HarrisDemocratic25.6%7,990TrumpRepublican73.5%22,937OliverLibertarian0.6%180
R+47.9- Lead
- 14,947
- Total
- 31,192
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- 67.8%
Akashiccounty
Bradford County, PA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.8% of 46,330 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.7%8,046TrumpRepublican71.6%21,600JorgensenLibertarian1.7%513
R+44.9- Lead
- 13,554
- Total
- 30,159
- vs nation
- R+49.4
- Turnout
- 64.5%
ClintonDemocratic24.5%6,369TrumpRepublican69.8%18,141JohnsonLibertarian3.4%893
R+45.3- Lead
- 11,772
- Total
- 25,986
- vs nation
- R+47.4
- Turnout
- 55.2%
ObamaDemocratic36.6%8,624RomneyRepublican61.2%14,410JohnsonLibertarian1.0%243
R+24.6- Lead
- 5,786
- Total
- 23,540
- vs nation
- R+28.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.0%10,306McCainRepublican58.4%15,057OtherAll other candidates1.6%424
R+18.4- Lead
- 4,751
- Total
- 25,787
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.5%8,590BushRepublican66.0%16,942OtherAll other candidates0.5%120
R+32.6- Lead
- 8,352
- Total
- 25,652
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.9%7,911BushRepublican62.8%14,660NaderGreen2.6%600
R+28.9- Lead
- 6,749
- Total
- 23,352
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.8%7,736DoleRepublican49.5%10,393PerotReform12.9%2,712
R+12.6- Lead
- 2,657
- Total
- 21,008
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,8582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,6752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.0 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Allegany County, NY · twin score 86.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.8%31,418 participants ÷ 46,330 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.4%–55.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 26,404 | 47,852 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,679 | 47,462 | 43.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 30,247 | 46,882 | 64.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 23,740 | 46,468 | 51.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 31,418 | 46,330 | 67.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
122 precincts · 31,192 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0060420150060 | 611 | 904 | 16 | 1,531 | 39.9% | 59.0% | R+19.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0330420150330 | 525 | 637 | 17 | 1,179 | 44.5% | 54.0% | R+9.5 |
| Precinct 0050420150050 | 337 | 752 | 11 | 1,100 | 30.6% | 68.4% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct 0130420150130 | 156 | 871 | 6 | 1,033 | 15.1% | 84.3% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct 0290420150290 | 212 | 793 | 9 | 1,014 | 20.9% | 78.2% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct 0500420150500 | 188 | 705 | 4 | 897 | 21.0% | 78.6% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct 0380420150380 | 168 | 678 | 7 | 853 | 19.7% | 79.5% | R+59.8 |
| Precinct 0210420150210 | 140 | 627 | 6 | 773 | 18.1% | 81.1% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct 0610420150610 | 174 | 574 | 7 | 755 | 23.0% | 76.0% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct 0140420150140 | 177 | 541 | 5 | 723 | 24.5% | 74.8% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct 0350420150350 | 299 | 397 | 5 | 701 | 42.7% | 56.6% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct 0370420150370 | 136 | 550 | 4 | 690 | 19.7% | 79.7% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct 0590420150590 | 124 | 548 | 3 | 675 | 18.4% | 81.2% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct 0410420150410 | 154 | 508 | 2 | 664 | 23.2% | 76.5% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct 0550420150550 | 117 | 533 | 6 | 656 | 17.8% | 81.3% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct 0260420150260 | 133 | 515 | 4 | 652 | 20.4% | 79.0% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct 0530420150530 | 130 | 518 | 4 | 652 | 19.9% | 79.4% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct 0570420150570 | 121 | 525 | 6 | 652 | 18.6% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct 0390420150390 | 136 | 507 | 1 | 644 | 21.1% | 78.7% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct 0400420150400 | 250 | 378 | 6 | 634 | 39.4% | 59.6% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct 0040420150040 | 135 | 460 | 4 | 599 | 22.5% | 76.8% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct 0150420150150 | 133 | 457 | 3 | 593 | 22.4% | 77.1% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct 0490420150490 | 207 | 377 | 7 | 591 | 35.0% | 63.8% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 0300420150300 | 104 | 466 | 9 | 579 | 18.0% | 80.5% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct 0540420150540 | 100 | 470 | 8 | 578 | 17.3% | 81.3% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct 0520420150520 | 88 | 478 | 6 | 572 | 15.4% | 83.6% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct 0220420150220 | 105 | 458 | 7 | 570 | 18.4% | 80.4% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct 0510420150510 | 185 | 365 | 6 | 556 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct 0450420150450 | 88 | 442 | 5 | 535 | 16.4% | 82.6% | R+66.2 |
| Precinct 0250420150250 | 168 | 354 | 6 | 528 | 31.8% | 67.0% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct 0100420150100 | 186 | 329 | 5 | 520 | 35.8% | 63.3% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct 0020420150020 | 101 | 385 | 9 | 495 | 20.4% | 77.8% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct 0460420150460 | 131 | 347 | 2 | 480 | 27.3% | 72.3% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct 0170420150170 | 79 | 395 | 0 | 474 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct 0580420150580 | 86 | 358 | 3 | 447 | 19.2% | 80.1% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct 0110420150110 | 98 | 327 | 3 | 428 | 22.9% | 76.4% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct 0180420150180 | 53 | 367 | 1 | 421 | 12.6% | 87.2% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct 0090420150090 | 142 | 273 | 4 | 419 | 33.9% | 65.2% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 0200420150200 | 78 | 303 | 1 | 382 | 20.4% | 79.3% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct 0480420150480 | 131 | 237 | 2 | 370 | 35.4% | 64.1% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct 0280420150280 | 76 | 259 | 4 | 339 | 22.4% | 76.4% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct 0420420150420 | 86 | 245 | 6 | 337 | 25.5% | 72.7% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct 0320420150320 | 150 | 178 | 1 | 329 | 45.6% | 54.1% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct 0070420150070 | 123 | 198 | 4 | 325 | 37.8% | 60.9% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct 0160420150160 | 45 | 276 | 1 | 322 | 14.0% | 85.7% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct 0600420150600 | 115 | 189 | 3 | 307 | 37.5% | 61.6% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct 0080420150080 | 137 | 153 | 3 | 293 | 46.8% | 52.2% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct 0560420150560 | 51 | 213 | 5 | 269 | 19.0% | 79.2% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct 0340420150340 | 90 | 170 | 4 | 264 | 34.1% | 64.4% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct 0230420150230 | 86 | 169 | 0 | 255 | 33.7% | 66.3% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 0470420150470 | 76 | 174 | 4 | 254 | 29.9% | 68.5% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct 0430420150430 | 43 | 199 | 1 | 243 | 17.7% | 81.9% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct 0270420150270 | 25 | 125 | 0 | 150 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct 0190420150190 | 37 | 105 | 0 | 142 | 26.1% | 73.9% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct 0360420150360 | 40 | 86 | 4 | 130 | 30.8% | 66.2% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct 0310420150310 | 20 | 108 | 1 | 129 | 15.5% | 83.7% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct 0030420150030 | 15 | 105 | 0 | 120 | 12.5% | 87.5% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct 0240420150240 | 33 | 86 | 1 | 120 | 27.5% | 71.7% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct 0440420150440 | 29 | 69 | 1 | 99 | 29.3% | 69.7% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct 0010420150010 | 11 | 68 | 0 | 79 | 13.9% | 86.1% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct 0120420150120 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 71 | 22.5% | 74.6% | R+52.1 |
| ALBA Voting District42_4201510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALBANY TWP Voting District42_4201520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ARMENIA TWP Voting District42_4201530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ASYLUM TWP Voting District42_4201540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATHENS TWP DIST 0142_4201550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATHENS TWP DIST 0242_4201560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATHENS WD 0142_4201570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATHENS WD 0242_4201580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATHENS WD 0342_4201590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATHENS WD 0442_42015100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURLINGTON TWP Voting District42_42015110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURLINGTON Voting District42_42015120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON TWP Voting District42_42015130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CANTON WD42_42015140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLUMBIA TWP Voting District42_42015150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN TWP Voting District42_42015160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRANVILLE TWP Voting District42_42015170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HERRICK TWP Voting District42_42015180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LERAYSVILLE Voting District42_42015190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEROY TWP Voting District42_42015200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LITCHFIELD TWP Voting District42_42015210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE TWP Voting District42_42015220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE Voting District42_42015230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW ALBANY Voting District42_42015240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NORTH TOWANDA TWP Voting District42_42015250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORWELL TWP Voting District42_42015260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OVERTON TWP Voting District42_42015270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PIKE TWP Voting District42_42015280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIDGEBURY TWP Voting District42_42015290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROME TWP Voting District42_42015300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROME Voting District42_42015310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAYRE WD 0142_42015320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAYRE WD 0242_42015330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAYRE WD 0342_42015340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAYRE WD 0442_42015350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SAYRE WD 0542_42015360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHESHEQUIN TWP Voting District42_42015370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SMITHFIELD TWP Voting District42_42015380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH CREEK TWP Voting District42_42015390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SOUTH WAVERLY Voting District42_42015400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRINGFIELD TWP Voting District42_42015410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STANDING STONE TWP Voting District42_42015420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEVENS TWP Voting District42_42015430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SYLVANIA Voting District42_42015440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TERRY TWP Voting District42_42015450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWANDA TWP Voting District42_42015460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWANDA WD 0142_42015470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWANDA WD 0242_42015480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWANDA WD 0342_42015490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TROY TWP Voting District42_42015500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TROY Voting District42_42015510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TUSCARORA TWP Voting District42_42015520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ULSTER TWP Voting District42_42015530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARREN TWP Voting District42_42015540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WELLS TWP Voting District42_42015550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST BURLINGTON TWP Voting District42_42015560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILMOT TWP Voting District42_42015570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINDHAM TWP Voting District42_42015580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WYALUSING TWP Voting District42_42015590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WYALUSING Voting District42_42015600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WYSOX TWP Voting District42_42015610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −31.4% |
| 1896 | −35.3% |
| 1900 | −32.8% |
| 1904 | −45.4% |
| 1908 | −33.6% |
| 1912 | +8.5% |
| 1916 | −23.5% |
| 1920 | −57.4% |
| 1924 | −59.0% |
| 1928 | −60.0% |
| 1932 | −30.5% |
| 1936 | −34.3% |
| 1940 | −38.3% |
| 1944 | −41.5% |
| 1948 | −45.0% |
| 1952 | −52.3% |
| 1956 | −47.3% |
| 1960 | −40.2% |
| 1964 | +1.3% |
| 1968 | −32.9% |
| 1972 | −48.1% |
| 1976 | −23.5% |
| 1980 | −32.1% |
| 1984 | −45.8% |
| 1988 | −34.1% |
| 1992 | −14.7% |
| 1996 | −12.6% |
| 2000 | −28.9% |
| 2004 | −32.6% |
| 2008 | −18.4% |
| 2012 | −24.6% |
| 2016 | −45.3% |
| 2020 | −44.9% |
| 2024 | −47.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+46.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+47.9
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.0 points.
38,823 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+89 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,577 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,856 in average income, against $79,371 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+27.8 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Bradford County, PA itself (R+47.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tioga County, NY113R+22.8
- Chemung County, NY92R+16.7
- Tioga County, PA65R+51.8
- Wyoming County, PA43R+36.8
- Broome County, NY32D+0.4
- Lycoming County, PA28R+41.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tioga County, NY121
- Chemung County, NY87
- Tioga County, PA63
- Wyoming County, PA41
- Sullivan County, PA30
- Lycoming County, PA29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +335 |
| 2012 | −228 |
| 2013 | −583 |
| 2014 | −723 |
| 2015 | −304 |
| 2016 | −573 |
| 2017 | −142 |
| 2018 | −121 |
| 2019 | −393 |
| 2021 | +268 |
| 2022 | −80 |
| 2023 | −40 |
| 2024 | −82 |
| 2025 | +89 |
Bradford County's R+47.9 margin in 2024 places it among the most lopsided presidential counties in Pennsylvania, anchored by a rural, largely non-Hispanic white population spread across small agricultural and timber-economy townships.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 60.0 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.9 points.
A population of 59,858, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,675 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Allegany County and Hillsdale County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Allegany County
New York
86.0twin score
% unaffiliated% White2000 margin
Hillsdale County
Michigan
85.5twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Miami County
Indiana
84.0twin score
12-yr trend% unaffiliated% Evangelical≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bradford County, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/42015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Bradford County
Pennsylvania at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Bradford County, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bradford County, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 47.9 points (R+47.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,192 votes cast, 7,990 went Democratic and 22,937 went Republican.
When did Bradford County, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bradford County, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bradford County, Pennsylvania?
Bradford County, Pennsylvania has a population of 59,858 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bradford County, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Bradford County, Pennsylvania is $63,675 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Bradford County, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bradford County, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.