akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·Maryland

Maryland 1st Congressional District delivered R+9 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Maryland's Eastern Shore anchors one of the state's most reliably Republican seats

18762024·38 elections
MD
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
927,796
2024 ACS

Maryland 1st Congressional District, Maryland: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+9%. Democratic peak: D+65 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
927,7962024 5-year
Median household income
$93,3122024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.1%2024 5-year
Black
18.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+65 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+44 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
HARRIS, AndyCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: KRATOVIL, Frank M., Jr. (2009–2011), GILCHREST, Wayne Thomas (2007–2009), GILCHREST, Wayne Thomas (2005–2007), GILCHREST, Wayne Thomas (2003–2005)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

11 counties · 1 D · 10 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−8.7%
216,348258,893489,362
R
−5.7%
218,614245,912477,179
R
−14.2%
175,575236,985431,935
R
−8.6%
188,448224,996423,067
R
−8.6%
186,637222,583417,394
R
−17.7%
154,052221,270379,907
R
−8.5%
137,796164,473312,403
R
−3.9%
115,513126,127269,266
R
−5.3%
111,051126,680294,081
R
−24.7%
90,205149,935241,394
R
−31.9%
77,224150,069228,248
R
−8.2%
92,025109,888218,172
R
−6.5%
91,609104,332195,941
R
−44.0%
48,493126,552177,567
R
−15.9%
54,43081,006167,109
D
+16.1%
87,00562,875149,892
R
−5.4%
70,22078,212148,432
R
−28.4%
47,95086,056134,005
R
−18.4%
52,46676,226129,233
R
−3.1%
42,57645,34188,622
R
−4.1%
42,15145,77387,924
D
+7.7%
52,57645,01898,217
D
+12.5%
51,80740,20692,458
D
+22.2%
49,91431,64482,280
R
−27.1%
29,64751,82181,813
D
+7.2%
35,01630,16367,759
D
+1.5%
37,78936,67975,061
D
+10.4%
27,79622,44751,398
D
+64.8%
47,66116,55948,031
No data
45,77424,9121,099
No data
55,23221,0151,049
D
+31.2%
26,81826,775138
R
−2.8%
24,58326,06552,971
D
+8.0%
23,24719,63745,159
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D54.6%42.8%3,021,378
2022O0.0%34.1%2,002,336
2018D64.9%30.3%2,299,889
2016D60.9%35.7%2,726,170
2012D56.0%26.3%2,633,234
2010D62.2%35.8%1,833,858
2006D54.2%44.2%1,781,139
2004D64.8%33.7%2,321,931
2000D63.2%36.7%1,946,898
1998D70.5%29.5%1,507,447
1994D59.1%40.9%1,369,101
1992D71.0%29.0%1,841,298
1988D61.8%38.2%1,617,065
1986D60.7%39.3%1,112,637
1982D63.5%36.5%1,114,690
1980R33.8%66.2%1,286,088
1976D56.6%38.9%1,365,290

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.2%
Irish
13.2%
English
12.7%
Italian
6.5%
American
5.8%
Polish
3.9%
Scottish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.9%
speak English only
Spanish4.2%
Other Indo-European3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.3%
Methodist
7.4%
Other Christian
7.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Baptist
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning the Chesapeake's Eastern Shore and stretching into rural Western Maryland, the district recorded an R+21.7 presidential margin in 2024 — the widest Republican spread in a state that otherwise votes heavily Democratic at the federal level.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached sixty-five points in 1912; the Republican margin reached forty-four points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 927,796, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $93,312 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, Maryland. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2401/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, Maryland vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, Maryland voted Republican by 8.7 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 489,362 votes cast, 216,348 went Democratic and 258,893 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, Maryland's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, Maryland as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 1, Maryland last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, Maryland voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, Maryland?
Congressional District 1, Maryland has a population of 927,796 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, Maryland?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, Maryland is $93,312 — above the national median of $80,734. The Maryland state median is $103,678.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, Maryland?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, Maryland from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.