Assembly District 16 State House District (NY) — Elections 1876–2024

New York 16th State House District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 155,3142024 5-year
Median household income: $146,2022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 56.8%2024 5-year
Black: 11.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 18.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

1 counties · 0 D · 1 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−4.1%	37,826	41,144	79,990
2020	D	+9.5%	44,317	36,517	81,702
2016	D	+6.2%	37,125	32,640	72,329
2012	D	+7.6%	33,832	28,983	63,502
2008	D	+8.4%	38,246	32,276	71,043
2004	D	+5.6%	36,109	32,229	69,112
2000	D	+19.5%	38,250	25,378	65,993
1996	D	+19.6%	33,932	21,999	60,877
1992	D	+5.9%	31,585	27,594	68,104
1988	R	−14.7%	27,957	37,714	66,214
1984	R	−23.9%	26,903	43,816	70,869
1980	R	−21.1%	23,204	37,283	66,617
1976	R	−4.1%	33,852	36,792	71,058
1972	R	−26.8%	28,259	49,036	77,459
1968	R	−8.0%	31,139	36,861	71,890
1964	D	+21.2%	42,762	27,818	70,651
1960	R	−10.4%	29,429	36,242	65,756
1956	R	−38.2%	18,626	41,618	60,244
1952	R	−40.1%	14,560	34,190	48,965
1948	R	−42.9%	7,879	20,597	29,646
1944	R	−34.0%	8,775	17,851	26,691
1940	R	−32.4%	8,178	16,058	24,287
1936	R	−12.0%	8,297	10,615	19,311
1932	R	−11.7%	6,902	8,779	16,106
1928	R	−27.3%	4,480	7,937	12,646
1924	R	−48.4%	1,601	5,122	7,268
1920	R	−56.5%	961	3,699	4,843
1916	R	−24.3%	942	1,555	2,521
1912	D	+13.3%	791	515	2,073
1908	R	−31.6%	546	1,094	1,735
1904	R	−21.5%	590	919	1,531
1900	R	−23.3%	483	782	1,281
1896	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

Italian

16.4%

Irish

11.6%

German

6.9%

American

3.7%

Polish

3.5%

English

2.3%

French

0.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.9%

85+

1.7%

2.4%

75–84

3.0%

5.1%

65–74

5.6%

7.0%

55–64

7.3%

6.5%

45–54

6.6%

6.2%

35–44

6.3%

5.9%

25–34

5.8%

4.2%

18–24

4.1%

8.4%

5–17

7.9%

2.7%

2.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$146,202

Assembly District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Assembly District 16$146,202

New York$85,974

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

5.4%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 185.7%

Working age (18–64)5.0%

Seniors (65+)8.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

69.3%

speak English only

Spanish13.7%

Other Indo-European9.9%

Asian & Pacific Islander5.6%

Other languages1.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

46.5%

Non-Christian

9.2%

Other Christian

3.4%

Mainline Protestant

2.4%

Methodist

1.1%

Baptist

0.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

0.9%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New York's 16th Assembly District has trended toward competitive territory in recent cycles, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+2.1 — a signal that neither coalition holds a durable structural advantage here.

The Democratic margin in New York 16th State House District has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $146,202 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Assembly District 16, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 16, New York vote in 2024?

In 2024, Assembly District 16, New York voted Republican by 4.1 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 79,990 votes cast, 37,826 went Democratic and 41,144 went Republican.

What is Assembly District 16, New York's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Assembly District 16, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.

When did Assembly District 16, New York last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 16, New York voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Assembly District 16, New York?

Assembly District 16, New York has a population of 155,314 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Assembly District 16, New York?

Median household income in Assembly District 16, New York is $146,202 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.

What is the political history of Assembly District 16, New York?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 16, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New York 16th State House District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions