akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 115·New York

New York 115th State House District delivered R+4 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of New York's most reliably Republican assembly districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
134,890
2024 ACS

New York 115th State House District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+46 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
134,8902024 5-year
Median household income
$69,1552024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.5%2024 5-year
Black
3.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+46 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+44 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 2 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.1%
28,82831,31860,325
D
+2.8%
30,23028,54059,767
R
−0.7%
24,39424,75953,577
D
+25.2%
31,42418,60050,979
D
+21.9%
33,51521,33355,739
D
+5.5%
29,46926,30457,062
D
+6.2%
26,49323,23452,719
D
+18.9%
25,95216,50649,913
D
+0.1%
22,29822,26355,334
R
−10.4%
22,33627,55450,247
R
−28.4%
18,54733,34652,053
R
−5.5%
20,47023,11047,639
R
−13.5%
20,52426,95547,671
R
−31.2%
16,26931,09547,462
R
−10.6%
18,20022,72742,801
D
+46.0%
33,68312,45746,174
D
+3.7%
25,38923,57449,008
R
−43.9%
12,85532,95645,810
R
−31.6%
15,63730,10845,826
R
−10.4%
17,22821,38939,920
R
−3.5%
19,27220,66040,014
R
−5.5%
22,31124,93247,339
R
−8.5%
21,12625,08846,501
D
+5.7%
22,81320,32843,365
D
+4.1%
21,77620,06741,956
R
−29.8%
10,19419,51631,249
R
−41.5%
8,51720,95929,974
R
−15.0%
8,34611,35120,088
R
−10.9%
6,5778,65418,973
R
−26.0%
7,33412,82921,174
R
−31.2%
7,38914,43922,616
R
−29.7%
7,47613,96821,863
R
−37.7%
6,02613,52919,911
R
−16.0%
8,48311,85021,004
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
15.5%
French
14.0%
English
12.5%
German
8.8%
Italian
5.9%
American
5.8%
Scottish
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.3%
2.8%
75–84
3.2%
5.9%
65–74
5.9%
7.4%
55–64
7.3%
6.4%
45–54
5.6%
7.0%
35–44
5.6%
6.8%
25–34
5.4%
5.2%
18–24
5.0%
7.1%
5–17
7.0%
2.2%
<5
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$69,155
Assembly District 115 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 115$69,155
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.6%
Working age (18–64)14.3%
Seniors (65+)10.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.7%
Spanish1.8%
Other languages0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
35.5%
Other Christian
3.6%
Methodist
2.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Baptist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

AD-115 backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by 21 points, a margin that stands out in a state where most districts lean Democratic. Its mix of rural townships and small cities anchors a durable conservative coalition in the region.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-six points in 1964; the Republican margin reached forty-four points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 134,890, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $69,155 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 115, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 115, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 115, New York voted Republican by 4.1 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 60,325 votes cast, 28,828 went Democratic and 31,318 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 115, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 115, New York as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 115, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 115, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Assembly District 115, New York?
Assembly District 115, New York has a population of 134,890 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 115, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 115, New York is $69,155 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 115, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 115, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.