- Lead
- 12,465
- Total
- 71,326
- vs nation
- R+16.0
New York 19th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,242
- Total
- 72,864
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Lead
- 7,738
- Total
- 64,009
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Lead
- 6,215
- Total
- 55,839
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 6,578
- Total
- 62,434
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Lead
- 7,945
- Total
- 61,329
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Lead
- 755
- Total
- 56,875
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Lead
- 1,227
- Total
- 52,876
- vs nation
- R+6.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 134,9412024 5-year
- Population density
- 6,106 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 22.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $161,3042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 15, NY · twin score 95.6
presidential history
Party record book
New York 19th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1900–2020 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.1%
30,927 votes · D+2.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 48.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
83.2%
4,004 votes · R+70.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 79.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
33,733votes
46.3% of the vote · R+5.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 30,927 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
52,060votes
71.6% of the vote · R+43.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 46,479 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+0.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.3 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −6.2 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+60.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +59.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 51.2%32,804 | 48.8%31,212 | 64,016 |
New York 19th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 70.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.5 points.
A population of 134,941, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $161,304 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 15 and Assembly District 17.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New York 19th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.