Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District (PA) — Elections 1876–2024

Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: TossupAkashic typology
Population: 655,7252024 5-year
Median household income: $81,8032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 73.4%2024 5-year
Black: 10.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+15 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64 in 1928MIT Election Lab

PERRY, ScottCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: MARINO, Thomas A. (2017–2019), MARINO, Thomas A. (2015–2017), MARINO, Thomas A. (2013–2015), MARINO, Thomas A. (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

3 counties · 1 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−7.2%	160,145	185,295	350,785
2020	R	−6.0%	156,521	176,955	338,346
2016	R	−11.6%	124,077	158,709	298,357
2012	R	−8.1%	124,217	146,456	275,322
2008	R	−3.3%	135,696	144,944	283,648
2004	R	−19.0%	106,386	156,667	264,520
2000	R	−18.2%	86,142	125,764	217,945
1996	R	−10.2%	80,163	100,301	197,634
1992	R	−12.2%	73,395	99,074	209,835
1988	R	−24.2%	66,832	109,924	178,198
1984	R	−31.2%	61,391	117,737	180,542
1980	R	−25.8%	53,972	96,393	164,735
1976	R	−18.2%	66,345	96,722	166,622
1972	R	−42.0%	43,377	108,288	154,650
1968	R	−27.2%	49,134	91,323	155,179
1964	D	+9.4%	87,386	72,278	160,560
1960	R	−28.4%	60,207	108,218	169,141
1956	R	−30.3%	53,682	100,528	154,749
1952	R	−26.0%	55,110	93,932	149,528
1948	R	−19.1%	48,538	71,993	122,598
1944	R	−12.8%	53,829	69,731	124,109
1940	R	−0.1%	64,548	64,738	129,679
1936	D	+9.2%	73,819	61,290	136,496
1932	R	−13.1%	42,150	55,236	100,253
1928	R	−64.4%	17,064	80,145	97,938
1924	R	−33.5%	20,359	43,842	70,123
1920	R	−27.4%	22,049	39,748	64,624
1916	R	−0.3%	22,261	22,385	47,154
1912	O	+15.2%	16,746	9,829	45,633
1908	R	−18.8%	17,163	25,641	45,043
1904	R	−32.1%	13,566	27,215	42,551
1900	R	−16.7%	16,472	23,328	41,065
1896	R	−21.2%	15,248	23,795	40,366
1892	R	−4.0%	16,266	17,658	34,921
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	48.6%	48.8%	6,963,137
2022	D	51.2%	46.3%	5,368,021
2018	D	55.6%	42.7%	4,994,643
2016	R	47.3%	48.8%	6,051,856
2012	D	53.7%	44.6%	5,627,422
2010	R	49.0%	51.0%	3,977,661
2006	D	58.6%	41.3%	4,081,043
2004	R	42.0%	52.6%	5,559,105
2000	R	45.5%	52.4%	4,735,116
1998	R	34.8%	61.3%	2,957,499
1994	R	46.9%	49.4%	3,513,361
1992	R	46.3%	49.1%	4,802,410
1988	R	32.4%	66.5%	4,366,598
1986	R	42.9%	56.4%	3,378,226
1982	R	39.2%	59.3%	3,604,108
1980	R	48.0%	50.5%	4,418,042
1976	R	46.8%	52.4%	4,546,353

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

26.3%

Irish

11.7%

English

8.5%

Italian

6.5%

American

5.5%

Polish

2.8%

Scottish

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.6%

2.4%

75–84

2.9%

5.1%

65–74

5.8%

6.4%

55–64

6.7%

6.1%

45–54

6.0%

6.5%

35–44

6.4%

6.6%

25–34

6.5%

4.3%

18–24

4.3%

8.3%

5–17

7.8%

2.9%

2.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$81,803

Congressional District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 10$81,803

Pennsylvania$77,971

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

10.1%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1812.9%

Working age (18–64)9.2%

Seniors (65+)10.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

88.2%

speak English only

Spanish5.2%

Other Indo-European4.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%

Other languages0.9%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

12.8%

Other Christian

9.1%

Mainline Protestant

7.4%

Methodist

5.6%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.2%

Non-Christian

2.2%

Baptist

1.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Pennsylvania's 10th stretches across the Cumberland Valley and Harrisburg suburbs, where a growing professional class has gradually compressed what were once comfortable Republican margins into single-digit contests.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifteen points in 1912; the Republican margin reached sixty-four points in 1928. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 655,725, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $81,803 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4210/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 7.2 points (R+7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 350,785 votes cast, 160,145 went Democratic and 185,295 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 31 times, and other 1 times.

When did Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania?

Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania has a population of 655,725 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania?

Median household income in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania is $81,803 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.

What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District delivered R+7 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions