New York 19th State House District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 98,0722024 5-year
- Median household income
- $146,2022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 18.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Assembly District 19, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 23,885 | 25,980 | 50,509 | ||
| D | 27,984 | 23,058 | 51,590 | ||
| D | 23,442 | 20,610 | 45,672 | ||
| D | 21,363 | 18,301 | 40,098 | ||
| D | 24,150 | 20,381 | 44,860 | ||
| D | 22,801 | 20,351 | 43,640 | ||
| D | 24,153 | 16,025 | 41,671 | ||
| D | 21,426 | 13,891 | 38,440 | ||
| D | 19,944 | 17,424 | 43,004 | ||
| R | 17,653 | 23,815 | 41,811 | ||
| R | 16,988 | 27,667 | 44,750 | ||
| R | 14,652 | 23,542 | 42,065 | ||
| R | 21,375 | 23,232 | 44,869 | ||
| R | 17,844 | 30,964 | 48,911 | ||
| R | 19,663 | 23,276 | 45,394 | ||
| D | 27,002 | 17,565 | 44,612 | ||
| R | 18,583 | 22,885 | 41,521 | ||
| R | 11,761 | 26,280 | 38,041 | ||
| R | 9,194 | 21,589 | 30,919 | ||
| R | 4,975 | 13,006 | 18,720 | ||
| R | 5,541 | 11,272 | 16,854 | ||
| R | 5,164 | 10,140 | 15,336 | ||
| R | 5,239 | 6,703 | 12,194 | ||
| R | 4,358 | 5,543 | 10,170 | ||
| R | 2,829 | 5,012 | 7,985 | ||
| R | 1,011 | 3,234 | 4,590 | ||
| R | 607 | 2,336 | 3,058 | ||
| R | 595 | 982 | 1,592 | ||
| D | 499 | 325 | 1,309 | ||
| R | 345 | 691 | 1,096 | ||
| R | 373 | 580 | 967 | ||
| R | 305 | 494 | 809 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
16.4%
Irish
11.6%
German
6.9%
American
3.7%
Polish
3.5%
English
2.3%
French
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$146,202
Assembly District 19 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 19$146,202
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
5.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 185.7%
Working age (18–64)5.0%
Seniors (65+)8.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
69.3%
speak English only
Spanish13.7%
Other Indo-European9.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.6%
Other languages1.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
New York's 19th Assembly District sits close enough to the statewide median that a 2.1-point Republican presidential lean marks it as a genuine swing seat, making it a reliable early indicator of broader shifts in the region's suburban or exurban electorate.
The Democratic margin in New York 19th State House District has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $146,202 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 19, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Assembly District 19, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 19, New York voted Republican by 4.1 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 50,509 votes cast, 23,885 went Democratic and 25,980 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 19, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 19, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 19, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 19, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Assembly District 19, New York?
Assembly District 19, New York has a population of 98,072 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 19, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 19, New York is $146,202 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 19, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 19, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.