akashic
1876–2024
Nassau County, New York
Nassau County·New York

Nassau County votes the way the country votes.

Long Island's largest county has trended Republican by double digits since 2012

18762024·38 elections
Nassau County, New York · Gyrofrog · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,389,591
2024 ACS
Most similar
Atlantic County
NJ · similarity 0.95
1,074 precincts · 715,665 votes cast
Trump · R+4
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−4.1%
338,424368,117715,665
2020D
+9.5%
396,504326,716730,983
2016D
+6.2%
332,154292,025647,122
2012D
+7.6%
302,695259,308568,151
2008D
+8.4%
342,185288,776635,618
2004D
+5.6%
323,070288,355618,343
2000D
+19.5%
342,226227,060590,439
1996D
+19.6%
303,587196,820544,664
1992D
+5.9%
282,593246,881609,326
1988R
−14.7%
250,130337,430592,418
1984R
−23.9%
240,697392,017634,063
1980R
−21.1%
207,602333,567596,020
1976R
−4.1%
302,869329,176635,756
1972R
−26.8%
252,831438,723693,027
1968R
−8.0%
278,599329,792643,195
1964D
+21.2%
382,590248,886632,115
1960R
−10.4%
263,303324,255588,319
1956R
−38.2%
166,646372,358539,004
1952R
−40.1%
130,267305,900438,090
1948R
−42.9%
70,492184,284265,238
1944R
−34.0%
78,512159,713238,801
1940R
−32.4%
73,171143,672217,293
1936R
−12.0%
74,23294,968172,779
1932R
−11.7%
61,75278,544144,100
1928R
−27.3%
40,07971,015113,140
1924R
−48.4%
14,32245,82565,031
1920R
−56.6%
8,59533,09943,331
1916R
−24.3%
8,43013,91022,555
1912D
+13.3%
7,0734,60818,546
1908R
−31.6%
4,8839,78715,525
1904R
−21.5%
5,2828,22213,699
1900R
−23.3%
4,3256,99411,460
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
9.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
46.5%
Non-Christian
9.2%
Other Christian
3.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Methodist
1.1%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nassau shifted from a reliable Democratic presidential county to an R+4.2 result in 2024, a roughly 12-point swing over twelve years driven largely by movement among suburban white and Hispanic working-class voters.

The Democratic margin in Nassau County has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by four points.

Nassau County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $146,202 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Atlantic County and Gloucester County.