HarrisDemocratic49.2%30,767TrumpRepublican50.5%31,553OtherAll other candidates0.3%218
R+1.3- Lead
- 786
- Total
- 62,538
- vs nation
- D+0.2
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashicstate house district
New York 115th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic52.0%32,321TrumpRepublican46.4%28,807OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,023
D+5.7- Lead
- 3,514
- Total
- 62,151
- vs nation
- D+1.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic46.6%25,939TrumpRepublican45.0%25,079OtherAll other candidates8.4%4,660
D+1.5- Lead
- 860
- Total
- 55,678
- vs nation
- R+0.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic62.7%33,404RomneyRepublican35.4%18,875OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,000
D+27.3- Lead
- 14,529
- Total
- 53,279
- vs nation
- D+23.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.2%35,607McCainRepublican37.2%21,654OtherAll other candidates1.6%941
D+24.0- Lead
- 13,953
- Total
- 58,202
- vs nation
- D+16.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic52.6%31,237BushRepublican45.0%26,709OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,429
D+7.6- Lead
- 4,528
- Total
- 59,375
- vs nation
- D+10.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic51.2%28,090BushRepublican43.0%23,585OtherAll other candidates5.8%3,173
D+8.2- Lead
- 4,505
- Total
- 54,848
- vs nation
- D+7.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic52.8%27,541DoleRepublican32.2%16,784OtherAll other candidates15.1%7,878
D+20.6- Lead
- 10,757
- Total
- 52,203
- vs nation
- D+12.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 141,0932024 5-year
- Population density
- 45 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,164 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,8192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.7 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 9th Bristol District, MA · twin score 81.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 115th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
73.8%
35,844 votes · D+47.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 62.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
71.3%
33,528 votes · R+42.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 69.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
35,844votes
73.8% of the vote · D+47.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 35,607 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
33,838votes
63.1% of the vote · R+26.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 33,528 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+25.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +23.4 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+31.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+7.3 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +29.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DMichael CashmanState House · 115
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.1%26,647 | 52.9%29,919 | 56,566 |
AD-115 backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by 21 points, a margin that stands out in a state where most districts lean Democratic. Its mix of rural townships and small cities anchors a durable conservative coalition in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 42.7 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.3 points.
A population of 141,093, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,819 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 9th Bristol District and 8th Bristol District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
9th Bristol District
Massachusetts
81.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2012 margin≠ population scale
8th Bristol District
Massachusetts
80.8twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% Catholic≠ population scale
6th Bristol District
Massachusetts
79.2twin score
12-yr trend% Catholicelasticity≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 115th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New York 115th State House District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did New York 115th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 115th State House District voted Republican by 1.3 points (R+1.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 62,538 votes cast, 30,767 went Democratic and 31,553 went Republican.
When did New York 115th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 115th State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New York 115th State House District?
New York 115th State House District has a population of 141,093 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 115th State House District?
Median household income in New York 115th State House District is $69,819 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 115th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 115th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.