New Jersey 7th Congressional District, New Jersey: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,006,7082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $122,3462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1956MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: MALINOWSKI, Tomaz (2021–2023), MALINOWSKI, Tomaz (2019–2021), LANCE, Leonard (2017–2019), LANCE, Leonard (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 260,665 | 240,051 | 513,271 | ||
| D | 292,696 | 232,466 | 529,793 | ||
| D | 229,453 | 205,542 | 455,347 | ||
| D | 213,334 | 200,002 | 419,104 | ||
| D | 226,883 | 213,804 | 445,731 | ||
| R | 193,842 | 221,348 | 419,196 | ||
| R | 173,035 | 178,678 | 366,112 | ||
| D | 159,806 | 154,228 | 351,232 | ||
| R | 137,562 | 174,558 | 378,973 | ||
| R | 125,806 | 214,642 | 343,618 | ||
| R | 115,519 | 228,265 | 346,101 | ||
| R | 107,766 | 179,374 | 320,520 | ||
| R | 136,169 | 177,551 | 320,237 | ||
| R | 107,148 | 207,068 | 319,718 | ||
| R | 121,691 | 153,883 | 302,248 | ||
| D | 185,470 | 106,412 | 292,883 | ||
| R | 124,152 | 156,238 | 281,620 | ||
| R | 70,314 | 172,708 | 244,980 | ||
| R | 83,117 | 145,296 | 229,770 | ||
| R | 71,032 | 102,134 | 179,150 | ||
| R | 77,956 | 98,798 | 178,103 | ||
| R | 79,659 | 95,249 | 176,032 | ||
| D | 82,877 | 75,582 | 159,828 | ||
| R | 63,834 | 78,750 | 146,656 | ||
| R | 42,203 | 89,966 | 132,659 | ||
| R | 25,140 | 65,750 | 99,535 | ||
| R | 26,345 | 53,430 | 82,539 | ||
| R | 21,270 | 22,825 | 45,472 | ||
| D | 19,048 | 9,158 | 41,544 | ||
| R | 20,146 | 23,761 | 45,670 | ||
| R | 18,181 | 22,204 | 42,574 | ||
| R | 19,729 | 20,878 | 42,522 | ||
| R | 17,695 | 21,463 | 41,195 | ||
| D | 20,322 | 15,839 | 38,217 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 53.6% | 44.0% | 4,031,795 |
| 2020 | D | 57.2% | 40.9% | 4,440,440 |
| 2018 | D | 54.0% | 42.8% | 3,169,310 |
| 2014 | D | 55.8% | 42.3% | 1,869,535 |
| 2012 | D | 58.9% | 39.4% | 3,376,649 |
| 2008 | D | 56.0% | 42.0% | 3,482,445 |
| 2006 | D | 53.4% | 44.3% | 2,250,070 |
| 2002 | D | 53.9% | 43.9% | 2,112,604 |
| 2000 | D | 50.1% | 47.1% | 3,015,662 |
| 1996 | D | 52.7% | 42.6% | 2,883,466 |
| 1994 | D | 50.3% | 47.0% | 2,054,887 |
| 1990 | D | 50.4% | 47.4% | 1,938,454 |
| 1988 | D | 53.6% | 45.2% | 2,987,634 |
| 1984 | D | 64.2% | 34.9% | 3,096,456 |
| 1982 | D | 50.9% | 47.8% | 2,193,945 |
| 1978 | D | 55.3% | 43.1% | 1,957,515 |
| 1976 | D | 60.7% | 38.0% | 2,771,390 |
Demographics
New Jersey's 7th spans Somerset and parts of Morris and Essex counties, where a college-educated suburban electorate has shifted the district's presidential margins from safely red to competitive, landing at D+4.2 in 2024.
The Democratic margin in New Jersey 7th Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-two points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $122,346 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 7, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3407/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.