New York 3rd Congressional District, New York: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+1%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 997,1042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $130,0292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: SANTOS, George (2023–2025), ISRAEL, Steve (2015–2017), ISRAEL, Steve (2013–2015), KING, Peter T. (2011–2013)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 227,988 | 223,604 | 458,000 | ||
| D | 273,670 | 195,890 | 474,388 | ||
| D | 233,939 | 170,381 | 418,643 | ||
| D | 213,120 | 149,672 | 366,700 | ||
| D | 234,977 | 169,357 | 407,265 | ||
| D | 219,539 | 170,377 | 394,191 | ||
| D | 227,634 | 133,163 | 373,850 | ||
| D | 202,284 | 115,643 | 344,683 | ||
| D | 188,571 | 147,660 | 383,750 | ||
| R | 168,732 | 202,014 | 373,818 | ||
| R | 164,160 | 238,545 | 403,611 | ||
| R | 139,961 | 203,951 | 377,347 | ||
| D | 202,714 | 200,847 | 405,877 | ||
| R | 170,515 | 279,277 | 450,767 | ||
| R | 193,529 | 208,361 | 425,774 | ||
| D | 263,182 | 162,209 | 425,848 | ||
| R | 189,647 | 212,516 | 402,777 | ||
| R | 124,215 | 249,107 | 373,322 | ||
| R | 106,584 | 212,475 | 320,975 | ||
| R | 68,021 | 134,011 | 212,989 | ||
| R | 75,023 | 125,971 | 201,535 | ||
| R | 71,654 | 112,710 | 184,892 | ||
| D | 75,912 | 68,611 | 147,574 | ||
| D | 60,664 | 56,976 | 121,572 | ||
| R | 42,354 | 55,555 | 99,261 | ||
| R | 14,259 | 35,677 | 55,846 | ||
| R | 8,586 | 28,261 | 38,591 | ||
| R | 8,043 | 11,301 | 19,754 | ||
| D | 6,953 | 3,480 | 16,173 | ||
| R | 4,911 | 7,376 | 13,227 | ||
| R | 4,867 | 5,940 | 11,114 | ||
| R | 3,972 | 5,091 | 9,250 | ||
| R | 1,385 | 2,161 | 3,723 | ||
| D | 1,756 | 1,353 | 3,243 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 38.7% | 8,381,397 |
| 2022 | D | 51.7% | 37.7% | 5,848,556 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0% | 28.6% | 6,055,151 |
| 2016 | D | 61.3% | 22.1% | 7,800,725 |
| 2012 | D | 62.1% | 21.3% | 7,116,628 |
| 2010 | D | 64.0% | 26.0% | 4,763,899 |
| 2006 | D | 57.4% | 25.8% | 4,700,632 |
| 2004 | D | 58.9% | 21.8% | 7,447,818 |
| 2000 | D | 51.2% | 39.1% | 6,959,662 |
| 1998 | D | 47.8% | 33.7% | 4,989,877 |
| 1994 | D | 47.5% | 32.1% | 5,328,486 |
| 1992 | D | 41.6% | 37.5% | 7,078,805 |
| 1988 | D | 64.7% | 27.9% | 6,040,980 |
| 1986 | R | 38.4% | 45.3% | 4,484,859 |
| 1982 | D | 62.2% | 28.5% | 4,967,729 |
| 1980 | D | 43.5% | 37.8% | 6,014,914 |
| 1976 | D | 48.6% | 37.9% | 6,666,875 |
Demographics
Covering Nassau County's North Shore suburbs, NY-3 has become a closely watched bellwether as cost-of-living pressures and public safety concerns reshaped voting patterns among its largely middle-class, college-educated electorate.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-five points in 2000; the Republican margin reached fifty-one points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 997,104, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $130,029 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 3, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3603/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.