New York 2nd Congressional District (NY) — Elections 1876–2024

New York 2nd Congressional District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 588,9742024 5-year
Median household income: $132,4932024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 64.8%2024 5-year
Black: 7.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 22.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+16 in 1996MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+51 in 1956MIT Election Lab

GARBARINO, Andrew R.Congress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: KING, Peter T. (2019–2021), KING, Peter T. (2017–2019), KING, Peter T. (2015–2017), KING, Peter T. (2013–2015)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

2 counties · 0 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−9.2%	132,951	160,173	294,761
2020	D	+1.1%	149,153	145,786	298,545
2016	R	−5.3%	119,766	133,639	263,628
2012	D	+4.2%	118,355	108,749	230,147
2008	D	+6.3%	134,748	118,668	255,757
2004	D	+1.5%	123,384	119,643	247,740
2000	D	+12.4%	121,064	93,166	224,336
1996	D	+16.2%	104,030	71,785	198,702
1992	R	−0.5%	89,045	90,225	223,232
1988	R	−20.8%	80,098	122,506	204,167
1984	R	−31.0%	70,137	133,445	204,083
1980	R	−23.2%	61,242	103,628	182,344
1976	R	−8.0%	85,779	100,900	187,840
1972	R	−38.3%	57,523	129,278	187,216
1968	R	−22.0%	55,445	90,428	159,205
1964	D	+13.3%	80,306	61,378	141,847
1960	R	−16.8%	51,780	72,681	124,589
1956	R	−50.7%	24,661	75,450	100,111
1952	R	−46.6%	19,735	54,405	74,358
1948	R	−42.9%	13,378	34,781	49,913
1944	R	−35.1%	14,497	30,211	44,823
1940	R	−31.0%	15,125	28,760	43,999
1936	R	−17.3%	14,914	21,342	37,211
1932	R	−12.7%	13,523	17,565	31,779
1928	R	−32.8%	8,609	17,517	27,118
1924	R	−47.4%	4,116	12,960	18,669
1920	R	−50.0%	3,435	10,727	14,577
1916	R	−20.6%	3,280	5,020	8,433
1912	D	+11.8%	3,028	2,130	7,600
1908	R	−27.6%	2,240	4,118	6,796
1904	R	−18.4%	2,572	3,785	6,585
1900	R	−24.2%	2,156	3,605	5,976
1896	R	−39.1%	1,317	3,193	4,794
1892	R	−5.1%	2,134	2,381	4,830
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	56.2%	38.7%	8,381,397
2022	D	51.7%	37.7%	5,848,556
2018	D	62.0%	28.6%	6,055,151
2016	D	61.3%	22.1%	7,800,725
2012	D	62.1%	21.3%	7,116,628
2010	D	64.0%	26.0%	4,763,899
2006	D	57.4%	25.8%	4,700,632
2004	D	58.9%	21.8%	7,447,818
2000	D	51.2%	39.1%	6,959,662
1998	D	47.8%	33.7%	4,989,877
1994	D	47.5%	32.1%	5,328,486
1992	D	41.6%	37.5%	7,078,805
1988	D	64.7%	27.9%	6,040,980
1986	R	38.4%	45.3%	4,484,859
1982	D	62.2%	28.5%	4,967,729
1980	D	43.5%	37.8%	6,014,914
1976	D	48.6%	37.9%	6,666,875

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Italian

20.1%

Irish

15.7%

German

10.5%

English

4.0%

Polish

3.9%

American

3.9%

French

1.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 41.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.4%

2.3%

75–84

3.1%

4.9%

65–74

5.4%

7.4%

55–64

7.5%

6.6%

45–54

6.6%

6.1%

35–44

5.9%

6.3%

25–34

6.0%

4.6%

18–24

4.4%

8.0%

5–17

7.6%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$132,493

Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 2$132,493

New York$85,974

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

6.3%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 186.9%

Working age (18–64)5.9%

Seniors (65+)8.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

74.5%

speak English only

Spanish15.8%

Other Indo-European6.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%

Other languages0.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

54.3%

Non-Christian

4.0%

Other Christian

3.0%

Mainline Protestant

2.8%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.1%

Methodist

1.1%

Baptist

0.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering much of Suffolk County's south shore and east end, NY-2 has trended Republican in recent cycles, posting a 15.9-point margin in 2024 that reflects the district's mix of outer-suburban homeowners and working-class communities shifting away from their ancestral Democratic roots.

The Democratic margin in New York 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded sixteen points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 65% non-Hispanic-white share, a 6% poverty rate, and a median household income of $132,493 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 2, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3602/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 2, New York voted Republican by 9.2 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 294,761 votes cast, 132,951 went Democratic and 160,173 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 2, New York's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 2, New York last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, New York voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Congressional District 2, New York?

Congressional District 2, New York has a population of 588,974 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, New York?

Median household income in Congressional District 2, New York is $132,493 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of Congressional District 2, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New York 2nd Congressional District delivered R+9 in 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions