HarrisDemocratic40.9%18,010TrumpRepublican58.9%25,919OtherAll other candidates0.2%97
R+18.0- Lead
- 7,909
- Total
- 44,026
- vs nation
- R+16.5
- Turnout
- 53.0%
Akashiccounty
St. Lawrence County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.0% of 84,053 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.2%19,361TrumpRepublican54.9%24,608JorgensenLibertarian1.0%437
R+11.7- Lead
- 5,247
- Total
- 44,800
- vs nation
- R+16.2
- Turnout
- 53.0%
ClintonDemocratic42.1%16,488TrumpRepublican50.9%19,942JohnsonLibertarian3.7%1,445
R+8.8- Lead
- 3,454
- Total
- 39,158
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Turnout
- 45.9%
ObamaDemocratic57.4%21,353RomneyRepublican40.7%15,138JohnsonLibertarian0.7%276
D+16.7- Lead
- 6,215
- Total
- 37,191
- vs nation
- D+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic57.4%23,706McCainRepublican41.0%16,956OtherAll other candidates1.6%664
D+16.3- Lead
- 6,750
- Total
- 41,326
- vs nation
- D+9.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic54.7%22,857BushRepublican43.2%18,029OtherAll other candidates2.1%875
D+11.6- Lead
- 4,828
- Total
- 41,761
- vs nation
- D+14.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic53.8%21,386BushRepublican41.3%16,449NaderGreen3.7%1,488
D+12.4- Lead
- 4,937
- Total
- 39,786
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic56.7%21,798DoleRepublican28.1%10,827PerotReform13.8%5,309
D+28.5- Lead
- 10,971
- Total
- 38,477
- vs nation
- D+20.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 107,2262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Androscoggin County, ME · twin score 93.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.0%44,534 participants ÷ 84,053 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.8%–44.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 39,632 | 86,267 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 34,799 | 84,800 | 41.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 44,957 | 84,822 | 53.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 34,832 | 85,231 | 40.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 44,534 | 84,053 | 53.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
70 precincts · 44,168 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1700001360891700001 | 557 | 853 | 5 | 1,415 | 39.4% | 60.3% | R+20.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1100001360891100001 | 424 | 698 | 10 | 1,132 | 37.5% | 61.7% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct 2500001360892500001 | 343 | 726 | 11 | 1,080 | 31.8% | 67.2% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct 1000001360891000001 | 283 | 790 | 4 | 1,077 | 26.3% | 73.4% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct 2000007360892000007 | 444 | 554 | 5 | 1,003 | 44.3% | 55.2% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct 1600002360891600002 | 285 | 676 | 7 | 968 | 29.4% | 69.8% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct 2100001360892100001 | 310 | 654 | 3 | 967 | 32.1% | 67.6% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct 2900004360892900004 | 522 | 434 | 10 | 966 | 54.0% | 44.9% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct 0200002360890200002 | 466 | 473 | 2 | 941 | 49.5% | 50.3% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct 0600001360890600001 | 301 | 627 | 1 | 929 | 32.4% | 67.5% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct 3200002360893200002 | 303 | 609 | 9 | 921 | 32.9% | 66.1% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct 1600001360891600001 | 279 | 632 | 9 | 920 | 30.3% | 68.7% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct 0500001360890500001 | 380 | 509 | 4 | 893 | 42.6% | 57.0% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct 3100001360893100001 | 233 | 650 | 0 | 883 | 26.4% | 73.6% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct 2400001360892400001 | 229 | 630 | 3 | 862 | 26.6% | 73.1% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct 1100002360891100002 | 239 | 606 | 8 | 853 | 28.0% | 71.0% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct 2300004360892300004 | 340 | 501 | 2 | 843 | 40.3% | 59.4% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct 2000001360892000001 | 430 | 402 | 4 | 836 | 51.4% | 48.1% | D+3.3 |
| Precinct 1900001360891900001 | 332 | 458 | 5 | 795 | 41.8% | 57.6% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct 2700001360892700001 | 315 | 479 | 1 | 795 | 39.6% | 60.3% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct 3200001360893200001 | 290 | 480 | 4 | 774 | 37.5% | 62.0% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct 2000003360892000003 | 348 | 375 | 5 | 728 | 47.8% | 51.5% | R+3.7 |
| Precinct 2900008360892900008 | 363 | 349 | 4 | 716 | 50.7% | 48.7% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct 2400002360892400002 | 234 | 473 | 2 | 709 | 33.0% | 66.7% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct 3300002360893300002 | 258 | 438 | 3 | 699 | 36.9% | 62.7% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct 2200002360892200002 | 243 | 452 | 0 | 695 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct 1500001360891500001 | 203 | 471 | 5 | 679 | 29.9% | 69.4% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct 0200008360890200008 | 300 | 369 | 5 | 674 | 44.5% | 54.7% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct 2900005360892900005 | 485 | 177 | 9 | 671 | 72.3% | 26.4% | D+45.9 |
| Precinct 1200001360891200001 | 230 | 438 | 2 | 670 | 34.3% | 65.4% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct 0200001360890200001 | 516 | 140 | 7 | 663 | 77.8% | 21.1% | D+56.7 |
| Precinct 2000005360892000005 | 283 | 379 | 1 | 663 | 42.7% | 57.2% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 2000002360892000002 | 284 | 375 | 2 | 661 | 43.0% | 56.7% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct 2300003360892300003 | 277 | 366 | 5 | 648 | 42.7% | 56.5% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct 2000006360892000006 | 303 | 326 | 2 | 631 | 48.0% | 51.7% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct 2300006360892300006 | 255 | 366 | 3 | 624 | 40.9% | 58.7% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct 0900001360890900001 | 261 | 361 | 0 | 622 | 42.0% | 58.0% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct 2200003360892200003 | 237 | 383 | 0 | 620 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct 2900002360892900002 | 267 | 344 | 2 | 613 | 43.6% | 56.1% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct 2700002360892700002 | 334 | 273 | 3 | 610 | 54.8% | 44.8% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct 0100002360890100002 | 229 | 369 | 3 | 601 | 38.1% | 61.4% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct 2200001360892200001 | 233 | 362 | 5 | 600 | 38.8% | 60.3% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct 3300001360893300001 | 289 | 308 | 2 | 599 | 48.2% | 51.4% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct 0200006360890200006 | 360 | 211 | 5 | 576 | 62.5% | 36.6% | D+25.9 |
| Precinct 2300002360892300002 | 179 | 383 | 4 | 566 | 31.6% | 67.7% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct 2900007360892900007 | 433 | 110 | 10 | 553 | 78.3% | 19.9% | D+58.4 |
| Precinct 2300001360892300001 | 198 | 333 | 2 | 533 | 37.1% | 62.5% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 2900006360892900006 | 357 | 171 | 5 | 533 | 67.0% | 32.1% | D+34.9 |
| Precinct 1300001360891300001 | 157 | 371 | 2 | 530 | 29.6% | 70.0% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct 1400001360891400001 | 167 | 362 | 1 | 530 | 31.5% | 68.3% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct 0200003360890200003 | 378 | 133 | 7 | 518 | 73.0% | 25.7% | D+47.3 |
| Precinct 2900001360892900001 | 243 | 270 | 3 | 516 | 47.1% | 52.3% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct 2900003360892900003 | 209 | 294 | 3 | 506 | 41.3% | 58.1% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct 0800001360890800001 | 162 | 309 | 2 | 473 | 34.2% | 65.3% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct 0100001360890100001 | 132 | 316 | 1 | 449 | 29.4% | 70.4% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct 1800001360891800001 | 125 | 307 | 4 | 436 | 28.7% | 70.4% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct 2800001360892800001 | 91 | 290 | 0 | 381 | 23.9% | 76.1% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct 2400003360892400003 | 130 | 205 | 1 | 336 | 38.7% | 61.0% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct 3000001360893000001 | 123 | 209 | 1 | 333 | 36.9% | 62.8% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct 2300005360892300005 | 106 | 211 | 1 | 318 | 33.3% | 66.4% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 0200007360890200007 | 117 | 169 | 3 | 289 | 40.5% | 58.5% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct 0700001360890700001 | 67 | 208 | 2 | 277 | 24.2% | 75.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct 1700002360891700002 | 138 | 136 | 2 | 276 | 50.0% | 49.3% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct 2000004360892000004 | 91 | 135 | 0 | 226 | 40.3% | 59.7% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct 0400001360890400001 | 52 | 102 | 0 | 154 | 33.8% | 66.2% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 2600001360892600001 | 71 | 77 | 1 | 149 | 47.7% | 51.7% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct 0400002360890400002 | 65 | 82 | 0 | 147 | 44.2% | 55.8% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct 0200005360890200005 | 58 | 78 | 2 | 138 | 42.0% | 56.5% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 0200004360890200004 | 53 | 68 | 0 | 121 | 43.8% | 56.2% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct 0300001360890300001 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 55 | 20.0% | 80.0% | R+60.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −34.2% |
| 1896 | −44.3% |
| 1900 | −44.6% |
| 1904 | −43.7% |
| 1908 | −39.6% |
| 1912 | −16.4% |
| 1916 | −36.0% |
| 1920 | −53.5% |
| 1924 | −39.7% |
| 1928 | −34.0% |
| 1932 | −27.9% |
| 1936 | −33.5% |
| 1940 | −21.9% |
| 1944 | −18.0% |
| 1948 | −22.8% |
| 1952 | −36.6% |
| 1956 | −49.1% |
| 1960 | −14.2% |
| 1964 | +41.3% |
| 1968 | −14.0% |
| 1972 | −26.2% |
| 1976 | −11.9% |
| 1980 | −3.6% |
| 1984 | −24.0% |
| 1988 | −3.5% |
| 1992 | +10.2% |
| 1996 | +28.5% |
| 2000 | +12.4% |
| 2004 | +11.6% |
| 2008 | +16.3% |
| 2012 | +16.7% |
| 2016 | −8.8% |
| 2020 | −11.7% |
| 2024 | −18.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.9%15,757 | 60.1%23,704 | 39,461 |
| 2020 | R | 41.3%18,375 | 58.7%26,138 | 44,513 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+6.8
Presidential vote · 2024R+18.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Democratic.
65,237 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−678 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −8,824 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,141 in average income, against $67,174 for residents who stayed — 3% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.5 on average — 8.4 points more Democratic-leaning than St. Lawrence County, NY itself (R+18.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Franklin County, NY147R+9.0
- Jefferson County, NY113R+23.6
- Onondaga County, NY46D+17.2
- Monroe County, NY32D+19.0
- Lewis County, NY25R+44.4
- Saratoga County, NY20D+1.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, NY120
- Franklin County, NY111
- Onondaga County, NY68
- Monroe County, NY43
- Clinton County, NY36
- Saratoga County, NY27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +86 |
| 2012 | −264 |
| 2013 | −823 |
| 2014 | −905 |
| 2015 | −1,486 |
| 2016 | −1,259 |
| 2017 | −978 |
| 2018 | −429 |
| 2019 | −591 |
| 2021 | −497 |
| 2022 | −378 |
| 2023 | −152 |
| 2024 | −470 |
| 2025 | −678 |
St. Lawrence spans more than 2,800 square miles along the Canadian border, and its mix of rural towns, a small college city in Canton, and a declining manufacturing base has driven a steady shift from competitive to reliably Republican in presidential contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.0 points.
A population of 107,226, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,850 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Androscoggin County and Clinton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Androscoggin County
Maine
93.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Clinton County
New York
90.6twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Franklin County
New York
90.0twin score
12-yr trend2004–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
St. Lawrence County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in St. Lawrence County
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did St. Lawrence County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, St. Lawrence County, New York voted Republican by 18.0 points (R+18.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,026 votes cast, 18,010 went Democratic and 25,919 went Republican.
When did St. Lawrence County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which St. Lawrence County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in St. Lawrence County, New York?
St. Lawrence County, New York has a population of 107,226 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in St. Lawrence County, New York?
Median household income in St. Lawrence County, New York is $62,850 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of St. Lawrence County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in St. Lawrence County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.