akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 26·New York

New York 26th Congressional District delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Buffalo anchors one of New York's most reliably Democratic urban districts

18762024·38 elections
NY
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
278,838
2024 ACS

New York 26th Congressional District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
TiedMIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
278,8382024 5-year
Median household income
$71,5982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
77.1%2024 5-year
Black
10.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+44 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
KENNEDY, Timothy M.Congress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: HIGGINS, Brian (2023–2025), HIGGINS, Brian (2021–2023), HIGGINS, Brian (2019–2021), HIGGINS, Brian (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+0.1%
66,95266,870135,402
D
+5.3%
71,62764,235138,445
R
−2.9%
56,94960,469123,490
D
+10.5%
65,20252,653120,058
D
+11.2%
70,30755,888128,260
D
+9.4%
69,52457,287129,497
D
+14.4%
67,65349,773124,119
D
+19.3%
63,01239,896119,567
D
+11.2%
53,53938,843130,642
D
+7.9%
65,36355,730121,943
R
−1.9%
63,91166,341130,563
D
+7.6%
59,40050,274119,845
D
+0.3%
63,60863,221127,634
R
−11.2%
59,18374,165133,775
D
+13.0%
66,46750,049126,507
D
+44.1%
96,46037,327133,945
D
+9.0%
76,30763,717140,140
R
−30.1%
45,46084,593130,053
R
−15.4%
54,00373,743127,993
D
+3.0%
53,00449,850105,915
D
+0.3%
53,07152,701106,119
R
−0.7%
51,12851,832103,223
D
+5.5%
47,96042,82392,980
R
−8.9%
34,19041,16377,957
R
−15.0%
31,38043,03977,528
R
−40.8%
11,42633,40153,920
R
−40.0%
11,06828,79144,264
R
−11.6%
12,48815,89829,292
D
+14.4%
9,9436,34524,935
R
−9.1%
12,51515,09028,344
R
−15.7%
10,44414,50325,836
R
−7.0%
11,11912,83924,595
R
−17.8%
8,72412,61921,935
D
+0.6%
9,3399,22719,744
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D56.2%38.7%8,381,397
2022D51.7%37.7%5,848,556
2018D62.0%28.6%6,055,151
2016D61.3%22.1%7,800,725
2012D62.1%21.3%7,116,628
2010D64.0%26.0%4,763,899
2006D57.4%25.8%4,700,632
2004D58.9%21.8%7,447,818
2000D51.2%39.1%6,959,662
1998D47.8%33.7%4,989,877
1994D47.5%32.1%5,328,486
1992D41.6%37.5%7,078,805
1988D64.7%27.9%6,040,980
1986R38.4%45.3%4,484,859
1982D62.2%28.5%4,967,729
1980D43.5%37.8%6,014,914
1976D48.6%37.9%6,666,875

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.4%
Irish
15.4%
Italian
15.2%
Polish
12.8%
English
8.8%
American
3.2%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.6%
Spanish2.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
40.1%
Other Christian
5.6%
Mainline Protestant
4.7%
Non-Christian
3.4%
Baptist
2.5%
Methodist
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 39.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Centered on Buffalo and its inner suburbs, NY-26 has posted Democratic presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting a dense, majority-minority urban core where turnout patterns and demographic composition consistently drive lopsided results.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-four points in 1964; the Republican margin reached forty-one points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 278,838, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,598 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 26, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3626/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 26, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 26, New York voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 135,402 votes cast, 66,952 went Democratic and 66,870 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 26, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 26, New York as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 26, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 26, New York voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Congressional District 26, New York?
Congressional District 26, New York has a population of 278,838 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 26, New York?
Median household income in Congressional District 26, New York is $71,598 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Congressional District 26, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 26, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.