New York 4th Congressional District (NY) — Elections 1876–2024

New York 4th Congressional District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 592,3102024 5-year
Median household income: $146,2022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 56.8%2024 5-year
Black: 11.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 18.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab

GILLEN, LauraCongress 119 · Democratic

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: D'ESPOSITO, Anthony (2023–2025), RICE, Kathleen Maura (2021–2023), RICE, Kathleen Maura (2019–2021), RICE, Kathleen Maura (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

1 counties · 0 D · 1 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−4.1%	144,253	156,909	305,051
2020	D	+9.5%	169,009	139,262	311,580
2016	D	+6.2%	141,580	124,475	275,834
2012	D	+7.6%	129,023	110,530	242,173
2008	D	+8.4%	145,856	123,090	270,931
2004	D	+5.6%	137,708	122,911	263,567
2000	D	+19.5%	145,873	96,784	251,673
1996	D	+19.6%	129,403	83,894	232,162
1992	D	+5.9%	120,455	105,233	259,724
1988	R	−14.7%	106,617	143,829	252,517
1984	R	−23.9%	102,597	167,096	270,268
1980	R	−21.1%	88,490	142,182	254,052
1976	R	−4.1%	129,097	140,311	270,990
1972	R	−26.8%	107,769	187,005	295,401
1968	R	−8.0%	118,752	140,573	274,161
1964	D	+21.2%	163,078	106,087	269,438
1960	R	−10.4%	112,232	138,213	250,770
1956	R	−38.2%	71,033	158,717	229,749
1952	R	−40.1%	55,526	130,389	186,735
1948	R	−42.9%	30,047	78,551	113,057
1944	R	−34.0%	33,466	68,077	101,788
1940	R	−32.4%	31,189	61,240	92,621
1936	R	−12.0%	31,641	40,480	73,647
1932	R	−11.7%	26,322	33,479	61,422
1928	R	−27.3%	17,084	30,270	48,226
1924	R	−48.4%	6,105	19,533	27,719
1920	R	−56.5%	3,664	14,108	18,470
1916	R	−24.3%	3,593	5,929	9,614
1912	D	+13.3%	3,015	1,964	7,905
1908	R	−31.6%	2,081	4,172	6,617
1904	R	−21.5%	2,251	3,505	5,839
1900	R	−23.3%	1,844	2,981	4,885
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	56.2%	38.7%	8,381,397
2022	D	51.7%	37.7%	5,848,556
2018	D	62.0%	28.6%	6,055,151
2016	D	61.3%	22.1%	7,800,725
2012	D	62.1%	21.3%	7,116,628
2010	D	64.0%	26.0%	4,763,899
2006	D	57.4%	25.8%	4,700,632
2004	D	58.9%	21.8%	7,447,818
2000	D	51.2%	39.1%	6,959,662
1998	D	47.8%	33.7%	4,989,877
1994	D	47.5%	32.1%	5,328,486
1992	D	41.6%	37.5%	7,078,805
1988	D	64.7%	27.9%	6,040,980
1986	R	38.4%	45.3%	4,484,859
1982	D	62.2%	28.5%	4,967,729
1980	D	43.5%	37.8%	6,014,914
1976	D	48.6%	37.9%	6,666,875

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Italian

16.4%

Irish

11.6%

German

6.9%

American

3.7%

Polish

3.5%

English

2.3%

French

0.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.7%

2.4%

75–84

3.0%

5.1%

65–74

5.6%

7.0%

55–64

7.3%

6.5%

45–54

6.6%

6.2%

35–44

6.3%

5.9%

25–34

5.8%

4.2%

18–24

4.1%

8.4%

5–17

7.9%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$146,202

Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 4$146,202

New York$85,974

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

5.4%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 185.7%

Working age (18–64)5.0%

Seniors (65+)8.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

69.3%

speak English only

Spanish13.7%

Other Indo-European9.9%

Asian & Pacific Islander5.6%

Other languages1.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

46.5%

Non-Christian

9.2%

Other Christian

3.4%

Mainline Protestant

2.4%

Methodist

1.1%

Baptist

0.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

0.9%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering Nassau County's south shore suburbs, NY-4 has trended rightward over several cycles as cost-of-living pressures reshaped a district that once leaned reliably Democratic by double digits.

The Democratic margin in New York 4th Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $146,202 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 4, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 4, New York voted Republican by 4.1 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 305,051 votes cast, 144,253 went Democratic and 156,909 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 4, New York's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 4, New York last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, New York voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Congressional District 4, New York?

Congressional District 4, New York has a population of 592,310 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, New York?

Median household income in Congressional District 4, New York is $146,202 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of Congressional District 4, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New York 4th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions