State Senate District 45 State Senate District (NY) — Elections 1876–2024

New York 45th State Senate District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+52 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 314,1712024 5-year
Median household income: $70,2992024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.1%2024 5-year
Black: 2.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+52 in 1956MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

7 counties · 2 D · 5 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−7.4%	67,928	78,797	147,554
2020	R	−1.6%	71,051	73,440	147,267
2016	R	−5.3%	56,434	63,299	130,127
2012	D	+16.0%	70,481	50,732	123,629
2008	D	+14.0%	76,353	57,324	135,883
2004	D	+0.4%	66,970	66,386	136,420
2000	D	+1.4%	60,921	59,173	127,050
1996	D	+14.8%	59,991	42,102	120,559
1992	R	−1.2%	51,097	52,711	132,669
1988	R	−15.2%	50,185	68,352	119,418
1984	R	−34.1%	39,986	81,580	121,958
1980	R	−12.0%	45,041	58,761	114,336
1976	R	−19.0%	45,814	67,459	113,771
1972	R	−35.6%	36,969	77,997	115,205
1968	R	−18.5%	40,422	59,831	104,705
1964	D	+37.7%	76,972	34,828	111,877
1960	R	−12.9%	52,108	67,538	119,732
1956	R	−52.2%	27,306	86,967	114,273
1952	R	−40.4%	33,822	79,820	113,818
1948	R	−24.3%	35,870	59,647	97,915
1944	R	−17.3%	41,160	58,481	99,842
1940	R	−19.2%	45,899	67,761	113,887
1936	R	−22.7%	42,426	67,687	111,234
1932	R	−13.8%	43,961	58,203	102,906
1928	R	−17.3%	42,655	60,625	103,948
1924	R	−38.2%	21,597	51,058	77,065
1920	R	−47.8%	19,217	55,691	76,377
1916	R	−24.8%	17,979	30,219	49,266
1912	R	−11.5%	15,399	20,841	47,492
1908	R	−31.1%	16,704	32,836	51,812
1904	R	−35.6%	16,405	35,570	53,794
1900	R	−35.7%	16,134	34,721	52,109
1896	R	−40.5%	14,229	34,323	49,625
1892	R	−22.3%	18,193	29,318	49,969
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Irish

17.1%

English

13.9%

French

10.5%

German

10.2%

Italian

7.6%

American

6.0%

Scottish

1.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 43.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.5%

2.9%

75–84

3.3%

6.3%

65–74

6.4%

7.5%

55–64

7.6%

6.2%

45–54

5.7%

6.5%

35–44

5.6%

6.4%

25–34

5.4%

5.0%

18–24

4.6%

7.1%

5–17

6.8%

2.2%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$70,299

State Senate District 45 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State Senate District 45$70,299

New York$85,974

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

13.9%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1817.6%

Working age (18–64)13.1%

Seniors (65+)11.3%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

94.5%

speak English only

Other Indo-European2.8%

Spanish1.6%

Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%

Other languages0.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

27.3%

Other Christian

5.3%

Methodist

2.7%

Mainline Protestant

1.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.1%

Baptist

1.0%

Non-Christian

0.7%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+23.6, this district stands well outside New York's competitive tier, anchored by communities where Republican candidates have consistently outperformed statewide trends by double digits.

The Democratic margin in New York 45th State Senate District has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $70,299 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State Senate District 45, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 45, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, State Senate District 45, New York voted Republican by 7.4 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 147,554 votes cast, 67,928 went Democratic and 78,797 went Republican.

What is State Senate District 45, New York's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State Senate District 45, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 6 times, Republican 28 times, and other 0 times.

When did State Senate District 45, New York last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 45, New York voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in State Senate District 45, New York?

State Senate District 45, New York has a population of 314,171 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State Senate District 45, New York?

Median household income in State Senate District 45, New York is $70,299 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of State Senate District 45, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 45, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New York 45th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

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Frequently asked questions