New York 26th Congressional District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 278,8382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,5982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: HIGGINS, Brian (2023–2025), HIGGINS, Brian (2021–2023), HIGGINS, Brian (2019–2021), HIGGINS, Brian (2017–2019)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 66,952 | 66,870 | 135,402 | ||
| D | 71,627 | 64,235 | 138,445 | ||
| R | 56,949 | 60,469 | 123,490 | ||
| D | 65,202 | 52,653 | 120,058 | ||
| D | 70,307 | 55,888 | 128,260 | ||
| D | 69,524 | 57,287 | 129,497 | ||
| D | 67,653 | 49,773 | 124,119 | ||
| D | 63,012 | 39,896 | 119,567 | ||
| D | 53,539 | 38,843 | 130,642 | ||
| D | 65,363 | 55,730 | 121,943 | ||
| R | 63,911 | 66,341 | 130,563 | ||
| D | 59,400 | 50,274 | 119,845 | ||
| D | 63,608 | 63,221 | 127,634 | ||
| R | 59,183 | 74,165 | 133,775 | ||
| D | 66,467 | 50,049 | 126,507 | ||
| D | 96,460 | 37,327 | 133,945 | ||
| D | 76,307 | 63,717 | 140,140 | ||
| R | 45,460 | 84,593 | 130,053 | ||
| R | 54,003 | 73,743 | 127,993 | ||
| D | 53,004 | 49,850 | 105,915 | ||
| D | 53,071 | 52,701 | 106,119 | ||
| R | 51,128 | 51,832 | 103,223 | ||
| D | 47,960 | 42,823 | 92,980 | ||
| R | 34,190 | 41,163 | 77,957 | ||
| R | 31,380 | 43,039 | 77,528 | ||
| R | 11,426 | 33,401 | 53,920 | ||
| R | 11,068 | 28,791 | 44,264 | ||
| R | 12,488 | 15,898 | 29,292 | ||
| D | 9,943 | 6,345 | 24,935 | ||
| R | 12,515 | 15,090 | 28,344 | ||
| R | 10,444 | 14,503 | 25,836 | ||
| R | 11,119 | 12,839 | 24,595 | ||
| R | 8,724 | 12,619 | 21,935 | ||
| D | 9,339 | 9,227 | 19,744 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 38.7% | 8,381,397 |
| 2022 | D | 51.7% | 37.7% | 5,848,556 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0% | 28.6% | 6,055,151 |
| 2016 | D | 61.3% | 22.1% | 7,800,725 |
| 2012 | D | 62.1% | 21.3% | 7,116,628 |
| 2010 | D | 64.0% | 26.0% | 4,763,899 |
| 2006 | D | 57.4% | 25.8% | 4,700,632 |
| 2004 | D | 58.9% | 21.8% | 7,447,818 |
| 2000 | D | 51.2% | 39.1% | 6,959,662 |
| 1998 | D | 47.8% | 33.7% | 4,989,877 |
| 1994 | D | 47.5% | 32.1% | 5,328,486 |
| 1992 | D | 41.6% | 37.5% | 7,078,805 |
| 1988 | D | 64.7% | 27.9% | 6,040,980 |
| 1986 | R | 38.4% | 45.3% | 4,484,859 |
| 1982 | D | 62.2% | 28.5% | 4,967,729 |
| 1980 | D | 43.5% | 37.8% | 6,014,914 |
| 1976 | D | 48.6% | 37.9% | 6,666,875 |
Demographics
Centered on Buffalo and its inner suburbs, NY-26 has posted Democratic presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting a dense, majority-minority urban core where turnout patterns and demographic composition consistently drive lopsided results.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-four points in 1964; the Republican margin reached forty-one points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 278,838, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,598 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 26, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3626/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.