akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 38·New Jersey

New Jersey 38th State House District has voted Democratic in eight straight presidential cycles.

A true toss-up: 2024 presidential vote split at dead even

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NJ
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
165,089
2024 ACS

New Jersey 38th State House District, New Jersey: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
165,0892024 5-year
Median household income
$124,8842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.1%2024 5-year
Black
5.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
22.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+56 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+3.4%
39,91437,24479,032
D
+16.5%
49,05935,06884,616
D
+13.2%
39,66530,11372,432
D
+11.3%
36,49929,00566,218
D
+9.5%
38,66231,92971,149
D
+4.5%
35,62632,56768,663
D
+13.6%
34,77126,20262,912
D
+13.8%
32,78124,21762,255
R
−1.8%
29,35330,57569,160
R
−17.0%
27,56138,92366,894
R
−26.7%
26,59746,06372,862
R
−22.3%
23,92739,80871,222
R
−13.3%
31,00640,71572,885
R
−31.7%
25,24548,97174,951
R
−15.2%
27,82338,58470,858
D
+19.6%
40,28927,08867,500
R
−18.0%
26,79138,59465,500
R
−50.9%
14,09643,63258,004
R
−38.9%
16,01836,51452,753
R
−33.9%
11,86024,47337,250
R
−30.3%
13,09824,50437,699
R
−26.4%
13,13122,57435,824
D
+0.8%
15,63015,37631,202
R
−7.8%
12,68114,90528,434
R
−27.6%
8,64215,28624,029
R
−50.2%
2,89010,43115,028
R
−56.4%
2,1278,15110,689
R
−22.6%
1,9783,1735,283
D
+19.7%
1,7128734,266
R
−28.1%
1,3092,4093,916
R
−14.6%
1,2531,7083,106
R
−16.5%
1,1081,5592,739
R
−29.2%
7771,4662,362
D
+7.6%
1,0068611,896
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
14.3%
Irish
9.8%
German
6.7%
Polish
4.9%
English
3.1%
American
2.8%
French
0.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.6%
2.4%
75–84
3.1%
4.8%
65–74
5.4%
6.9%
55–64
7.2%
6.8%
45–54
7.0%
6.7%
35–44
6.8%
5.8%
25–34
5.7%
4.0%
18–24
3.9%
8.1%
5–17
7.7%
2.6%
<5
2.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$124,884
Assembly District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 38$124,884
New Jersey$103,556
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.8%
Working age (18–64)6.0%
Seniors (65+)11.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.5%
speak English only
Spanish17.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander11.8%
Other Indo-European10.7%
Other languages2.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
40.9%
Non-Christian
7.2%
Other Christian
3.6%
Mainline Protestant
3.0%
Baptist
1.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Methodist
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

New Jersey's 38th Assembly District recorded a razor-thin 0.0-point presidential margin in 2024, making it one of the state's most competitive legislative battlegrounds and a reliable barometer of statewide swing.

The Democratic margin in New Jersey 38th State House District reached its widest at twenty points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was three points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $124,884, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 165,089 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 38, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/34038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 38, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 38, New Jersey voted Democratic by 3.4 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 79,032 votes cast, 39,914 went Democratic and 37,244 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 38, New Jersey's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 38, New Jersey as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 38, New Jersey last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 38, New Jersey voted Republican was 1992.
How many people live in Assembly District 38, New Jersey?
Assembly District 38, New Jersey has a population of 165,089 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 38, New Jersey?
Median household income in Assembly District 38, New Jersey is $124,884 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Assembly District 38, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 38, New Jersey from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.