akashic
1876–2024
Assembly District 20·New York

New York 20th State House District votes the way the country votes.

One of New York's most reliably Republican Assembly districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
125,842
2024 ACS

New York 20th State House District, New York: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
125,8422024 5-year
Median household income
$146,2022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
56.8%2024 5-year
Black
11.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
18.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.1%
30,64833,33764,811
D
+9.5%
35,90829,58866,198
D
+6.2%
30,08026,44658,604
D
+7.6%
27,41223,48351,452
D
+8.4%
30,98926,15257,562
D
+5.6%
29,25726,11455,998
D
+19.5%
30,99220,56353,471
D
+19.6%
27,49317,82449,325
D
+5.9%
25,59222,35855,181
R
−14.7%
22,65230,55853,650
R
−23.9%
21,79835,50157,421
R
−21.1%
18,80130,20853,976
R
−4.1%
27,42829,81057,575
R
−26.8%
22,89739,73162,761
R
−8.0%
25,23029,86658,248
D
+21.2%
34,64822,53957,245
R
−10.4%
23,84529,36553,279
R
−38.2%
15,09233,72148,813
R
−40.1%
11,79727,70339,674
R
−42.9%
6,38416,68924,020
R
−34.0%
7,11014,46421,626
R
−32.4%
6,62613,01119,678
R
−12.0%
6,7238,60015,647
R
−11.7%
5,5927,11313,050
R
−27.3%
3,6306,43110,246
R
−48.4%
1,2974,1505,889
R
−56.5%
7782,9973,924
R
−24.3%
7631,2602,043
D
+13.3%
6414171,680
R
−31.6%
4428861,406
R
−21.5%
4787451,241
R
−23.2%
3926331,038
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
16.4%
Irish
11.6%
German
6.9%
American
3.7%
Polish
3.5%
English
2.3%
French
0.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.7%
2.4%
75–84
3.0%
5.1%
65–74
5.6%
7.0%
55–64
7.3%
6.5%
45–54
6.6%
6.2%
35–44
6.3%
5.9%
25–34
5.8%
4.2%
18–24
4.1%
8.4%
5–17
7.9%
2.7%
<5
2.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$146,202
Assembly District 20 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Assembly District 20$146,202
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
5.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 185.7%
Working age (18–64)5.0%
Seniors (65+)8.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
69.3%
speak English only
Spanish13.7%
Other Indo-European9.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander5.6%
Other languages1.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
46.5%
Non-Christian
9.2%
Other Christian
3.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.4%
Methodist
1.1%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 35.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

AD-20 recorded a 22-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the sharpest rightward outliers in a state legislature dominated by Democrats. Its political profile reflects the exurban and rural character typical of districts this far from New York City.

The Democratic margin in New York 20th State House District has rarely exceeded twenty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 5% poverty rate, and a median household income of $146,202 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Assembly District 20, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/36020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Assembly District 20, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Assembly District 20, New York voted Republican by 4.1 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 64,811 votes cast, 30,648 went Democratic and 33,337 went Republican.
What is Assembly District 20, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Assembly District 20, New York as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Assembly District 20, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Assembly District 20, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Assembly District 20, New York?
Assembly District 20, New York has a population of 125,842 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Assembly District 20, New York?
Median household income in Assembly District 20, New York is $146,202 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Assembly District 20, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Assembly District 20, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.