akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 5·New Jersey

New Jersey 5th Congressional District delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A suburban-rural swing district that shifted notably rightward in 2024

18762024·38 elections
NJ
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
1,144,122
2024 ACS

New Jersey 5th Congressional District, New Jersey: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+1%. Republican peak: R+52 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
1,144,1222024 5-year
Median household income
$113,1382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
53.4%2024 5-year
Black
6.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
28.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+52 in 1920MIT Election Lab
D
GOTTHEIMER, Josh S.Congress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: GARRETT, Scott (2015–2017), GARRETT, Scott (2013–2015), GARRETT, Scott (2011–2013), GARRETT, Scott (2009–2011)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.3%
253,813260,638528,381
D
+12.7%
317,294245,252566,108
D
+11.0%
262,009208,210488,784
D
+12.3%
249,205193,901448,316
D
+9.3%
258,637214,066476,892
D
+2.6%
230,476218,728452,626
D
+11.6%
222,004174,586410,232
D
+13.1%
209,351156,779402,799
R
−3.6%
181,162197,257442,077
R
−18.5%
170,286248,480422,858
R
−26.4%
166,815287,760457,743
R
−21.3%
149,473242,487436,939
R
−12.0%
192,212245,660446,631
R
−31.3%
154,307297,778458,117
R
−12.9%
173,012229,313435,222
D
+21.5%
256,063164,967423,286
R
−12.2%
178,519228,839412,767
R
−43.4%
102,924263,209369,695
R
−30.7%
117,421223,209344,413
R
−22.5%
92,765149,775253,414
R
−19.5%
104,106154,877259,787
R
−15.6%
105,725144,982251,562
D
+6.6%
117,781103,019222,814
R
−3.3%
93,797100,552201,698
R
−21.9%
69,574108,927179,571
R
−46.9%
22,39977,054116,414
R
−52.0%
19,19766,08390,155
R
−16.9%
19,21627,39648,431
O
+20.3%
16,2767,80541,687
R
−19.4%
15,54123,53341,250
R
−15.0%
14,96820,56837,456
R
−9.5%
15,40418,74035,228
R
−22.3%
11,36918,34331,333
D
+3.2%
13,62212,74627,052
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D53.6%44.0%4,031,795
2020D57.2%40.9%4,440,440
2018D54.0%42.8%3,169,310
2014D55.8%42.3%1,869,535
2012D58.9%39.4%3,376,649
2008D56.0%42.0%3,482,445
2006D53.4%44.3%2,250,070
2002D53.9%43.9%2,112,604
2000D50.1%47.1%3,015,662
1996D52.7%42.6%2,883,466
1994D50.3%47.0%2,054,887
1990D50.4%47.4%1,938,454
1988D53.6%45.2%2,987,634
1984D64.2%34.9%3,096,456
1982D50.9%47.8%2,193,945
1978D55.3%43.1%1,957,515
1976D60.7%38.0%2,771,390

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
13.7%
Irish
9.7%
German
7.1%
Polish
4.9%
English
3.4%
American
2.8%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.6%
speak English only
Spanish22.2%
Other Indo-European9.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.1%
Other languages2.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
37.8%
Non-Christian
8.6%
Other Christian
3.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Baptist
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Methodist
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching from Bergen County's dense suburbs to the rural northwest corner of New Jersey, NJ-05 flipped its presidential preference by roughly nine points between 2020 and 2024, making it one of the state's most closely watched competitive seats.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-two points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-two points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 1,144,122, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $113,138 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 5, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3405/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 5, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 5, New Jersey voted Republican by 1.3 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 528,381 votes cast, 253,813 went Democratic and 260,638 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 5, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 5, New Jersey as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 5, New Jersey last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 5, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 5, New Jersey?
Congressional District 5, New Jersey has a population of 1,144,122 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 5, New Jersey?
Median household income in Congressional District 5, New Jersey is $113,138 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Congressional District 5, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 5, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.