| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23,318 | 35,772 | 60,356 | |
| 2020 | R | 24,901 | 34,769 | 60,325 | |
| 2016 | R | 17,281 | 29,858 | 49,683 | |
| 2012 | R | 18,745 | 25,744 | 45,415 | |
| 2008 | R | 20,628 | 27,500 | 48,939 | |
| 2004 | R | 18,044 | 29,542 | 48,208 | |
| 2000 | R | 16,543 | 22,172 | 40,801 | |
| 1996 | R | 14,805 | 17,160 | 37,701 | |
| 1992 | R | 13,002 | 18,468 | 41,502 | |
| 1988 | R | 11,640 | 21,715 | 33,666 | |
| 1984 | R | 10,647 | 21,938 | 32,707 | |
| 1980 | R | 10,510 | 16,935 | 30,797 | |
| 1976 | R | 14,238 | 15,254 | 30,105 | |
| 1972 | R | 10,008 | 19,301 | 29,543 | |
| 1968 | R | 12,822 | 13,950 | 28,986 | |
| 1964 | D | 19,755 | 8,822 | 28,592 | |
| 1960 | R | 12,540 | 16,893 | 29,453 | |
| 1956 | R | 9,128 | 18,517 | 27,658 | |
| 1952 | R | 11,074 | 15,737 | 26,839 | |
| 1948 | R | 9,972 | 10,558 | 20,716 | |
| 1944 | R | 10,024 | 10,714 | 20,754 | |
| 1940 | D | 10,929 | 10,595 | 21,555 | |
| 1936 | D | 12,476 | 9,437 | 21,957 | |
| 1932 | D | 10,636 | 9,277 | 20,355 | |
| 1928 | R | 5,444 | 14,992 | 20,495 | |
| 1924 | R | 5,186 | 9,606 | 15,844 | |
| 1920 | R | 7,218 | 8,035 | 15,683 | |
| 1916 | D | 5,374 | 3,302 | 9,032 | |
| 1912 | D | 4,663 | 1,411 | 8,457 | |
| 1908 | D | 5,662 | 3,904 | 9,913 | |
| 1904 | D | 4,368 | 3,935 | 8,929 | |
| 1900 | D | 5,219 | 3,589 | 9,289 | |
| 1896 | D | 5,013 | 4,063 | 9,497 | |
| 1892 | D | 5,202 | 3,182 | 8,935 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Warren County's rural and small-town character sets it apart from New Jersey's densely populated corridors, and its R+20.7 margin in 2024 makes it one of the state's sharpest counterweights to the Democratic-leaning northeast.
The Republican margin in Warren County reached its widest at forty-seven points in 1928. The margin in 2024 was twenty-one points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.
Warren County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $100,869, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 110,849 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Mary's County and Livingston County.
