Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Nassau County.
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.
New York 15th State House District
Akashic
New York 15th State House DistrictTrumpR+11.2
20082024
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican
54.8%
39,394
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
43.6%
31,372
Jill SteinWrite-In
1.5%
1,110
D+60R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 1 county it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for New York 15th State House District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County
Winner
Margin
Nassau County, NY
Republican
R+4.1
Akashic
5 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Total
R
43.6%Harris31,372
54.8%Trump39,394
1.5%Stein1,110
−11.2%
71,876
D
50.8%Biden37,928
47.9%Trump35,737
1.3%Jorgensen1,002
+2.9%
74,667
R
46.5%Clinton30,591
49.8%Trump32,744
3.7%Trump2,427
−3.3%
65,762
R
47.6%Obama27,513
52.4%Romney30,296
0.0%
−4.8%
57,809
D
49.6%Obama32,195
49.4%McCain32,042
0.9%McCain612
+0.2%
64,849
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2008
+0.2%
2012
−4.8%
2016
−3.3%
2020
+2.9%
2024
−11.2%
DemocraticRepublican
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current representation
Current officeholders
RJake BlumencranzState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Assembly District 15 covers part of Staten Island, where a working-class and suburban mix has produced some of New York City's most Republican-leaning results — the 2024 presidential margin of R+16.7 reflects a durable rightward tilt unusual for the five boroughs.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 11.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 14.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 132,285, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $158,935 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 16 and Assembly District 19.
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Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 15th State House District voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 71,876 votes cast, 31,372 went Democratic and 39,394 went Republican.
When did New York 15th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 15th State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New York 15th State House District?
New York 15th State House District has a population of 132,285 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 15th State House District?
Median household income in New York 15th State House District is $158,935 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in New York 15th State House District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
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