New York 1st Congressional District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,009,5312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $130,6862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: ZELDIN, Lee M (2021–2023), ZELDIN, Lee M (2019–2021), ZELDIN, Lee M (2017–2019), ZELDIN, Lee M (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 225,514 | 275,483 | 503,298 | ||
| R | 251,383 | 251,536 | 509,171 | ||
| R | 200,535 | 231,292 | 449,465 | ||
| D | 200,620 | 186,139 | 392,074 | ||
| D | 228,640 | 202,561 | 435,297 | ||
| D | 208,424 | 204,492 | 421,397 | ||
| D | 202,089 | 158,997 | 378,666 | ||
| D | 172,744 | 120,413 | 333,320 | ||
| R | 145,683 | 151,393 | 374,715 | ||
| R | 131,434 | 205,345 | 339,348 | ||
| R | 113,014 | 221,340 | 335,196 | ||
| R | 98,928 | 169,093 | 296,665 | ||
| R | 137,404 | 164,220 | 303,522 | ||
| R | 87,379 | 208,783 | 296,825 | ||
| R | 80,880 | 143,846 | 247,257 | ||
| D | 119,152 | 95,237 | 214,642 | ||
| R | 75,235 | 109,945 | 185,357 | ||
| R | 31,882 | 110,711 | 142,593 | ||
| R | 25,810 | 76,249 | 102,296 | ||
| R | 19,202 | 49,825 | 71,429 | ||
| R | 20,605 | 43,313 | 64,085 | ||
| R | 22,335 | 42,035 | 64,548 | ||
| R | 21,824 | 32,309 | 55,641 | ||
| R | 20,320 | 26,553 | 47,851 | ||
| R | 12,863 | 27,182 | 41,773 | ||
| R | 6,613 | 20,753 | 29,989 | ||
| R | 5,840 | 17,640 | 24,130 | ||
| R | 5,557 | 8,407 | 14,199 | ||
| D | 5,198 | 3,691 | 12,968 | ||
| R | 3,877 | 7,052 | 11,698 | ||
| R | 4,483 | 6,556 | 11,463 | ||
| R | 3,768 | 6,323 | 10,497 | ||
| R | 2,555 | 6,194 | 9,301 | ||
| R | 4,139 | 4,619 | 9,371 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 38.7% | 8,381,397 |
| 2022 | D | 51.7% | 37.7% | 5,848,556 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0% | 28.6% | 6,055,151 |
| 2016 | D | 61.3% | 22.1% | 7,800,725 |
| 2012 | D | 62.1% | 21.3% | 7,116,628 |
| 2010 | D | 64.0% | 26.0% | 4,763,899 |
| 2006 | D | 57.4% | 25.8% | 4,700,632 |
| 2004 | D | 58.9% | 21.8% | 7,447,818 |
| 2000 | D | 51.2% | 39.1% | 6,959,662 |
| 1998 | D | 47.8% | 33.7% | 4,989,877 |
| 1994 | D | 47.5% | 32.1% | 5,328,486 |
| 1992 | D | 41.6% | 37.5% | 7,078,805 |
| 1988 | D | 64.7% | 27.9% | 6,040,980 |
| 1986 | R | 38.4% | 45.3% | 4,484,859 |
| 1982 | D | 62.2% | 28.5% | 4,967,729 |
| 1980 | D | 43.5% | 37.8% | 6,014,914 |
| 1976 | D | 48.6% | 37.9% | 6,666,875 |
Demographics
Covering the eastern tip of Long Island including the Hamptons and the North Fork, NY-01 has backed Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent cycles, reflecting a mix of suburban homeowners and year-round working-class communities outside the resort economy.
The Democratic margin in New York 1st Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 66% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $130,686 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 1, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3601/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.