akashic
1876–2024
St. Lawrence County, New York
St. Lawrence County·New York

St. Lawrence County votes the way the country votes.

A vast North Country county that has swung sharply rightward over two decades

18762024·38 elections
St. Lawrence County, New York · Jondude11 at English Wikipedia · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+18
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
107,226
2024 ACS
Most similar
Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region
CT · similarity 0.96
70 precincts · 44,168 votes cast
Trump · R+18
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−17.9%
18,01025,91944,168
2020R
−11.7%
19,36124,60844,800
2016R
−8.8%
16,48819,94239,158
2012D
+16.7%
21,35315,13837,191
2008D
+16.3%
23,70616,95641,326
2004D
+11.6%
22,85718,02941,761
2000D
+12.4%
21,38616,44939,786
1996D
+28.5%
21,79810,82738,477
1992D
+10.2%
18,19713,90142,317
1988R
−3.5%
18,92120,29039,481
1984R
−24.0%
15,96326,06242,149
1980R
−3.6%
17,00618,43739,624
1976R
−11.9%
17,50322,24939,934
1972R
−26.2%
15,28626,14541,503
1968R
−14.0%
15,66220,98237,933
1964D
+41.3%
29,17312,10241,307
1960R
−14.2%
19,43025,84845,302
1956R
−49.1%
10,89231,89742,789
1952R
−36.6%
13,00028,03641,087
1948R
−22.8%
13,20021,16034,925
1944R
−18.0%
15,22321,91937,219
1940R
−21.9%
15,56924,33939,990
1936R
−33.5%
12,76326,03139,556
1932R
−27.9%
12,68722,65035,680
1928R
−34.0%
12,56725,80438,960
1924R
−39.7%
7,02617,68226,856
1920R
−53.5%
7,21324,65132,606
1916R
−36.0%
6,05613,14219,683
1912R
−16.4%
5,3298,40418,721
1908R
−39.6%
5,89814,15120,849
1904R
−43.7%
5,79815,27421,686
1900R
−44.6%
5,69915,29621,539
1896R
−44.3%
5,74915,28721,541
1892R
−34.2%
6,15613,17720,535
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
1.4%
African American
1.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.4%
Other Christian
9.3%
Methodist
2.8%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Baptist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

St. Lawrence spans more than 2,800 square miles along the Canadian border, and its mix of rural towns, a small college city in Canton, and a declining manufacturing base has driven a steady shift from competitive to reliably Republican in presidential contests.

The Democratic margin in St. Lawrence County has rarely exceeded forty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-three points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by eighteen points.

St. Lawrence County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 92% non-Hispanic-white share, a 17% poverty rate, and a median household income of $62,850 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region and Oxford County.