Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+5%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 818,8642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $114,5862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: BRADY, Robert A. (2017–2019), BRADY, Robert A. (2015–2017), BRADY, Robert A. (2013–2015), BRADY, Robert A. (2011–2013)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 261,084 | 237,896 | 505,702 | ||
| D | 267,840 | 224,002 | 497,022 | ||
| D | 217,656 | 196,507 | 431,703 | ||
| D | 206,626 | 191,028 | 402,834 | ||
| D | 229,094 | 182,953 | 416,378 | ||
| D | 207,308 | 189,187 | 398,760 | ||
| D | 168,079 | 150,696 | 329,096 | ||
| D | 131,697 | 118,813 | 285,439 | ||
| D | 124,884 | 119,419 | 311,446 | ||
| R | 104,171 | 161,207 | 268,525 | ||
| R | 94,273 | 165,963 | 261,565 | ||
| R | 75,773 | 131,555 | 234,816 | ||
| R | 102,093 | 116,349 | 222,896 | ||
| R | 74,953 | 133,997 | 213,410 | ||
| R | 77,879 | 97,629 | 194,728 | ||
| D | 105,091 | 70,539 | 176,414 | ||
| R | 75,396 | 95,717 | 171,614 | ||
| R | 50,217 | 86,196 | 136,636 | ||
| R | 35,703 | 63,656 | 99,707 | ||
| R | 24,779 | 46,322 | 72,501 | ||
| R | 27,272 | 41,099 | 68,789 | ||
| R | 30,349 | 39,644 | 70,308 | ||
| R | 35,594 | 36,989 | 73,893 | ||
| R | 20,650 | 35,100 | 57,758 | ||
| R | 12,996 | 43,573 | 57,009 | ||
| R | 8,774 | 26,433 | 37,994 | ||
| R | 9,285 | 20,446 | 30,742 | ||
| R | 10,190 | 13,306 | 24,104 | ||
| D | 9,123 | 7,226 | 23,682 | ||
| R | 9,584 | 13,181 | 23,309 | ||
| R | 8,778 | 13,293 | 22,528 | ||
| R | 9,501 | 12,632 | 22,503 | ||
| R | 8,658 | 13,222 | 22,597 | ||
| D | 11,079 | 10,915 | 22,361 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.6% | 48.8% | 6,963,137 |
| 2022 | D | 51.2% | 46.3% | 5,368,021 |
| 2018 | D | 55.6% | 42.7% | 4,994,643 |
| 2016 | R | 47.3% | 48.8% | 6,051,856 |
| 2012 | D | 53.7% | 44.6% | 5,627,422 |
| 2010 | R | 49.0% | 51.0% | 3,977,661 |
| 2006 | D | 58.6% | 41.3% | 4,081,043 |
| 2004 | R | 42.0% | 52.6% | 5,559,105 |
| 2000 | R | 45.5% | 52.4% | 4,735,116 |
| 1998 | R | 34.8% | 61.3% | 2,957,499 |
| 1994 | R | 46.9% | 49.4% | 3,513,361 |
| 1992 | R | 46.3% | 49.1% | 4,802,410 |
| 1988 | R | 32.4% | 66.5% | 4,366,598 |
| 1986 | R | 42.9% | 56.4% | 3,378,226 |
| 1982 | R | 39.2% | 59.3% | 3,604,108 |
| 1980 | R | 48.0% | 50.5% | 4,418,042 |
| 1976 | R | 46.8% | 52.4% | 4,546,353 |
Demographics
Pennsylvania's 1st, anchored in Bucks County north of Philadelphia, has shifted from reliably Republican to a genuine battleground, with the 2024 presidential race settling at just 1.4 points Democratic — a margin that keeps both parties investing heavily here.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-four points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 818,864, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $114,586 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Congressional District 1, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4201/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.