HarrisDemocratic48.8%17,478TrumpRepublican50.9%18,247SteinIndependent0.2%60
R+2.1- Lead
- 769
- Total
- 35,817
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- 60.1%
Akashiccounty
Clinton County, NY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.1% of 62,375 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic51.8%18,364TrumpRepublican46.6%16,514JorgensenLibertarian0.8%279
D+5.2- Lead
- 1,850
- Total
- 35,437
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- 56.7%
ClintonDemocratic46.9%15,059TrumpRepublican45.0%14,449JohnsonLibertarian4.1%1,312
D+1.9- Lead
- 610
- Total
- 32,105
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Turnout
- 49.5%
ObamaDemocratic61.9%18,961RomneyRepublican36.3%11,115JohnsonLibertarian0.8%260
D+25.6- Lead
- 7,846
- Total
- 30,656
- vs nation
- D+21.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.6%20,216McCainRepublican37.7%12,579OtherAll other candidates1.6%542
D+22.9- Lead
- 7,637
- Total
- 33,337
- vs nation
- D+15.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.2%17,624BushRepublican45.4%15,330OtherAll other candidates2.3%782
D+6.8- Lead
- 2,294
- Total
- 33,736
- vs nation
- D+9.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.9%15,542BushRepublican43.4%13,274NaderGreen3.9%1,205
D+7.4- Lead
- 2,268
- Total
- 30,559
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.9%15,386DoleRepublican33.6%9,759PerotReform12.0%3,488
D+19.4- Lead
- 5,627
- Total
- 29,060
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 78,4932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,2242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, NY · twin score 97.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.1%37,508 participants ÷ 62,375 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -13.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 52.0%–52.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 32,105 | 64,912 | 49.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 27,684 | 64,503 | 42.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 36,301 | 63,999 | 56.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 30,757 | 63,278 | 48.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 37,508 | 62,375 | 60.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
51 precincts · 35,975 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1300006360191300006 | 691 | 512 | 13 | 1,216 | 56.8% | 42.1% | D+14.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0100001360190100001 | 415 | 716 | 11 | 1,142 | 36.3% | 62.7% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct 1300003360191300003 | 628 | 488 | 8 | 1,124 | 55.9% | 43.4% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct 1100002360191100002 | 579 | 527 | 6 | 1,112 | 52.1% | 47.4% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct 0600002360190600002 | 434 | 613 | 7 | 1,054 | 41.2% | 58.2% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct 0600001360190600001 | 494 | 494 | 8 | 996 | 49.6% | 49.6% | Exact tie |
| Precinct 0500003360190500003 | 411 | 566 | 3 | 980 | 41.9% | 57.8% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct 1100004360191100004 | 438 | 523 | 12 | 973 | 45.0% | 53.8% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct 1300004360191300004 | 471 | 496 | 3 | 970 | 48.6% | 51.1% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct 1500002360191500002 | 434 | 495 | 7 | 936 | 46.4% | 52.9% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct 1400001360191400001 | 348 | 547 | 10 | 905 | 38.5% | 60.4% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct 0900001360190900001 | 305 | 595 | 1 | 901 | 33.9% | 66.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct 0500002360190500002 | 438 | 456 | 5 | 899 | 48.7% | 50.7% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct 1000001360191000001 | 297 | 598 | 3 | 898 | 33.1% | 66.6% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct 0300003360190300003 | 481 | 405 | 6 | 892 | 53.9% | 45.4% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct 1201002360191201002 | 565 | 288 | 10 | 863 | 65.5% | 33.4% | D+32.1 |
| Precinct 0500001360190500001 | 392 | 453 | 7 | 852 | 46.0% | 53.2% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct 1205002360191205002 | 567 | 267 | 10 | 844 | 67.2% | 31.6% | D+35.5 |
| Precinct 1204001360191204001 | 535 | 274 | 14 | 823 | 65.0% | 33.3% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct 1500003360191500003 | 363 | 440 | 3 | 806 | 45.0% | 54.6% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct 0300004360190300004 | 344 | 451 | 3 | 798 | 43.1% | 56.5% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct 1000002360191000002 | 254 | 538 | 6 | 798 | 31.8% | 67.4% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct 1300007360191300007 | 324 | 441 | 6 | 771 | 42.0% | 57.2% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct 1204002360191204002 | 502 | 261 | 4 | 767 | 65.4% | 34.0% | D+31.4 |
| Precinct 1300002360191300002 | 353 | 388 | 4 | 745 | 47.4% | 52.1% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct 1203002360191203002 | 470 | 219 | 10 | 699 | 67.2% | 31.3% | D+35.9 |
| Precinct 0200001360190200001 | 267 | 416 | 5 | 688 | 38.8% | 60.5% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct 1400002360191400002 | 231 | 443 | 3 | 677 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 0200002360190200002 | 298 | 360 | 4 | 662 | 45.0% | 54.4% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct 1203001360191203001 | 402 | 237 | 5 | 644 | 62.4% | 36.8% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct 1100001360191100001 | 300 | 338 | 4 | 642 | 46.7% | 52.6% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct 0300002360190300002 | 266 | 369 | 3 | 638 | 41.7% | 57.8% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct 1500001360191500001 | 229 | 405 | 4 | 638 | 35.9% | 63.5% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct 1100003360191100003 | 226 | 407 | 4 | 637 | 35.5% | 63.9% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct 1206001360191206001 | 439 | 165 | 8 | 612 | 71.7% | 27.0% | D+44.8 |
| Precinct 1400003360191400003 | 236 | 359 | 2 | 597 | 39.5% | 60.1% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct 0400001360190400001 | 196 | 376 | 3 | 575 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 1202001360191202001 | 364 | 183 | 8 | 555 | 65.6% | 33.0% | D+32.6 |
| Precinct 1205001360191205001 | 341 | 148 | 3 | 492 | 69.3% | 30.1% | D+39.2 |
| Precinct 0300001360190300001 | 251 | 239 | 1 | 491 | 51.1% | 48.7% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct 1300001360191300001 | 272 | 211 | 4 | 487 | 55.9% | 43.3% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct 1206002360191206002 | 280 | 117 | 1 | 398 | 70.4% | 29.4% | D+41.0 |
| Precinct 1201003360191201003 | 238 | 122 | 3 | 363 | 65.6% | 33.6% | D+32.0 |
| Precinct 0800002360190800002 | 133 | 223 | 0 | 356 | 37.4% | 62.6% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 1201001360191201001 | 200 | 146 | 0 | 346 | 57.8% | 42.2% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct 0700001360190700001 | 111 | 218 | 0 | 329 | 33.7% | 66.3% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 1300005360191300005 | 166 | 152 | 2 | 320 | 51.9% | 47.5% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct 1202002360191202002 | 204 | 107 | 2 | 313 | 65.2% | 34.2% | D+31.0 |
| Precinct 0800003360190800003 | 104 | 159 | 0 | 263 | 39.5% | 60.5% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct 0800001360190800001 | 99 | 159 | 0 | 258 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct 0400002360190400002 | 92 | 137 | 1 | 230 | 40.0% | 59.6% | R+19.6 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.6% |
| 1896 | −31.9% |
| 1900 | −19.0% |
| 1904 | −21.8% |
| 1908 | −16.3% |
| 1912 | −6.6% |
| 1916 | −9.2% |
| 1920 | −37.0% |
| 1924 | −20.3% |
| 1928 | +16.3% |
| 1932 | +14.3% |
| 1936 | +1.8% |
| 1940 | +4.6% |
| 1944 | +6.5% |
| 1948 | −1.7% |
| 1952 | −29.1% |
| 1956 | −40.9% |
| 1960 | +10.5% |
| 1964 | +50.3% |
| 1968 | −7.8% |
| 1972 | −27.4% |
| 1976 | −14.3% |
| 1980 | −6.0% |
| 1984 | −28.7% |
| 1988 | −10.6% |
| 1992 | −1.8% |
| 1996 | +19.4% |
| 2000 | +7.4% |
| 2004 | +6.8% |
| 2008 | +22.9% |
| 2012 | +25.6% |
| 2016 | +1.9% |
| 2020 | +5.2% |
| 2024 | −2.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 28 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.3%15,673 | 51.7%16,790 | 32,463 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+1.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+2.1
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 3.2 points more Democratic.
53,785 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+422 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,861 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,151 in average income, against $70,424 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.5 on average — 8.7 points more Democratic-leaning than Clinton County, NY itself (R+2.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Essex County, NY182D+0.5
- Franklin County, NY91R+9.0
- Chittenden County, VT76D+53.1
- Franklin County, VT40D+3.0
- St. Lawrence County, NY36R+18.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Essex County, NY144
- Franklin County, NY95
- Chittenden County, VT47
- Saratoga County, NY35
- Albany County, NY32
- Franklin County, VT26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −569 |
| 2012 | −192 |
| 2013 | −288 |
| 2014 | −256 |
| 2015 | −917 |
| 2016 | −368 |
| 2017 | −75 |
| 2018 | +28 |
| 2019 | −253 |
| 2021 | −539 |
| 2022 | −846 |
| 2023 | +4 |
| 2024 | −12 |
| 2025 | +422 |
Clinton County hugs the Quebec border along Lake Champlain and has trended Republican in recent cycles after spending decades as reliably Democratic territory, reflecting a broader rural shift across upstate New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.1 points.
A population of 78,493, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,224 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Franklin County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Franklin County
New York
97.5twin score
2004–2012 trajectoryelasticity
Franklin County
Vermont
96.6twin score
2004–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Androscoggin County
Maine
92.4twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clinton County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Clinton County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Clinton County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clinton County, New York voted Republican by 2.1 points (R+2.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,817 votes cast, 17,478 went Democratic and 18,247 went Republican.
When did Clinton County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clinton County, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Clinton County, New York?
Clinton County, New York has a population of 78,493 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clinton County, New York?
Median household income in Clinton County, New York is $71,224 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Clinton County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clinton County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.