HarrisDemocratic41.2%29,690TrumpRepublican58.4%42,150OtherAll other candidates0.4%303
R+17.3- Lead
- 12,460
- Total
- 72,143
- vs nation
- R+15.8
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashicstate house district
New York 133rd State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic40.9%29,459TrumpRepublican56.6%40,734OtherAll other candidates2.5%1,788
R+15.7- Lead
- 11,275
- Total
- 71,981
- vs nation
- R+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic35.4%23,211TrumpRepublican57.4%37,597OtherAll other candidates7.2%4,740
R+21.9- Lead
- 14,386
- Total
- 65,548
- vs nation
- R+24.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic42.8%25,389RomneyRepublican54.8%32,513OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,439
R+12.0- Lead
- 7,124
- Total
- 59,341
- vs nation
- R+15.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic44.0%28,553McCainRepublican54.4%35,298OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,030
R+10.4- Lead
- 6,745
- Total
- 64,881
- vs nation
- R+17.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic37.4%24,271BushRepublican60.3%39,087OtherAll other candidates2.3%1,515
R+22.8- Lead
- 14,816
- Total
- 64,873
- vs nation
- R+20.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.9%22,565BushRepublican56.9%33,856OtherAll other candidates5.3%3,131
R+19.0- Lead
- 11,291
- Total
- 59,552
- vs nation
- R+19.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.5%22,627DoleRepublican44.9%24,487OtherAll other candidates13.7%7,453
R+3.4- Lead
- 1,860
- Total
- 54,567
- vs nation
- R+11.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 135,8312024 5-year
- Population density
- 100 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,361 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,1232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.5 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 130, NY · twin score 94.0
presidential history
Party record book
New York 133rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.2%
27,619 votes · D+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 44.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
77.2%
35,565 votes · R+54.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 73.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
29,459votes
40.9% of the vote · R+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 28,553 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
40,734votes
56.6% of the vote · R+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 39,087 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+2.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −4.9 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+60.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.7 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +49.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RAndrea BaileyState House · 133
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 133 sits in Staten Island's more suburban southern tier, where working-class homeowner demographics have driven consistent double-digit Republican margins in federal races over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.5 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.3 points.
A population of 135,831, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,123 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 130 and Assembly District 102.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 130
New York
94.0twin score
population scale% Evangelical% White
Assembly District 102
New York
90.8twin score
population scale2016–2020 trajectory% Evangelical
Assembly District 122
New York
89.3twin score
population scale% White% Catholic≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 133rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New York 133rd State House District
counties it covers4
Frequently asked questions
How did New York 133rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 133rd State House District voted Republican by 17.3 points (R+17.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 72,143 votes cast, 29,690 went Democratic and 42,150 went Republican.
When did New York 133rd State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 133rd State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in New York 133rd State House District?
New York 133rd State House District has a population of 135,831 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 133rd State House District?
Median household income in New York 133rd State House District is $78,123 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 133rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 133rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 37 went Republican.