951200002 | 208 | 289 | 6 | 503 | 41.4% | 57.5% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct 0500001360950500001 | 133 | 312 | 2 | 447 | 29.8% | 69.8% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct 1100002360951100002 | 138 | 236 | 3 | 377 | 36.6% | 62.6% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct 1400002360951400002 | 107 | 117 | 0 | 224 | 47.8% | 52.2% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct 0100001360950100001 | 77 | 132 | 1 | 210 | 36.7% | 62.9% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct 0600002360950600002 | 78 | 119 | 0 | 197 | 39.6% | 60.4% | R+20.8 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +15.8% |
| 1896 | +4.4% |
| 1900 | +5.5% |
| 1904 | +4.3% |
| 1908 | +6.0% |
| 1912 | +14.5% |
| 1916 | +9.2% |
| 1920 | −19.7% |
| 1924 | −45.2% |
| 1928 | −39.0% |
| 1932 | −8.0% |
| 1936 | −23.3% |
| 1940 | −28.4% |
| 1944 | −21.5% |
| 1948 | −24.7% |
| 1952 | −43.7% |
| 1956 | −46.6% |
| 1960 | −27.5% |
| 1964 | +26.3% |
| 1968 | −21.2% |
| 1972 | −39.6% |
| 1976 | −15.2% |
| 1980 | −13.6% |
| 1984 | −36.7% |
| 1988 | −12.9% |
| 1992 | −4.8% |
| 1996 | +4.1% |
| 2000 | −15.3% |
| 2004 | −20.3% |
| 2008 | −14.3% |
| 2012 | −15.4% |
| 2016 | −32.7% |
| 2020 | −29.1% |
| 2024 | −30.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 33.5%4,674 | 66.5%9,294 | 13,968 |
| 2020 | R | 45.0%6,629 | 55.0%8,102 | 14,731 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+17.4
Presidential vote · 2024R+30.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Democratic.
21,861 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+48 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −574 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,599 in average income, against $71,612 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.2 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Schoharie County, NY itself (R+30.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Albany County, NY76D+25.6
- Schenectady County, NY72D+10.8
- Montgomery County, NY45R+28.6
- Otsego County, NY41R+7.8
- Delaware County, NY32R+19.7
- Saratoga County, NY29D+1.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Schenectady County, NY79
- Albany County, NY63
- Otsego County, NY53
- Montgomery County, NY38
- Delaware County, NY27
- Saratoga County, NY23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −113 |
| 2012 | −639 |
| 2013 | −121 |
| 2014 | −118 |
| 2015 | −310 |
| 2016 | −66 |
| 2017 | −14 |
| 2018 | −65 |
| 2019 | −76 |
| 2021 | +499 |
| 2022 | +51 |
| 2023 | +157 |
| 2024 | +193 |
| 2025 | +48 |
Schoharie's dairy-farming hollows and small river towns produce some of the most lopsided presidential results in New York, with the 2024 margin reaching R+30.4 — roughly double its gap from a decade prior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.4 points.
A population of 30,049, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,133 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fulton County and Tioga County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Fulton County
New York
90.8twin score
% unaffiliatedItalian ancestry% Evangelical
Tioga County
New York
89.1twin score
% EvangelicalIrish ancestryItalian ancestry
Wayne County
New York
86.3twin score
Italian ancestry% Evangelical% unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Schoharie County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Schoharie County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Schoharie County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Schoharie County, New York voted Republican by 30.4 points (R+30.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,042 votes cast, 5,547 went Democratic and 10,423 went Republican.
When did Schoharie County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Schoharie County, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Schoharie County, New York?
Schoharie County, New York has a population of 30,049 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Schoharie County, New York?
Median household income in Schoharie County, New York is $70,133 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Schoharie County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Schoharie County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.