HarrisDemocratic43.4%31,254TrumpRepublican56.2%40,468OtherAll other candidates0.4%283
R+12.8- Lead
- 9,214
- Total
- 72,005
- vs nation
- R+11.3
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashicstate house district
New York 130th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic43.5%31,576TrumpRepublican54.2%39,350OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,730
R+10.7- Lead
- 7,774
- Total
- 72,656
- vs nation
- R+15.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.8%24,124TrumpRepublican55.4%35,362OtherAll other candidates6.8%4,355
R+17.6- Lead
- 11,238
- Total
- 63,841
- vs nation
- R+19.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.4%27,552RomneyRepublican52.3%31,730OtherAll other candidates2.2%1,342
R+6.9- Lead
- 4,178
- Total
- 60,624
- vs nation
- R+10.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.4%29,886McCainRepublican53.1%34,920OtherAll other candidates1.5%1,015
R+7.6- Lead
- 5,034
- Total
- 65,821
- vs nation
- R+14.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic38.8%25,507BushRepublican59.4%39,068OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,238
R+20.6- Lead
- 13,561
- Total
- 65,813
- vs nation
- R+18.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic39.6%24,118BushRepublican56.1%34,143OtherAll other candidates4.3%2,648
R+16.5- Lead
- 10,025
- Total
- 60,909
- vs nation
- R+17.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic42.6%24,457DoleRepublican45.2%25,970OtherAll other candidates12.2%7,016
R+2.6- Lead
- 1,513
- Total
- 57,443
- vs nation
- R+11.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 136,6102024 5-year
- Population density
- 214 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 637 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,2492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 133, NY · twin score 94.0
presidential history
Party record book
New York 130th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.2%
30,317 votes · D+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 45.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
78.0%
39,065 votes · R+55.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 73.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
31,576votes
43.5% of the vote · R+10.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 30,317 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
40,648votes
72.9% of the vote · R+46.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 40,219 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+3.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+26.5 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −3.4 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+57.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +49.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBrian ManktelowState House · 130
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 38.8%12,673 | 61.2%19,962 | 32,635 |
Assembly District 130 covers a largely rural swath of New York's Hudson Valley region, where the 2024 presidential contest broke Republican by 12.7 points — a margin that signals durable rightward lean in an otherwise blue-dominant state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.
A population of 136,610, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,249 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 133 and Assembly District 124.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 133
New York
94.0twin score
population scale% Evangelical% White
Assembly District 124
New York
90.9twin score
population scale% White2016 margin
Assembly District 102
New York
89.9twin score
population scale% Evangelical% White≠ Irish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 130th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36130/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New York at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New York 130th State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did New York 130th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 130th State House District voted Republican by 12.8 points (R+12.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 72,005 votes cast, 31,254 went Democratic and 40,468 went Republican.
When did New York 130th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 130th State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in New York 130th State House District?
New York 130th State House District has a population of 136,610 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 130th State House District?
Median household income in New York 130th State House District is $80,249 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 130th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 130th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 37 went Republican.