- Lead
- 1,551
- Total
- 72,434
- vs nation
- R+0.7
New York 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,696
- Total
- 74,428
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Lead
- 10,489
- Total
- 64,255
- vs nation
- D+14.2
- Lead
- 10,198
- Total
- 57,039
- vs nation
- D+14.0
- Lead
- 11,866
- Total
- 63,415
- vs nation
- D+11.4
- Lead
- 9,748
- Total
- 62,183
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Lead
- 17,379
- Total
- 59,503
- vs nation
- D+28.7
- Lead
- 15,857
- Total
- 55,038
- vs nation
- D+20.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 139,8102024 5-year
- Population density
- 4,076 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 34.3 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $161,9852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 15, NY · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
New York 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1900–2020 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
65.4%
41,704 votes · D+31.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 62.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
72.0%
2,965 votes · R+48.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 66.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
42,586votes
57.2% of the vote · D+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 41,704 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
38,604votes
58.1% of the vote · R+16.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 34,515 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+28.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.2 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +20.3 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+39.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +36.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 51.2%33,988 | 48.8%32,338 | 66,326 |
New York's 16th Assembly District has trended toward competitive territory in recent cycles, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+2.1 — a signal that neither coalition holds a durable structural advantage here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 48.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 17.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.1 points.
A population of 139,810, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $161,985 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 15 and Assembly District 13.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.