- Lead
- 1,981
- Total
- 9,486
- vs nation
- R+19.4
- Turnout
- 67.9%
Schuyler County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.9% of 14,121 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,718
- Total
- 9,740
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Turnout
- 68.8%
- Lead
- 1,959
- Total
- 8,772
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- 60.4%
- Lead
- 607
- Total
- 8,146
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 609
- Total
- 8,600
- vs nation
- R+14.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,515
- Total
- 8,590
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,080
- Total
- 8,153
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 169
- Total
- 7,635
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,5622024 5-year
- Population density
- 53 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 328 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,6632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.5 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Delaware County, NY · twin score 85.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.9%9,586 participants ÷ 14,121 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.7%–57.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,772 | 14,532 | 60.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,597 | 14,391 | 52.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,855 | 14,329 | 68.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,831 | 14,346 | 54.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,586 | 14,121 | 67.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Schuyler County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.6%
4,326 votes · D+19.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 45.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
78.2%
5,795 votes · R+56.5
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 75.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
4,326votes
59.6% of the vote · D+19.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,933 votes
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
6,598votes
66.2% of the vote · R+38.8
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 5,795 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
−2.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.7 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · −3.3 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+54.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.4 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +51.1 pts
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.4 points more Republican than the rolls.
13,312 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−103 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −753 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,221 in average income, against $69,536 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.9 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Schuyler County, NY itself (R+20.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Chemung County, NY76R+16.7
- Tompkins County, NY68D+50.0
- Steuben County, NY64R+31.7
- Seneca County, NY21R+11.8
- Yates County, NY20R+16.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Chemung County, NY82
- Steuben County, NY71
- Tompkins County, NY48
- Yates County, NY21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +120 |
| 2012 | +75 |
| 2013 | −97 |
| 2014 | −190 |
| 2015 | −146 |
| 2016 | −51 |
| 2017 | −7 |
| 2018 | +15 |
| 2019 | −40 |
| 2021 | −17 |
| 2022 | −94 |
| 2023 | −25 |
| 2024 | −193 |
| 2025 | −103 |
Schuyler County's 19,000 residents are spread across the hilly terrain west of Seneca Lake, and its presidential margins have shifted roughly 15 points toward Republicans over the past decade, reflecting a broader rural realignment in upstate New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.5 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.9 points.
A population of 17,562, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,663 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Delaware County and Yates County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Schuyler County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36097/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.